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Fed is Taking an Absolute Beating on QE Bond Purchases

Posted on 3/1/23 at 9:17 am
Posted by Hussss
Helena, AL
Member since Oct 2016
7777 posts
Posted on 3/1/23 at 9:17 am
Why is this not discussed more?

Are they going to eventually fold like a cheap tent right into the arms of the World Bank, IMF, WEF, etc.??

Discuss.
Posted by I Love Bama
Alabama
Member since Nov 2007
38423 posts
Posted on 3/1/23 at 9:23 am to
quote:


Are they going to eventually fold like a cheap tent right into the arms of the World Bank, IMF, WEF, etc.??


Everyone does eventually. Gold and Bitcoin is the only way out.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
135713 posts
Posted on 3/1/23 at 11:07 am to
quote:

Fed is Taking an Absolute Beating on QE Bond Purchases ... Are they going to eventually fold like a cheap tent
Detail out how you'd anticipate that fold-up would occur, if you don't mind.
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
57978 posts
Posted on 3/1/23 at 11:32 am to
quote:

Fed is Taking an Absolute Beating on QE Bond Purchases


What do you mean? Bonds are a bit out of my wheelhouse, and I thought the Fed wasn't doing any more QE? LINK
This post was edited on 3/1/23 at 11:33 am
Posted by Tigers4life
The great US of A
Member since May 2004
1974 posts
Posted on 3/1/23 at 11:41 am to
The Fed has been selling billions of dollars' worth of bonds every month for a while now. QT not QE

Unless you're talking about losing money on the investment.
This post was edited on 3/1/23 at 11:45 am
Posted by ronricks
Member since Mar 2021
11082 posts
Posted on 3/1/23 at 11:57 am to
quote:

Bitcoin

Posted by The Baker
This is fine.
Member since Dec 2011
19087 posts
Posted on 3/1/23 at 12:08 pm to
quote:

Why is this not discussed more?
bc they arent doing that anymore? That was QE
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
135713 posts
Posted on 3/1/23 at 12:53 pm to
quote:

The Fed has been selling billions of dollars' worth of bonds
The Fed is actually not selling off bond holdings (as far as I'm aware). They're just not purchasing new securities to replace those reaching maturity. That is effectively paring their holdings back by about $95 billion (or about 1%) per month.

He may be talking about the differential between maturing bonds and current rates (which QT is deliberately driving). But with the DXY up >8% since QT initiation last year, I don't really understand where he's coming from.

Even w/ the ST-LT inversion, ST bonds are still substantially underperforming inflation, something which would also seem to favor the Fed. So I didn't get his bent.

When I'm conceptually that far off on this board, I figure there may be something I'm missing.
Posted by Hussss
Helena, AL
Member since Oct 2016
7777 posts
Posted on 3/1/23 at 3:46 pm to
quote:

Unless you're talking about losing money on the investment.


Exactly what I was referring to.

Unless they sold their entire bond portfolio in March 2020, they have been walloped.
Posted by Hussss
Helena, AL
Member since Oct 2016
7777 posts
Posted on 3/1/23 at 3:51 pm to
quote:

Detail out how you'd anticipate that fold-up would occur, if you don't mind.


They completely lose control which is what I have been shouting from the rooftops.

The Fed is the Emperor with absolutely no clothes and will be shown as such.

The bond market dwarfs them and leads them around by the nose.

They lead NOTHING as the media would have us believe.

They follow the 2Y Treasury Note.

Full stop.
This post was edited on 3/1/23 at 4:05 pm
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
135713 posts
Posted on 3/1/23 at 4:45 pm to
quote:

They completely lose control which is what I have been shouting from the rooftops.

The Fed is the Emperor with absolutely no clothes and will be shown as such.

I have to say, that is a really, really disappointing response.

I was hoping for insight as to how the WEF might absorb a US economic collapse, not because the WEF could (they obviously can't), but because any legit theories as to how it might happen would be eye openers for me.

Instead your response was complete nonsense.
Posted by LSUcam7
FL
Member since Sep 2016
8854 posts
Posted on 3/1/23 at 5:04 pm to
quote:

I have been shouting from the rooftops.




Posted by Jag_Warrior
Virginia
Member since May 2015
4292 posts
Posted on 3/1/23 at 5:07 pm to
Posted by GhostOfFreedom
Member since Jan 2021
13101 posts
Posted on 3/1/23 at 5:13 pm to
quote:

Gold and Bitcoin is the only way out.


Etherium, Loopring and Immutable X
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91362 posts
Posted on 3/1/23 at 7:50 pm to
Fed hasn’t lost a penny on QE purchases. Their yield to maturity when they bought them is exactly what they’ll make on the purchases.

Their opportunity cost is a different story, but not sure that’s really relevant for the Fed.
Posted by TigerDeBaiter
Member since Dec 2010
10670 posts
Posted on 3/1/23 at 8:34 pm to
quote:

Unless you're talking about losing money on the investment.


But do you really lose if you created the money in the first place?
Posted by RoyalWe
Prairieville, LA
Member since Mar 2018
4329 posts
Posted on 3/1/23 at 9:39 pm to
quote:

But do you really lose if you created the money in the first place?
The entire financial system is a human construct. Humanity needs the financial system, humanity designed the financial system, humanity makes the rules of the financial system. When the system struggles, humanity fixes it.

Yes, It's a Manipulated Market. So What?
Posted by Jag_Warrior
Virginia
Member since May 2015
4292 posts
Posted on 3/1/23 at 10:48 pm to
Excellent.

For anyone who hasn’t watched or heard of the movie Margin Call, I can’t recommend it highly enough. Only financially minded people will really “get it”, but I think many here will both enjoy it… and have something to think about (from an historical perspective).
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