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Message
re: 2021-2022 Ski Thread
Posted on 12/21/21 at 7:22 pm to Duke
Posted on 12/21/21 at 7:22 pm to Duke
Models interesting this afternoon, mostly with the Euro going nuts (in line with the ensembles). 20" predicted in the next ten days for Leadville off tbe Euro.
This is certainly aggressive but loving the huge numbers being cranked out from now till the New Year.
Everyone gets the cold and snow that needs it.
This is certainly aggressive but loving the huge numbers being cranked out from now till the New Year.
Everyone gets the cold and snow that needs it.
1
Posted on 12/21/21 at 9:33 pm to Duke
The GFS looks like it hits all of the PNW and west over the next week. From Baker to Tahoe to Park City to Crested, I like seeing blue on the map. Everybody wins 
Posted on 12/21/21 at 10:08 pm to CuseTiger
This pattern is beautiful.
Without something like a global circulation change (MJO to a different phase) or a sudden stratospheric warming (SSW), a western trough in the winter can be self reinforcing.
All the snow lets things cool efficiently at night, and all those heights are showing you is temps, since cold air is denser the 500 mb level is lower.
Cold NW/Warm SE
Big clashes in between, with lows launching off the front range with each disturbance that rolls around the big trough that just sits out west. At this point, practically everything should be open by the start of the year.
ETA: I've got to stop checking the Euro, because its been showing ridiculous snow for a day now. I'd be talking feet in Twin Lakes over the next ten days, which is so ridiculous I can't translate what that would actually look like on the I70 mountains, much less the Sierra type totals that would cover the San Juans.
Really interested in how the high res models start coming in for our Festivus/Christmas Eve storm. I'll actually start talking about that one in particular tomorrow.
ETA2:
Looking at the Utah totals for the next ten days and
I'm talking Park City and Deer Valley getting around 60" by NYD. Even if that undershoots, will be a lot of snow to get some terrain open in the coming days.
First blast of snow comes on the 23rd, just in time for goldennugget and Lefty.
This isn't just one model either, I'm talking all of them have numbers that ridiculous.
Without something like a global circulation change (MJO to a different phase) or a sudden stratospheric warming (SSW), a western trough in the winter can be self reinforcing.
All the snow lets things cool efficiently at night, and all those heights are showing you is temps, since cold air is denser the 500 mb level is lower.
Cold NW/Warm SE
Big clashes in between, with lows launching off the front range with each disturbance that rolls around the big trough that just sits out west. At this point, practically everything should be open by the start of the year.
ETA: I've got to stop checking the Euro, because its been showing ridiculous snow for a day now. I'd be talking feet in Twin Lakes over the next ten days, which is so ridiculous I can't translate what that would actually look like on the I70 mountains, much less the Sierra type totals that would cover the San Juans.
Really interested in how the high res models start coming in for our Festivus/Christmas Eve storm. I'll actually start talking about that one in particular tomorrow.
ETA2:
Looking at the Utah totals for the next ten days and
I'm talking Park City and Deer Valley getting around 60" by NYD. Even if that undershoots, will be a lot of snow to get some terrain open in the coming days.
First blast of snow comes on the 23rd, just in time for goldennugget and Lefty.
This isn't just one model either, I'm talking all of them have numbers that ridiculous.
This post was edited on 12/22/21 at 1:54 am
Posted on 12/22/21 at 5:54 am to Duke
Yep, we got lucky planning our trip. I'll be in PC this afternoon.
Posted on 12/22/21 at 5:58 am to Duke
So it's looking like my plans to be in BrecK starting Monday and though Friday is looking golden? Did I get lucky?
Posted on 12/22/21 at 6:25 am to Dock Holiday
Breck still doesn’t have much terrain open. Hopefully they can get more open with the upcoming snow but I wouldn’t say it’s enough snow to make a lot of terrain openings a sure thing, like Tahoe or Utah are going to get.
This post was edited on 12/22/21 at 6:26 am
Posted on 12/22/21 at 9:00 am to TigerSaintInDallas
Here in Park City. Going to try to make the most of today and hope that I can get 2 good days on Friday and Saturday
Posted on 12/22/21 at 9:33 am to goldennugget
How many lifts/trails are open? I'll be skiing Friday for sure.
Posted on 12/22/21 at 10:01 am to Dock Holiday
quote:
So it's looking like my plans to be in BrecK starting Monday and though Friday is looking golden? Did I get lucky?
Its too bad youre not coming a week later.
Breck's position hasnt been beneficial with the wind directions thus far. We got two storms coming before you get here though, which I think will help a lot. Especially the first one, which should bring some good wet snow thats ideal for base building.
Youll get more snow while here too.
Posted on 12/22/21 at 10:27 am to goldennugget
You're almost guaranteed to have better conditions than I did over the weekend. Looks like they have 49 trails open now but I know it's gonna start getting busy with the holiday approaching.
Posted on 12/22/21 at 11:34 am to LSUlefty
19 lifts and 49 runs
Posted on 12/22/21 at 11:48 am to H2O Tiger
Jackson Hole opened Big Red yesterday. 
Wondering if I'm gonna have the balls to send Corbet's.
Wondering if I'm gonna have the balls to send Corbet's.
Posted on 12/22/21 at 1:06 pm to H2O Tiger
quote:
You're almost guaranteed to have better conditions than I did over the weekend.
being there for Thanksgiving and driving back and forth to Brighton every day, I have no sympathy for either of you
That being said, Brighton was awesome and don't think I would have got to experience it otherwise.
Posted on 12/22/21 at 2:09 pm to LSUlefty
49. I've pretty much done all I can on the PC side. Way too crowded on the groomers. The mogul runs off MCconkeys are the only ones not crowded so I dod those twice each.. Seen way too many ski patrol sleds and collisions today
Trying to get over to the Canyon side. Pain in the arse since you have to take the bus.
Trying to get over to the Canyon side. Pain in the arse since you have to take the bus.
Posted on 12/22/21 at 2:09 pm to goldennugget
I've literally wasted an hour already trying to get to Canyons
Posted on 12/22/21 at 2:34 pm to goldennugget
That sucks. Snow and Christmas Eve and Day skiing to come at least.
Posted on 12/22/21 at 2:35 pm to goldennugget
Got a trip planned to Tahoe on JAn 6th-10th. Hoping to see some snow falling.
Posted on 12/22/21 at 2:36 pm to benoit_BayouBengals
quote:
Got a trip planned to Tahoe on JAn 6th-10th
I'll meet you there, in the area Jan 6-9
Posted on 12/22/21 at 2:54 pm to goldennugget
We didn't even try to go to Canyons on our trip.
Posted on 12/22/21 at 3:46 pm to CuseTiger
Almost went there. Heavenly was the cheapest trip by far.
Under $1500/pp for a week, all in minus meals.
Under $1500/pp for a week, all in minus meals.
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