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re: Why aren't Republicans talking about the deficit?
Posted on 11/14/14 at 1:06 pm to Hawkeye95
Posted on 11/14/14 at 1:06 pm to Hawkeye95
quote:
I mean, I know what the rant would say but I would hope people here are smart enough to realize that shaving nearly a trillion dollars off the deficit in 4 years is "good job"
You yourself said TARP inflated Bush's bad year. TARP wasn't built-in permanently, so I disagree with the characterization that Obama "shaved" that. In fact, Obama's budgets benefited directly from its repayment.
Regardless, as I indicate, the structural aspect of the deficits is what matters to me, so using TARP's year (especially without considering its payback) as a baseline when it is in fact an outlier only serves the goal of obfuscating.
quote:
Is it enough? No. But its a start.
Sure. But even years ago, before this start materialized, both it and its soon-to-follow reversal had already been put in place. So I'm not sure it actually even does count as a start, since we gave up on the follow-thru before we began.
quote:
Fair enough, but honestly I think if the deficit is his fault, then the reduction in the deficit can be attributed to him. And for that he deserves a "good job"
Ok. The metric we are talking about has little meaning then. Our revenue & spending plans still suck arse, and a year where a deficit looks small compared to a conveniently & temporarily-huge baseline is just a shallow thing to tout as progress when we know it won't continue by design.
[This is, of course, looking past the fact that attributing the 2009 deficit baseline fully to Bush, without which this "trend" is meaningless, is partially dishonest.]
Posted on 11/14/14 at 1:23 pm to Hawkeye95
quote:
Let's say you take a football team from losing 10 games a season and instead they lose 4, did the coach do a "good job" or does he still suck since they didn't win the MNC?
If we're going to play this game, then yes, that is an improvement based on your premise.
If he did it by paying recruits to be good during his tenure knowing he would eventually get caught, but by the time sanctions hit the university and they had to address it (aka Pete Carroll), He'd be gone, how would you then feel about those 4 loss seasons?
Because that's what's actually happening
This post was edited on 11/14/14 at 1:27 pm
Posted on 11/14/14 at 1:29 pm to Hawkeye95
quote:
mean, I know what the rant would say but I would hope people here are smart enough to realize that shaving nearly a trillion dollars off the deficit in 4 years is "good job"
There is simply no way an intelligent person could honestly argue this is true.
Posted on 11/14/14 at 1:29 pm to Hawkeye95
quote:
but honestly I think if the deficit is his fault, then the reduction in the deficit can be attributed to him.
No. Even if we take TARP into account, Obama still takes most of the blame because as a Senator he voted for it.
For the 2009 spending, he voted for it (as a Senator) and added to it (as a President) and then signed it into law. Thus his culpability is much higher than that of GWB so he gets "credit" for it.
quote:
And for that he deserves a "good job"
For more than doubling the debt in his first term? For pushing off the costs of his signature legislation until his re-election is no longer an issue? For having a deficit that is still higher than Bush's highest one even though lowering spending was one of his 2008 election platforms?
Posted on 11/14/14 at 1:30 pm to 90proofprofessional
quote:
You yourself said TARP inflated Bush's bad year. TARP wasn't built-in permanently, so I disagree with the characterization that Obama "shaved" that. In fact, Obama's budgets benefited directly from its repayment.
Regardless, as I indicate, the structural aspect of the deficits is what matters to me, so using TARP's year (especially without considering its payback) as a baseline when it is in fact an outlier only serves the goal of obfuscating.
Right but we have republicans here saying 2009 was his fault. I just don't see how it can be his fault/not his fault simultaneously.
quote:
Sure. But even years ago, before this start materialized, both it and its soon-to-follow reversal had already been put in place. So I'm not sure it actually even does count as a start, since we gave up on the follow-thru before we began.
So he has no control over the deficit?
This is the thing, he either is responsible, partially responsible, or not responsible. Its intellectually dishonest to not be consistent.
You have to admit that republicans have a really hard time complimenting obama. Even a stopped clock is right twice a day, but here? Obama is wrong 110% of the time. Its comical, and infuriating at the same time.
quote:
Our revenue & spending plans still suck arse
Yes, from an objective point of view anything but budget neutral or paying down our debt - sucks arse. But from a subjective point of view, the situation is much better than it was.
I bet if you were to poll this board 5 years ago, they would have said we would still have trillion dollar deficits.
quote:
[This is, of course, looking past the fact that attributing the 2009 deficit baseline fully to Bush, without which this "trend" is meaningless, is partially dishonest.]
I fully accept that obama has 200B of the deficit for FY2009. But the other 1.2T, that is bush. Is it fair to use that as a baseline? Maybe not. Let's use 2010 then, which was also about 1.3T. Its still a massive reduction.
Posted on 11/14/14 at 1:52 pm to TK421
quote:
I would hope people here are smart enough to realize that shaving nearly a trillion dollars off the deficit in 4 years is "good job"
Glad to know we are the test subjects of DNC talking points.
If my wife ever learns this definition of "good" fiscal policy my financial situation at home is going to go south quick.
Posted on 11/14/14 at 2:03 pm to Hawkeye95
quote:
I would hope people here are smart enough to realize that shaving nearly a trillion dollars off the deficit in 4 years is "good job"
Raised it by a Trillion then dropped it by ~800B. To update my shooting analogy... he put 10 bullet holes in us and now we are supposed to give him an "attaboy" for handing us 8 Band-Aids.
Posted on 11/14/14 at 2:07 pm to Hawkeye95
quote:
Is it fair to use that as a baseline? Maybe not. Let's use 2010 then, which was also about 1.3T.
The point of the baseline is to compare Obama's deficits to Bush's. So perhaps it should be the average of 2001-2009.
Or at very worst, 2009 adjusted for TARP that was directly repaid & adjusted for 2009 ARRA outlays. Or, pull the TARP repayments out of Obama's revenues in 2010-12. That's the exaggeration I was talking about, but I don't even care about this aspect. The 2009 budget is largely on Bush, but not to the degree usually used in these discussions. These accounting details of why 2009 isn't a fair comparison are irrelevant, simply because it was an outlier year.
quote:
Right but we have republicans here saying 2009 was his fault. I just don't see how it can be his fault/not his fault simultaneously.
I see both as partially responsible- Bush more so. I suspect we probably mostly agree there.
However 2009 is certainly not representative of Bush's deficits.
quote:
So he has no control over the deficit?
This is the thing, he either is responsible, partially responsible, or not responsible. Its intellectually dishonest to not be consistent.
Wat. You say this to me after I say that the current deficits don't count very much as "progress" or a "start". That has no bearing on what degree of control Obama has- what we are seeing is what our current policies yield and has been projected, accurately, for years now. Regarding what I think he's responsible for- I'd say that it's quite fair that the long-term budget effects of ACA and the piece of the Bush Tax Cuts that he made permanent are on him.
After all that fiscal cliff saga, we knew via CBO that deficits would shrink to 2015 then continue expanding. Since then, nothing has been done to improve current or future deficits, yet the deficit reductions have been touted as progress. Meanwhile there is literally no reason to think anything other than "this deficit trend is temporary and will reverse."
And of course, as things may look to be improving if you don't look hard, credit is being taken. Does he deserve it all when some of it was the sequester?
quote:
Yes, from an objective point of view anything but budget neutral or paying down our debt - sucks arse.
My standard is actually lower than that, I shite you not- what I want to see is a comprehensive plan signed into law where deficits still exist (and start historical averages) but GDP grows faster than they do. With the caveat that this is not accomplished using budget tricks.
Posted on 11/14/14 at 3:03 pm to FT
quote:
So you're totally unable to realize that if this trend continues, we will be able to start paying down the debt?
Was this addressed somewhere in the seven ensuing pages?
Posted on 11/14/14 at 3:09 pm to FT
quote:
Why aren't Republicans talking about the deficit?
quote:and if you're incoherent of simple math, you think that the reduction (from record levels) is something to celebrate.
If you’re a troll, you refuse to celebrate the extraordinary reduction in the federal deficit that has happened in such a short time.
Posted on 11/14/14 at 3:10 pm to FT
quote:You should have a look at CBO predictions in the out years post 2017...
So you're totally unable to realize that if this trend continues, we will be able to start paying down the debt?
Posted on 11/14/14 at 3:12 pm to 90proofprofessional
quote:TARP and the Stimulus both.
You yourself said TARP inflated Bush's bad year.
Posted on 11/14/14 at 4:20 pm to FT
The party in power doesn't talk about deficits. The dems where whining about deficits when bushie and an r congress was in charge. The rs were not
This post was edited on 11/14/14 at 4:20 pm
Posted on 11/14/14 at 4:23 pm to SpidermanTUba
Hey.
We agree.
Great weekend to all!
We agree.
Great weekend to all!
Posted on 11/14/14 at 4:25 pm to goatmilker
You will find my opinions to be less biased the further back in time they pertain to. I used to think bushie was the worst president ever. I've tempered that a bit. Iraq was a horrible mistake but outside of that his presidency was about average.
This post was edited on 11/14/14 at 4:26 pm
Posted on 11/14/14 at 4:25 pm to goatmilker
Are y'all still discussing this dumb shite?
Posted on 11/14/14 at 4:33 pm to FT
quote:
In dollar terms, 2014 was the lowest federal deficit since 2008
Lulz
Pass a trillion dollar stimulus and make it look like spending is decreasing. Some of you
Posted on 11/14/14 at 4:49 pm to FT
quote:
Are y'all still discussing this dumb shite?
The dumb shite you posted? Yes.
Posted on 11/14/14 at 4:55 pm to Bard
quote:
The dumb shite you posted?
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