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re: BBC has a bracket that updates after every match. You can see future paths to the finals.

Posted on 6/22/26 at 10:51 am to
Posted by BamaCoaster
God's Gulf
Member since Apr 2016
7293 posts
Posted on 6/22/26 at 10:51 am to
quote:

If I understand it correctly - if either Bosnia or Qatar win their game and don't draw, we get the winner of that game in R32? Then Egypt/Czech in R16 and a possible Spain matchup in QF.


If it ended today, you are correct.
Egypt winning last night was huge imo.
They get a result against Iran and we play them most likely in the round of 16, which is a good draw for us imo.
Posted by tzimme4
Metairie
Member since Jan 2008
33647 posts
Posted on 6/22/26 at 10:59 am to
US will get the Bosnia/Qatar winner. Then should they advance to the quarterfinals get eliminated by Spain.

Both Bosnia/Qatar know they can't draw so someone will score late if that's the case.
This post was edited on 6/22/26 at 11:00 am
Posted by Riseupfromtherubble
You'll Never Walk Alone
Member since Jun 2011
40195 posts
Posted on 6/22/26 at 11:00 am to
quote:

US will get the Bosnia/Qatar winner


It's soccer. There might not be a Bosnia/Qatar winner
Posted by tzimme4
Metairie
Member since Jan 2008
33647 posts
Posted on 6/22/26 at 11:12 am to
Both teams will get eliminated if there's a tie. Someone will do something desperate late in the game if they're tied in extras
Posted by lsutigers1987
Member since Jun 2022
93 posts
Posted on 6/24/26 at 6:22 pm to
Does anyone understand this? Why would the US, as a host, have to play the best 3rd place team?
Posted by OldManRiver
Prairieville, LA
Member since Jan 2005
7687 posts
Posted on 6/24/26 at 6:54 pm to
quote:

Why would the US, as a host, have to play the best 3rd place team?

We don't, we play one of the "8 best" third place teams but according a set of pre-determined criteria

Right now it's 99% that we play the Group B team, Bosnia. There are some combo of other results that could us the Group I or Group J teams

It doesn't really matter if Bosnia is the #1 ranked 3rd place team or the 8th, just that they are in Group B
Posted by etm512
Mandeville, LA
Member since Aug 2005
21052 posts
Posted on 6/25/26 at 8:48 am to
There are 120 possible combinations of 3rd place teams left. 119 of those have us playing the group B team which is Bosnia. The other one has us playing group I. The iteration for that lone circumstance is having 3rd place teams from the following groups advance: B, E, G, H, I, J, K and L

LINK

You can sort to see the remaining possible combinations and go from there
Posted by DestrehanTiger
Houston, TX by way of Louisiana
Member since Nov 2005
13563 posts
Posted on 6/25/26 at 8:53 am to
quote:

etm512



Thanks for pointing that out. That is pretty interesting. So, our only potential opponents are Bosnia, Senegal, or Iraq. 99% chance we play Bosnia and 1% one of the other 2.
Posted by etm512
Mandeville, LA
Member since Aug 2005
21052 posts
Posted on 6/25/26 at 9:00 am to
Correct and we could potentially know today as the iteration for that 1% involved a 3rd place team from Group E which means either Ecuador needs to beat Germany or Curacao needs to be Ivory Coast to have a realistic shot. If neither of those teams gets a victory they are both stuck on 2 or less points and will most likely not advance. If they both lose they are done
Posted by OldManRiver
Prairieville, LA
Member since Jan 2005
7687 posts
Posted on 6/25/26 at 2:32 pm to
The South Africa win was actually big last night. Had SK won or there was a draw, Group A would have 2 teams on 2 points or less and thus wouldn't be sending a 3rd place team, which is one of the triggers for the 1/320 scenario to happen

Now, SK is a 95%+ favorite to be a 3rd place team
Posted by Adam Banks
District 5
Member since Sep 2009
38184 posts
Posted on 6/25/26 at 4:20 pm to
If Iran beats Egypt do we get Iran in the second round?
Posted by jmarto1
Houma, LA/ Las Vegas, NV
Member since Mar 2008
39018 posts
Posted on 6/25/26 at 4:35 pm to
FIFA is clever enough to know a deep run by the country with the largest untapped market for them, while holding the WC on their soil, would be really good for the coffers
Posted by evil cockroach
27.98N // 86.92E
Member since Nov 2007
9294 posts
Posted on 6/25/26 at 9:22 pm to
Fox just confirmed . USA - Bosnia
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