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World Cup Draw - 4/1/22 - Probabilities of each USMNT Scenario
Posted on 3/31/22 at 5:01 pm
Posted on 3/31/22 at 5:01 pm
Yahoo! World Cup Draw 2022: How to watch, how it works and what the USMNT will root for
quote:
The 2022 World Cup draw is, on one hand, completely random, but on the other — well, consider this: The United States has a roughly 11.8% chance of drawing Portugal, a 0% chance of drawing Germany, and a 30.5% chance of drawing the winner of a single European playoff.
17
Posted on 3/31/22 at 5:03 pm to boomtapp
What sucks is that the European playoff team is our most likely draw from pot 4, which could be Wales - by far the toughest draw and eliminates any "easier" team.
Edit to add: and we cannot draw New Zealand because they are grouped with Costa Rica.
Edit to add: and we cannot draw New Zealand because they are grouped with Costa Rica.
This post was edited on 3/31/22 at 5:08 pm
Posted on 3/31/22 at 5:27 pm to boomtapp
So heckin' ready for this draw, mates 
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Posted on 3/31/22 at 6:03 pm to boomtapp
Who ever ends up in the Qatar group is the huge winner
Posted on 3/31/22 at 6:19 pm to boomtapp
They make this shite too complicated. Why all the “this one can’t play that one”? You essentially negate the advantages of being in a good POD.
Posted on 3/31/22 at 8:13 pm to boomtapp
This is wrong because history shows we have a 100% chance of drawing Ghana.
Posted on 3/31/22 at 8:27 pm to boomtapp
It’s dumb they draw before the two playoffs are over. What’s waiting a little while longer? We already moved the World Cup to frickin November.
Posted on 4/1/22 at 7:15 am to boomtapp
I plan to go home for lunch, but is this an event that will actually start the draw on time at 11:30 or will there be 30 minutes of talking and buildup until the draw actually starts at noon?
Posted on 4/1/22 at 8:48 am to boomtapp
Welp, in order from pot 1, here are the teams I would most like to face.
Pot 1
Qatar
Argentina
England
Spain
Portugal
Belgium
Brazil
France
I would feel ok with our chances (a point or a possible upset) against Argentina, England, and Spain. Portugal may be tough, and I would not favor our getting a point from Belgium, Brazil or France.
For Pot 3 - half the pot would be fine (Iran, Morocco, Japan, Korea, or Tunisia). I think Senegal, Serbia and Poland would be tougher for us. Unfortuantely we have a 50% chance of one of those three it appears.
Pot 1
Qatar
Argentina
England
Spain
Portugal
Belgium
Brazil
France
I would feel ok with our chances (a point or a possible upset) against Argentina, England, and Spain. Portugal may be tough, and I would not favor our getting a point from Belgium, Brazil or France.
For Pot 3 - half the pot would be fine (Iran, Morocco, Japan, Korea, or Tunisia). I think Senegal, Serbia and Poland would be tougher for us. Unfortuantely we have a 50% chance of one of those three it appears.
Posted on 4/1/22 at 9:32 am to boomtapp
So, Ghana has to be a lock right? Seems like USMNT play them every World Cup.
Posted on 4/1/22 at 11:02 am to boomtapp
So the World Cup officially has a terrorist as their mascot. Interesting
Posted on 4/1/22 at 11:13 am to boomtapp
Prediction:
Brazil
Poland
Ghana
USA
Brazil
Poland
Ghana
USA
Posted on 4/1/22 at 11:17 am to boomtapp
This is enough alone to revoke their cup
Shambolic
Shambolic
Posted on 4/1/22 at 12:01 pm to boomtapp
England good?
Posted on 4/1/22 at 12:19 pm to boomtapp
Iran
Yanks
Sweaty Socks
Senegal
France
Brazil
Germany
Easy route
Yanks
Sweaty Socks
Senegal
France
Brazil
Germany
Easy route
Posted on 4/1/22 at 12:34 pm to boomtapp
Feels like 1776
Posted on 4/1/22 at 12:49 pm to boomtapp
Decent draw.
Posted on 4/1/22 at 1:00 pm to boomtapp
so... according to the odds in the OP...
our draw is
Pot 1 - England 11.7% (team with the lowest percentage possible to be drawn with the USA in the pot)
Pot 3 - Iran 9.7% (tied for lowest)
Pot 4 - UEFA Playoff Winner 30.5% chance (highest)
our draw is
Pot 1 - England 11.7% (team with the lowest percentage possible to be drawn with the USA in the pot)
Pot 3 - Iran 9.7% (tied for lowest)
Pot 4 - UEFA Playoff Winner 30.5% chance (highest)
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