- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
re: Why hasn't any pollster besides Rasmussen released a national poll in such a long time?
Posted on 8/12/24 at 1:19 pm to TxTiger82
Posted on 8/12/24 at 1:19 pm to TxTiger82
quote:
Trafalgar also predicted the following people would win in 2022:
Mehmet Oz
Herschel Walker
Kari Lake
Blake Masters
(and others)
All of those people lost.
All of these states had major voter fraud. That will nullify valid polling.
1
Posted on 8/12/24 at 1:21 pm to damnstrongfan
quote:Always a convenient fall back to avoid reality. In 2022? No.
All of these states had major voter fraud. That will nullify valid polling
Posted on 8/12/24 at 1:23 pm to Jake88
quote:
But weren't those all with polling up to 8/4 at the latest?
Some of those had radically altered the voter mix to show a Kamala improvement over Biden and provide a boost.
Posted on 8/12/24 at 1:54 pm to FlexDawg
The MSM is waiting until after the DNC to flood the media with polling, knowing that Harris will get a convention boost.
Posted on 8/12/24 at 2:01 pm to FlexDawg
Isn't it crazy that a politician gets a 10-12 point jump based off of nothing?
That's craziness lol.
That's craziness lol.
Posted on 8/12/24 at 2:04 pm to TxTiger82
quote:
rafalgar hasn't performed much better. They accurately predicted Trump's 2016 win, but have whiffed on every election since then.
RCP has them as third most accurate in 2020, but they sucked in 2018 and 2022. From 2014-2022 they are 5th most accurate ahead of NYT, CNN, Fox, etc.
Looking at the RCP accuracy chart looks like Trafalgar and Rasmussen both are solid for presidential polling but suck for congressional races.
Posted on 8/12/24 at 2:24 pm to lionward2014
quote:Can you link that?
RCP has them as third most accurate in 2020
Posted on 8/12/24 at 2:30 pm to JoeHackett
quote:
NYT/Sienna poll was released on 8/10 and was done 8/5-8/9 (this one isn't national, nevermind)
LINK
Reuters/Ipsos poll was realeased on 8/8 and was done 8/2-8/7
LINK
YouGov/Economist poll was released on 8/7 and was done 8/4-8/6
LINK
RCP is not publishing any of these. Why?
Posted on 8/12/24 at 2:31 pm to FlexDawg
It's The Economy.
Democrats can't escape it
Democrats can't escape it
Posted on 8/12/24 at 2:33 pm to Jake88
quote:quote:
RCP has them as third most accurate in 2020
Can you link that?
Looks like RCP does not have any national 2020 polls for Trafalgar. Just state polls.
Posted on 8/12/24 at 2:57 pm to Jake88
quote:
Can you link that?
RealClearPolitics Pollster Scorecard
Third chart on there.
This post was edited on 8/12/24 at 2:58 pm
Posted on 8/12/24 at 3:08 pm to FlexDawg
I told you why last week, they were using polls from when she got a RESPONE BIAS, meaning the Dems were buoyed by Biden quitting so more Dems said YES I WILL TALK, its that simple, Women went from 53% of respondents to 58%. You should never as a pollster allow a response bias to overcome the facts, but the Dems love Propaganda, so they have three polls from ONE DATA POINT SET, the CBS poll, the You Gov. poll and the Emerson poll all from one data set guy polling for them then they each TWEAK the info with their own interpretations/weights and thus all three being counted on the RCP average is complete BS, plus they all came from the exact moment she announced and just after, capturing a RESPONE BIAS.
They did the same thing for Biden after the State of the Union, a poll was released three weeks after the SOTU that had Data from just after the SOTU, its complete BS.
They did the same thing for Biden after the State of the Union, a poll was released three weeks after the SOTU that had Data from just after the SOTU, its complete BS.
This post was edited on 8/12/24 at 5:15 pm
Posted on 8/12/24 at 3:13 pm to lionward2014
Thanks.
Posted on 8/12/24 at 3:19 pm to Fun Bunch
I believe Rasmussen doesn’t get money from any political parties or corporations. Therefore, they have to be as accurate as possible to generate income. Most of the other polls are government, political pacs, and media corporations funded.
Page 3 of 3
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News