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If/when there is a major correction and/or housing crash

Posted on 9/25/23 at 8:57 pm
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
162217 posts
Posted on 9/25/23 at 8:57 pm
Will you consider this a good thing or a bad thing? I see a lot of bitching (and rightfully so) about how expensive it is to live. So would you view a massive housing correction as good or bad?
Posted by stout
Smoking Crack with Hunter Biden
Member since Sep 2006
167230 posts
Posted on 9/25/23 at 8:58 pm to
It needs to happen.
Posted by idlewatcher
County Jail
Member since Jan 2012
79071 posts
Posted on 9/25/23 at 8:58 pm to
How do you think we should feel that many may lose their homes? Or at the very least are upside down on their homes
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
162217 posts
Posted on 9/25/23 at 9:00 pm to
quote:

How do you think we should feel that many may lose their homes? Or at the very least are upside down on their homes




I wouldn't feel good for them but I think most people know an over inflated market when they see it. The correction is definitely coming. Dumb fricks should have rented if they needed a place.
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
162217 posts
Posted on 9/25/23 at 9:01 pm to
quote:

It needs to happen.

Agreed btw I like your housing market threads on the OT
Posted by stout
Smoking Crack with Hunter Biden
Member since Sep 2006
167230 posts
Posted on 9/25/23 at 9:01 pm to
A correction doesn't have to lead to foreclosures

I am sure it will but if you saw what I do all the time you would be numb to it.

Very few people lose their homes through no fault of their own like job loss, medical, etc.

The majority are people who manage money poorly and keep up with the Joneses.
Posted by j1897
Member since Nov 2011
3563 posts
Posted on 9/25/23 at 9:01 pm to
I don't see how it happens with 8% rates. Nobody can afford to move unless they can pay cash. Until supply comes online(10 years) we are stuck.
Posted by stout
Smoking Crack with Hunter Biden
Member since Sep 2006
167230 posts
Posted on 9/25/23 at 9:02 pm to
quote:

btw I like your housing market threads on the OT




Thanks

Some people don't. I find the data interesting, especially after going through 2008.
Posted by Timeoday
Easter Island
Member since Aug 2020
8631 posts
Posted on 9/25/23 at 9:03 pm to
When is a correction not positive? What is the purpose of the correction if not for something positive?

What needs to be corrected is the consistent criminal behavior that leads to the need for the corrections. Until that behavior is stopped, cycles will be a constant.
Posted by LSUwag
Florida man
Member since Jan 2007
17319 posts
Posted on 9/25/23 at 9:03 pm to
How will the housing market crash when there’s a strong need for more housing?

I see a lot of unsecured credit defaults happening but not a housing crash.
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
162217 posts
Posted on 9/25/23 at 9:05 pm to
quote:

I don't see how it happens with 8% rates. Nobody can afford to move unless they can pay cash. Until supply comes online(10 years) we are stuck.


If no one can afford to move that means no one can afford to buy

Which translates to prices being depressed for those that have no choice but to move

And why do people act like renting is such a bad option?

"I know this house is overpriced by 120K but it beats renting"
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
162217 posts
Posted on 9/25/23 at 9:05 pm to
quote:

What needs to be corrected is the consistent criminal behavior that leads to the need for the corrections. Until that behavior is stopped, cycles will be a constant.


And if the solution to that was regulating the lending industry you'd be ok with that?
Posted by stout
Smoking Crack with Hunter Biden
Member since Sep 2006
167230 posts
Posted on 9/25/23 at 9:06 pm to
quote:

I see a lot of unsecured credit defaults happening but not a housing crash.



There is already an uptick in foreclosure activity over the past several months. Overall it is still down or at par with precovid levels but a correction has to start somewhere. It's a snowball at the top of the hill right now.

I am not sure that it will be a full-on correction but the fact is activity has picked up.

Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
162217 posts
Posted on 9/25/23 at 9:07 pm to
quote:

How will the housing market crash when there’s a strong need for more housing?


A strong need for something that people can't afford would suggest that the prices and ability to buy things will eventually hit equilibrium
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
37084 posts
Posted on 9/25/23 at 9:08 pm to
Long term good

Short term bad
Posted by Timeoday
Easter Island
Member since Aug 2020
8631 posts
Posted on 9/25/23 at 9:13 pm to
quote:

And if the solution to that was regulating the lending industry you'd be ok with that?


Remember 2008? The regulated industry of finance was in an extremely over-leveraged position caused by criminal activity.

Only one person went to jail. The regulations were and are in place. Like politicians, the money changers do not ever see prison.
Posted by bhtigerfan
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2008
29438 posts
Posted on 9/25/23 at 9:17 pm to
quote:

A correction doesn't have to lead to foreclosures

I am sure it will but if you saw what I do all the time you would be numb to it.

Very few people lose their homes through no fault of their own like job loss, medical, etc.

The majority are people who manage money poorly and keep up with the Joneses.
Oh please. WTF makes you such an expert on home foreclosures?
Posted by El Segundo Guy
SE OK
Member since Aug 2014
9582 posts
Posted on 9/25/23 at 9:18 pm to
Very good.
Posted by stout
Smoking Crack with Hunter Biden
Member since Sep 2006
167230 posts
Posted on 9/25/23 at 9:19 pm to
quote:

Oh please. WTF makes you such an expert on home foreclosures?



Sarcasm?
Posted by tango029
Member since Dec 2022
531 posts
Posted on 9/25/23 at 9:19 pm to
Isn't the market already being corrected by inflation?

The devaluation of the dollar implicitly lowers these value of the homes over time so there may not be a hard correction.

Honestly I haven't seen a ton of overpriced homes near me, but definitely not seeing the unicorns much lately.

Usually this affects the coasts more though.
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