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Would you be shocked if Phil Bredesen (D) wins the TN Senate race over Marsha Blackburn?

Posted on 9/14/18 at 7:47 am
Posted by GetCocky11
Calgary, AB
Member since Oct 2012
51304 posts
Posted on 9/14/18 at 7:47 am
Polls seem to have this race as a dead heat, and I think this will be the race to watch (not the TX Senate race).

Bredesen is a popular former Governor. Nobody seems to like Blackburn.
Posted by Magician2
Member since Oct 2015
14553 posts
Posted on 9/14/18 at 7:50 am to
Not at all.

The polls lately have actually been favorable to Blackburn. Seems like it’s going to come down to turnout for the R.
Posted by GetCocky11
Calgary, AB
Member since Oct 2012
51304 posts
Posted on 9/14/18 at 7:57 am to
quote:

Not at all.


From the lack of combativeness from the PoliBoard I'm getting to this thread, I think nobody would be shocked.
Posted by Volsfan82169
Spring Hill, TN
Member since Aug 2016
2935 posts
Posted on 9/14/18 at 8:00 am to
Bredesen brings wider appeal because as Nashville mayor and TN Governor, he was more of a moderate. His appeal also comes from the fact that he lured the Oilers to Tennessee. He is well liked by many establishment Republicans, like Bob Corker.

That being said, I'd be surprised if he wins. This state is still red and more light is being shined on the fact that he would be a rubber stamp for Schumer. That wouldn't go over well here. East Tennessee needs to turn out in huge numbers to ensure it offsets Nashville and Memphis.
Posted by Magician2
Member since Oct 2015
14553 posts
Posted on 9/14/18 at 8:00 am to
It’s been brought up a few times on the board the last few months. Some Tennessee posters agree with your assertion and wouldn’t be surprised either. They did say it’s going to be a nail biter regardless.
Posted by SSpaniel
Germantown
Member since Feb 2013
29658 posts
Posted on 9/14/18 at 8:04 am to
quote:

Would you be shocked if Phil Bredesen (D) wins the TN Senate race over Marsha Blackburn?

Not at all. In fact, I'd almost be more shocked if he didn't win. It just seems like, at least in this part of the state, that he's more liked, known and gets more press/whatever than Blackburn. At least in Shelby County. Which is really no big surprise. Seems like we are "eat up" with stupid people.
This post was edited on 9/14/18 at 8:05 am
Posted by Shenanigans
Spring Hill, TN
Member since Nov 2012
2394 posts
Posted on 9/14/18 at 8:29 am to
I wouldn’t be shocked at all unfortunately.

I’ve done my part though. My dad (big MAGA supporter) and mom (moderate who held her nose and voted for Trump due to him not being Hillary), were both telling me they find Marsha to be fake and on the take, and they were voting for Bredesen because they remember him as a pretty successful governor who got things done for the state.

I’ve now convinced both of them that no matter how moderate or bipartisan he claims to be, will vote in lockstep with Chuck Schumer 100% of the time if elected. Showed them the results of the tax cut vote in the senate the first time around and pointed them to Gorsuch’s nomination and what’s going on with Kavanaugh. They finally believe me and both say they’re now voting for Marsha. I’m sure there are other aspects, but I’m taking credit here.
Posted by GetCocky11
Calgary, AB
Member since Oct 2012
51304 posts
Posted on 9/14/18 at 8:36 am to
quote:

I’ve now convinced both of them that no matter how moderate or bipartisan he claims to be, will vote in lockstep with Chuck Schumer 100% of the time if elected. Showed them the results of the tax cut vote in the senate the first time around and pointed them to Gorsuch’s nomination and what’s going on with Kavanaugh. They finally believe me and both say they’re now voting for Marsha. I’m sure there are other aspects, but I’m taking credit here.



If Doug Jones votes for Kavanaugh, Bredesen can use that.
Posted by SirWinston
PNW
Member since Jul 2014
81893 posts
Posted on 9/14/18 at 8:38 am to
Bredesen is like the new Jim Webb of the poliboard.
Posted by Sentrius
Fort Rozz
Member since Jun 2011
64757 posts
Posted on 9/14/18 at 8:48 am to
quote:

Bredesen is like the new Jim Webb of the poliboard.



The way his face looks just rubs me the wrong way for some reason. A touch of soy up there.

Posted by RoyalAir
Detroit
Member since Dec 2012
5889 posts
Posted on 9/14/18 at 9:11 am to
Bredesen is a popular governor, but I don't see much traction for his campaign in SE Tennessee. Blackburn and co. have done a good job painting him as a high tax guy, against the tax cuts, and a rubber-stamp Dem.

He doesn't appeal to typical Democrat voters, eg your inner city minorities, because that counters his attempt to paint himself a moderate. I mean, he'll get the Signal Mountain liberals who literally live above their inferiors, but he's not going to get much of the working class and suburban vote here.

Nashville and Memphis may be a very different story, though.
Posted by bmy
Nashville
Member since Oct 2007
48203 posts
Posted on 9/14/18 at 9:26 am to
Fingers crossed
Posted by roadGator
Member since Feb 2009
140565 posts
Posted on 9/14/18 at 9:30 am to
You probably cross your legs like a 1960s starlet.
Posted by bmy
Nashville
Member since Oct 2007
48203 posts
Posted on 9/14/18 at 9:32 am to


I dont want either party to have too much power
Posted by Parmen
Member since Apr 2016
18317 posts
Posted on 9/14/18 at 9:35 am to
Blackburn was a terrible candidate
Posted by Shenanigans
Spring Hill, TN
Member since Nov 2012
2394 posts
Posted on 9/14/18 at 9:41 am to
He will carry Memphis easily since he has a D next to his name, and I expect him to carry Davidson county as well given his name recognition and time as mayor/governor.

I think Marsha will carry almost every other county in the state, but not sure it will be enough. Like other posters have said, it comes down to enthusiasm and turnout.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Carolinas
Member since Sep 2003
123951 posts
Posted on 9/14/18 at 9:42 am to
quote:

Bredesen is a popular former Governor. Nobody seems to like Blackburn.
quote:

Would you be shocked if Phil Bredesen (D) wins the TN Senate race over Marsha Blackburn?
No.
Posted by KiwiHead
Auckland, NZ
Member since Jul 2014
27578 posts
Posted on 9/14/18 at 9:54 am to
quote:

Blackburn was a terrible candidate



It's not that she's a terrible candidate it's that Bredesen is a superior candidate. She's using her Republican Congressional caucus as a surrogate because she has to be in DC more right now. The fact that Bredesen has not started to pull away tells me she has some traction
Posted by DaGarun
Smashville
Member since Nov 2007
26185 posts
Posted on 9/14/18 at 10:11 am to
It wouldnt surprise me at all. He was relatively popular here
Posted by RCDfan1950
United States
Member since Feb 2007
34959 posts
Posted on 9/14/18 at 10:17 am to
Factor in a Trump Rally a few days before the Vote. Trump will dump on Bresden; I.e., tell the truth of how Bresden will vote.

Also, there will be a vote to make PERMANENT this years tax cuts, right before the election. Don't think that won't count too.

Declassification, and call-outs on where Candidates stand.

Today's polls are irrelevant in relation to the projected vote.
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