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re: If/when there is a major correction and/or housing crash

Posted on 9/25/23 at 9:20 pm to
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
162294 posts
Posted on 9/25/23 at 9:20 pm to
quote:

The regulations were and are in place.

But they're not really up to date

AirBNB was not nearly as prominent even when further regulation was passed. The type of absurd loans that are meant for commercial properties that speculative investors use are causing shocks to the system. DSCR loans should have never been able to be used as an avenue to buy single family homes or condos.
Posted by bhtigerfan
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2008
29843 posts
Posted on 9/25/23 at 9:21 pm to
quote:

Sarcasm?
Of course. I know what you do for a living bro.
Posted by stout
Smoking Crack with Hunter Biden
Member since Sep 2006
167874 posts
Posted on 9/25/23 at 9:21 pm to
OK wasn't sure
Posted by greygoose
Member since Aug 2013
11479 posts
Posted on 9/25/23 at 9:22 pm to
quote:

Long term good

Short term bad

No shite. The crash of 2008 put a whole lot of people out of work. Businesses got hammered, shitty times due to government and their push for easy, sub-prime loans.

This is a whole other deal though. Not sure how we come out of this.
Posted by bhtigerfan
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2008
29843 posts
Posted on 9/25/23 at 9:22 pm to
This place needs a sarcasm emoji.
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
162294 posts
Posted on 9/25/23 at 9:25 pm to
quote:

Isn't the market already being corrected by inflation?

The devaluation of the dollar implicitly lowers these value of the homes over time so there may not be a hard correction.


That's not really what is happening with the housing market though

The run up has been long running. I wouldn't be shocked to see some markets have home prices dip below pre covid levels not even accounting for inflation. It's usually the hottest markets that get the hardest.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111802 posts
Posted on 9/25/23 at 9:25 pm to
What does a massive housing correction accomplish in practical terms?
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
162294 posts
Posted on 9/25/23 at 9:27 pm to
quote:

What does a massive housing correction accomplish in practical terms?

Well it certainly makes home ownership more attainable for perspective buyers.
Posted by Timeoday
Easter Island
Member since Aug 2020
9539 posts
Posted on 9/25/23 at 9:28 pm to
quote:

It's a snowball at the top of the hill right now.


Do you see the snowball slowly melting or do you expect it soon to start rolling down the hill, pushing and crushing everything in its path?
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
127260 posts
Posted on 9/25/23 at 9:32 pm to
quote:

The regulated industry of finance was in an extremely over-leveraged position caused by criminal activity.
What were the leverage numbers of the “regulated industry of finance” immediately prior to the Great Recession financial crisis compared to now?
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
75005 posts
Posted on 9/25/23 at 9:33 pm to
It needs to happen but its not going too unless Commercial takes it all down


Once rates drop values will increase 20%
Posted by RockyMtnTigerWDE
War Damn Eagle Dad!
Member since Oct 2010
105548 posts
Posted on 9/25/23 at 9:34 pm to
quote:

Some people don't


I am betting the things you share are probably alarming to them and don’t want to believe it, or better yet, get educated about it.
Posted by stout
Smoking Crack with Hunter Biden
Member since Sep 2006
167874 posts
Posted on 9/25/23 at 9:35 pm to
quote:

Do you see the snowball slowly melting or do you expect it soon to start rolling down the hill, pushing and crushing everything in its path?



Slow. Inventory levels are still an issue.

IMO, had CV never happened leading to billions in free money making its way to people's hands, we would have already gone through a small correction. We were on the path but CV made everything go crazy.
Posted by djmed
Member since Aug 2020
2615 posts
Posted on 9/25/23 at 9:37 pm to
We’re upside down on America
32 trillion plus
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
162294 posts
Posted on 9/25/23 at 9:44 pm to
quote:

Once rates drop values will increase 20%


In some markets sure...but I think some markets have overheated and people are going to get stuck holding the bag
Posted by McLemore
Member since Dec 2003
31639 posts
Posted on 9/25/23 at 9:49 pm to
quote:

Dumb fricks should have rented if they needed a place


Right people are dumb fricks for not trying to time the market when purchasing their primary residence. . Everyone knows timing the market is a central tenet of personal financial planning. Especially when determining where one’s family should live.
Posted by HailToTheChiz
Back in Auburn
Member since Aug 2010
49187 posts
Posted on 9/25/23 at 9:49 pm to
quote:

Once rates drop values will increase 20%


Drop shouldn't be happening but who the hell knows at this point
Posted by deeprig9
Unincorporated Ozora, Georgia
Member since Sep 2012
64607 posts
Posted on 9/25/23 at 10:01 pm to
Good
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
162294 posts
Posted on 9/25/23 at 10:08 pm to
quote:

Right people are dumb fricks for not trying to time the market when purchasing their primary residence.

So they should completely ignore market conditions and historical trends? If someone thinks they're too good to rent a house in these market conditions I don't have one frick to give if they get caught holding the bag.
Posted by tango029
Member since Dec 2022
531 posts
Posted on 9/25/23 at 10:16 pm to
quote:

The run up has been long running. I wouldn't be shocked to see some markets have home prices dip below pre covid levels not even accounting for inflation. It's usually the hottest markets that get the hardest.


Yeah east and west coast got hit hard in 2008, I had a few friends that went upside down on their mortgages. We barely noticed it in the midwest.
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