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L5UT1ger
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| Number of Posts: | 3122 |
| Registered on: | 2/26/2004 |
| Online Status: | Not Online |
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BEGIN: My first political talk post
I cannot believe Im posting something in here but:
This midterm crap is a cycle.
On any given day, you have folks that will side with one team or another no matter what. Its the ones in the middle that decide what happens, if they are inspired to vote.
Half of those in the middle are looking up at the other half. A majority of those looking up won't be happy with whoever is in control. A lot of folks on the upper half want it better, too. They figure its not great now, why not try something else.
Because of this, it makes sense for midterms to go against a President, especially one that has both houses.
If the President and both houses are on the same side, and people don't feel like things are great, they will want change because the ones in control for the last couple years have not made their life better despite being able to pass pretty much whatever they want and likely running on promises of prosperity that ain't happened.
Another thing is when a President has both houses, amongst other things, they pass shite that would never pass unless they had total control. Those things make the hard liners happy, but tend to be things not all that relevant to folks that are in the middle.
I believe thats a simple way to explain how you get a tendency for mid-terms to go against the team that is winning. The election mantras of each are similar based on who is in power prior to mid-terms:
The team in power at mid-terms tries to claim things are going great, middle voters don't agree.
The team in power tries to scare the middle voters with boogie men, middle voters don't care about culture crap over how shite is going in their actual home.
If its clearly not going well, the team in power tries to blame the other team and to "give them more time." Middle voters say frick that. You had tcouple years where you controlled everything and things are shite while you focused on bullshite culture wars crap over making sure my house isnt in bad shape.
The newly elected winning team campaigns on things like, the party in power "abondoned you and are trying to get you to focus on other bullshite when its crappy at your house" or "lets try to go purple and work together and get us out of these rough times." That resonates because middle folks feel like things suck now and they are not hard liners so they are willing to try something else.
Once the new team is in power, things get difficut for them. While the middle folks that are willing to vote for either team are the ones that truly control who wins, they dont vote unless inspired. Hard liners on both sides vote, no matter what. The new team in power has to pander to the hard liners on their team to get their votes because hard liners vote. Candidates line to up claim to be more RED or BLUE than the other fake RED or BLUE candidate. shite sways too far to one side or the other and the middle get pissed off enough to go vote. The middle folks dont vote as much because their identity is not based on politics.
The cycle repeats unless most folks think things are going great.
Presidents gain at midterms if most folks think that things are going great. Thats not very often.
END: My first political talk post
I cannot believe Im posting something in here but:
This midterm crap is a cycle.
On any given day, you have folks that will side with one team or another no matter what. Its the ones in the middle that decide what happens, if they are inspired to vote.
Half of those in the middle are looking up at the other half. A majority of those looking up won't be happy with whoever is in control. A lot of folks on the upper half want it better, too. They figure its not great now, why not try something else.
Because of this, it makes sense for midterms to go against a President, especially one that has both houses.
If the President and both houses are on the same side, and people don't feel like things are great, they will want change because the ones in control for the last couple years have not made their life better despite being able to pass pretty much whatever they want and likely running on promises of prosperity that ain't happened.
Another thing is when a President has both houses, amongst other things, they pass shite that would never pass unless they had total control. Those things make the hard liners happy, but tend to be things not all that relevant to folks that are in the middle.
I believe thats a simple way to explain how you get a tendency for mid-terms to go against the team that is winning. The election mantras of each are similar based on who is in power prior to mid-terms:
The team in power at mid-terms tries to claim things are going great, middle voters don't agree.
The team in power tries to scare the middle voters with boogie men, middle voters don't care about culture crap over how shite is going in their actual home.
If its clearly not going well, the team in power tries to blame the other team and to "give them more time." Middle voters say frick that. You had tcouple years where you controlled everything and things are shite while you focused on bullshite culture wars crap over making sure my house isnt in bad shape.
The newly elected winning team campaigns on things like, the party in power "abondoned you and are trying to get you to focus on other bullshite when its crappy at your house" or "lets try to go purple and work together and get us out of these rough times." That resonates because middle folks feel like things suck now and they are not hard liners so they are willing to try something else.
Once the new team is in power, things get difficut for them. While the middle folks that are willing to vote for either team are the ones that truly control who wins, they dont vote unless inspired. Hard liners on both sides vote, no matter what. The new team in power has to pander to the hard liners on their team to get their votes because hard liners vote. Candidates line to up claim to be more RED or BLUE than the other fake RED or BLUE candidate. shite sways too far to one side or the other and the middle get pissed off enough to go vote. The middle folks dont vote as much because their identity is not based on politics.
The cycle repeats unless most folks think things are going great.
Presidents gain at midterms if most folks think that things are going great. Thats not very often.
END: My first political talk post
re: LHSAA Week 10… playoff brackets are announced Sunday
Posted by L5UT1ger on 11/5/26 at 5:51 am to chalmetteowl
South Beauregard at St. Edmund Was moved to Thursday.
Cardinals. They get way too much attention.
re: Who was the worst starter on LSU's 2003 national championship team?
Posted by L5UT1ger on 10/31/26 at 9:53 pm to Bob the Terrible
Bring on the down votes:
QB. Punter. But, like has been said, it was a hell of a group of starters.
QB. Punter. But, like has been said, it was a hell of a group of starters.
She could definitely go buy a bunch of meat for me because the whole town is coming for dinner.
quote:
Who?
They never mentioned him. He was the black sheep of the family.
re: LHSAA Week 6
Posted by L5UT1ger on 10/8/26 at 2:33 pm to BringBackSaban 03
Pine Prairie at Plain Dealing
Absolutely the game of the week. 69 losses in a row between the two participants.
Absolutely the game of the week. 69 losses in a row between the two participants.
You forgot people who are drunk.
re: Ruston-Karr and St. Augustine-East Ascension tonight in the Superdome…
Posted by L5UT1ger on 9/18/26 at 11:39 pm to LSUAlum2001
quote:
Walker 3-0 and averaging 45ppg
They got a new OC in the offseason, I’m pretty sure.
re: What gang do you fear the most?
Posted by L5UT1ger on 9/18/26 at 10:08 am to Porter Osborne Jr
The one that stormed a fortress with Crocodile Dundee. Rat was their leader.
re: Ruston-Karr and St. Augustine-East Ascension tonight in the Superdome…
Posted by L5UT1ger on 9/18/26 at 3:55 am to chalmetteowl
quote:
Plain Dealing at Acadiana Christian
There’s a chance that the state’s longest losing streak comes to an end here.
re: LHSAA Week 2
Posted by L5UT1ger on 9/11/26 at 4:21 pm to Hangover Haven
I don’t. Out of my scope of practice. Noted. I’ll use reset your heart then.
Restart the breathing maybe. I dunno. They were doing compressions and shite.
Restart the breathing maybe. I dunno. They were doing compressions and shite.
re: LHSAA Week 2
Posted by L5UT1ger on 9/11/26 at 12:35 am to chalmetteowl
quote:
Sacred Heart (VP) at Avoyelles
Was at this game. It wasn’t your typical one.
Sacred heart is down 30-8. Their senior qb who waited three years to start gets out for the game, if not out for the year, type injured.
Another kid on their team has to have the AED used on him to restart his heart. Word is he will be ok. Thank God.
After those long delays, a soph comes in to play qb who didn’t get any live reps since 8th grade and throws 3-4 TDs. Sacred heart wins 48-30.
re: All + except for one thing
Posted by L5UT1ger on 9/6/26 at 9:56 am to NotaStarGazer
Kicker?
re: Star Trek: Strange New Worlds Season 4
Posted by L5UT1ger on 9/4/26 at 9:49 am to drizztiger
It was good, season 1 and 2, then it was good sporatically to where I watch in case its a good one only to be disappointed over and over. I just cant believe the people making this show give two fricks about Star Trek.
frick the people making this show with a splintery broomhandle. Im irrationally angry I waste my time watching this show.
re: Star Trek SNW: The Puppet Episode Finally Dropped. What a hot mess
Posted by L5UT1ger on 8/21/26 at 8:35 am to SouthEasternKaiju
How frustrating it is to be a person that enjoys Star Trek.
The first episode of this season was good. The black and white one was good, even though there were wayyy too many coincidences to make the story go.
This shite cannot be being made by anyone that cares for Star Trek.
The first episode of this season was good. The black and white one was good, even though there were wayyy too many coincidences to make the story go.
This shite cannot be being made by anyone that cares for Star Trek.
quote:
Hoping it’s a sign that they listened to the complaints about season 3
Nevermind
re: Who is the best/most famous athlete that you personally played against (at any level)?
Posted by L5UT1ger on 8/5/26 at 1:15 pm to choupiquesushi
quote:
I’d have cried like baby too
They had a good run in the early '90s.
It wasn't the minority scholarships they were getting when they had a special connection with the chancellor's right hand man?
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