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Started By
Message
Stock Market Predictions For Remainder of 2023?
Posted on 3/3/23 at 10:31 am
Posted on 3/3/23 at 10:31 am
And how are you playing it?
Posted on 3/3/23 at 10:37 am to DUGAST
Going to keep maxing my 401k, Roth, and HSA. Same is it ever was. Not a soul on here "knows what it going to happen".
Posted on 3/3/23 at 10:43 am to ronricks
Roger that, that is why its called Predictions.
Posted on 3/3/23 at 10:46 am to DUGAST
It will go down and then up and then down again and then finally up an then down.
The order of which I'm not so sure.
But really it's going to goblin town.
The order of which I'm not so sure.
But really it's going to goblin town.
This post was edited on 3/3/23 at 10:47 am
Posted on 3/3/23 at 10:59 am to DUGAST
Since the bond market leads the stock market and it hasn’t been this inverted in 4 decades, we all know what type of pain is coming to the stock market and it usually happens about 18 months after initial inversion.
The VIX whale came back with a vengeance on Feb. 14 and is expecting a nasty spike near 50 by May expiration (VIX futures expire 3rd Wednesday of every month).
The VIX whale came back with a vengeance on Feb. 14 and is expecting a nasty spike near 50 by May expiration (VIX futures expire 3rd Wednesday of every month).
Posted on 3/3/23 at 11:39 am to DUGAST
The real question is how intense and for how long. We're in the beginning stages of stagflation already ( LINK), but the market is resisting that idea and the Fed still naively believes it can pull off a "soft landing" (hint: that's not happening).
Instead of learning from Volcker's lesson in combating sticky inflation (quickly raising rates well above CPI then lowering them as CPI lowers), the Fed's rate hesitancy will allow the market to keep refloating itself on hopeium after dropping whenever JP, JY, etc speaks and/or they raise rates (this may change when/if talking heads actually begin using "stagflation" consistently).
This means a longer period before we get into a true recovery.
Posted on 3/3/23 at 11:53 am to DUGAST
I have been waiting for the market to tank. Not a lot but at least down to the 3600 3700 level on the S&P. I have "put spreads" layered in on the March, April and May SPY to take advantage.
Right now that trade has been a dud.
For the year I expect the market to sell off/go down and then slowly start to build back up the rest of the year.
Right now that trade has been a dud.
For the year I expect the market to sell off/go down and then slowly start to build back up the rest of the year.
This post was edited on 3/3/23 at 12:06 pm
Posted on 3/3/23 at 11:53 am to DUGAST
Market as a whole will trade sideways for awhile. Some companies will do very well, some will go out of business.
Posted on 3/3/23 at 12:06 pm to DUGAST
oil to $100/bbl +
This post was edited on 3/3/23 at 12:08 pm
Posted on 3/3/23 at 12:39 pm to Shepherd88
quote:
Market as a whole will trade sideways for awhile. Some companies will do very well
This is how I see it.
S&P sold off 19% last yr, Nasdaq about 30%. Yet there were plenty of companies that ignored the selloff.
I think the tech/growth rally is a head fake.
Posted on 3/3/23 at 12:45 pm to Shepherd88
Agree with others sideways . Great days followed by bad days and it will end with us being a little lower by end of year.
Posted on 3/3/23 at 1:02 pm to DUGAST
Now that I can get paid to wait around, I'm positioned pretty conservative for my age. If we get "the big dump" I'll go all in as much as I can that doesn't keep me up at night. Still DCA every month as others have said either way though.
Posted on 3/4/23 at 1:12 pm to DUGAST
I’m playing it with a lot in fixed income, followed by equities commodity related companies, some commodity etfs and tech/biotech. I think the upside is limited to the 4300ish range +/- and therefore rallies should be for selling and raising cash.
Posted on 3/4/23 at 1:55 pm to DUGAST
Pumping in as much as I can for this year and the next 5 or 6 years.
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