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Hurricane/Tropical Storm Idalia Discussion Thread
Posted on 8/13/23 at 7:04 pm
Posted on 8/13/23 at 7:04 pm
This post was edited on 8/30/23 at 4:33 pm
Posted on 8/13/23 at 7:06 pm to rds dc
How will my trip to Punta Gorda be?
Posted on 8/13/23 at 7:06 pm to Classy Doge
PJ has predicted a very quiet season. Rest easy.
Posted on 8/13/23 at 7:09 pm to genuineLSUtiger
quote:
PJ has predicted a very quiet season. Rest easy.
Oh shite. Gulf stackkked. LA frickkked.
Posted on 8/13/23 at 7:09 pm to rds dc
YouTube meteorologist spins a major one up in the GOM in September. Gonna bust Texas.
Posted on 8/13/23 at 7:10 pm to Classy Doge
Unless that "heat dome" (until this year, known as a high pressure system) parked over Texas/Northern Mexico moves, it's going to be like a fricking library for Louisiana.
Posted on 8/13/23 at 7:12 pm to rds dc
Another wasted thread
Too much dry air. Nothing will happen.
Like I said, another wasted thread. Too much dry air. Now wait in about 2 -3 weeks.
Too much dry air. Nothing will happen.
Like I said, another wasted thread. Too much dry air. Now wait in about 2 -3 weeks.
This post was edited on 8/22/23 at 11:29 pm
Posted on 8/13/23 at 7:12 pm to rds dc
Im here, just waiting for something tangible to track.
Posted on 8/13/23 at 7:13 pm to udtiger
quote:
Unless that "heat dome" (until this year, known as a high pressure system) parked over Texas/Northern Mexico moves, it's going to be like a fricking library for Louisiana.
This pattern should break down over the next couple of weeks once the EPAC outbreak subsides.
Posted on 8/13/23 at 7:14 pm to aTmTexas Dillo
quote:
YouTube meteorologist spins a major one up in the GOM in September.
A 3-4 week out prediction?
Thats bad even by this boards standards
This post was edited on 8/13/23 at 7:14 pm
Posted on 8/13/23 at 7:15 pm to Duke
quote:tell me when it’s going to rain again in Hammond
Duke
Posted on 8/13/23 at 7:15 pm to rds dc
Dr. Levi Cowan
@TropicalTidbits
As we enter the peak weeks of the Atlantic hurricane season, it will be interesting to see where genesis events are produced. Sometimes, El Nino's suppressive influence on the Caribbean leads to a northward shift in the favorable zone.
In a year when the Gulf of Mexico + west Atlantic warm pool is much warmer than normal, patterns such as this one in Week 2 ensemble forecasts can increase risks for genesis close to North America. Strong anticyclonic wave breaking at 200mb can lead to low to mid-level vorticity perturbations (such as from weak frontal boundaries or cutoff lows) being injected south of 30N, where warm water and deep moisture can lead to so-called "homegrown" TC genesis. Sometimes African easterly waves arrive from the east as an additional source of vorticity and moisture.
The plots of 200mb and 850mb zonal wind anomaly from the ECMWF ensemble below show an overlap of anticyclonic wave breaking over anomalous vorticity at the surface across the western Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico, which will be something to keep an eye on in late August.
Posted on 8/13/23 at 7:16 pm to Duke
quote:
Im here, just waiting for something tangible to track.
Something in the Gulf in a bit, hopefully, not tangible.
Posted on 8/13/23 at 7:16 pm to rds dc
Here’s my public announcement that I am not an expert.
Hold That Tiger10 mistakes my hurricane thread posts as expert opinions so I feel the need to clear the air before any subsequent posts in this or any future hurricane thread.
Carry on.
Hold That Tiger10 mistakes my hurricane thread posts as expert opinions so I feel the need to clear the air before any subsequent posts in this or any future hurricane thread.
Carry on.
Posted on 8/13/23 at 7:17 pm to rds dc
I know today one of our meterologist said an Easterly wave looks to be moving through the Gulf like 20-22 of August
Posted on 8/13/23 at 7:25 pm to rds dc
Just bring some fricking rain!
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