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Message

re: What happens if China has to call in our

Posted on 2/23/20 at 7:29 pm to
Posted by TrueTiger
Chicken's most valuable
Member since Sep 2004
67989 posts
Posted on 2/23/20 at 7:29 pm to
Just mint a trillion dollar coin and pop it in the mail.
Posted by OchoDedos
Republic of Texas
Member since Oct 2014
34114 posts
Posted on 2/23/20 at 7:44 pm to
quote:

Their currency would collapse in a somewhat unknown reality.


They're already playing with Monopoly money
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
126962 posts
Posted on 2/23/20 at 7:44 pm to
quote:

What happens if China has to call in our
debt because of Coronavirus?
This statement makes no sense. The issuer of debt “calls” the debt early, meaning pays off the debt earlier than maturity. The borrower doesn’t call debt.

If China needs dollars before their bonds mature they can sell their U.S. bills, notes and/or bonds. The U.S. sovereign debt market is the most liquid market in the world.
Posted by TidalTim
Member since Jul 2017
867 posts
Posted on 2/23/20 at 7:46 pm to
I could be wrong I have been at least 2 times,but I think Trump has had over 400 businesses,and I think 4 have gone bankrupt.1 is bad, but still pretty good track record.
Posted by GregMaddux
LSU Fan
Member since Jun 2011
18213 posts
Posted on 2/23/20 at 7:47 pm to
It’s their most pathetic talking point easily.
Posted by Worx
Member since Jan 2020
249 posts
Posted on 2/23/20 at 7:55 pm to
China bought debt with risk. I don't think they will be paid back.
Posted by Bestbank Tiger
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2005
71177 posts
Posted on 2/23/20 at 7:56 pm to
They can't call it in. The debt is in the form of bonds with a maturity date.
Posted by Tiger Prawn
Member since Dec 2016
21916 posts
Posted on 2/23/20 at 7:57 pm to
We'll offer to give them Guam to settle the debt.


Jokes on them though when they start moving troops over there and it tips over
Posted by LoneStarRanger
Texas/Europe
Member since Aug 2018
2404 posts
Posted on 2/23/20 at 8:20 pm to
If they call it in, guess what, we have a more powerful military.
Posted by Mizzoufan26
Vacaville CA
Member since Sep 2012
17222 posts
Posted on 2/23/20 at 8:30 pm to
quote:

debt because of Coronavirus? Can they if they need the money to survive? Asking for a friend.


Our debt should be far less than the sanctions placed on them for letting this shite happen
Posted by Sidicous
Middle of Nowhere
Member since Aug 2015
17191 posts
Posted on 2/23/20 at 8:47 pm to
China doesn't hold all that much.

401k's and Investor Fund Accounts are the vast majority. Stuff like Union, Teachers, Public Workers, those retirement fund accounts, this is where the vast overwhelming majority of US Debt issuance lies.

Think of it as employee stock ownership. All those retirement funds are the employees and the debt is held by them. Sooo, as long as portfolio managers keep buying US Debt and the unions and other employee groups keep hiring these fund managers, the retirement funds will continue to firewall the US treasury.
Posted by mule74
Watersound Beach
Member since Nov 2004
11303 posts
Posted on 2/23/20 at 9:13 pm to
When you owe the bank $10,000 that’s your problem.

When you owe China one trillion dollars, that’s their problem.
Posted by funnystuff
Member since Nov 2012
8330 posts
Posted on 2/23/20 at 9:45 pm to
Dude, that’s not how bonds work.


China can’t just immediately call in the full payment on a 30 year treasury bond. We pay it over the life of the bond in accordance with the repayment agreement made at time of sale. Doesn’t matter if they want the money now; that’s not an option.

The most China can do is resell the bond to someone else, possibly marginally nudging interest rates. And even on that front, they only hold like 5% of our debt; not enough to create any major movement. But there’s exactly 0 possibility that we’d have to pay the full outstanding balance of our loans tomorrow. You can rest easy.
Posted by Eli Goldfinger
Member since Sep 2016
32785 posts
Posted on 2/23/20 at 9:47 pm to
The US has to agree that the debt be sold and to whom.

It’s not like China is the banker.
Posted by AU4real35
Member since Jan 2014
16065 posts
Posted on 2/23/20 at 9:51 pm to
If they call in our debt, we go into a deep hole. If we go into a deep hole then the rest of the world goes into the same hole.
Posted by Bestbank Tiger
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2005
71177 posts
Posted on 2/23/20 at 9:52 pm to
quote:

The most China can do is resell the bond to someone else, possibly marginally nudging interest rates. And even on that front, they only hold like 5% of our debt; not enough to create any major movement. But there’s exactly 0 possibility that we’d have to pay the full outstanding balance of our loans tomorrow. You can rest easy.


Yep. And selling below market value would hurt them more than it would hurt us.
Posted by joshnorris14
Florida
Member since Jan 2009
45232 posts
Posted on 2/23/20 at 9:54 pm to
quote:

debt because of Coronavirus? Can they if they need the money to survive? Asking for a friend.


What does this even mean? Call in our debt?
Posted by cave canem
pullarius dominus
Member since Oct 2012
12186 posts
Posted on 2/23/20 at 9:58 pm to
quote:

The US has to agree that the debt be sold and to whom.



No, that is just nonsense.

They can sell their bonds any time they so choose just like everyone else.

quote:

It’s not like China is the banker.




That is exactly what it is like and the entire purpose of the bonds, keeps FedGov out of the banks and saves them money using individuals as quasi banks.
Posted by Eli Goldfinger
Member since Sep 2016
32785 posts
Posted on 2/23/20 at 10:12 pm to
quote:

They can sell their bonds any time they so choose


Nope...both parties have to agree on the buyer.
Posted by AggieHank86
Texas
Member since Sep 2013
42941 posts
Posted on 2/23/20 at 10:19 pm to
quote:

quote:

They can sell their bonds any time they so choose
Nope...both parties have to agree on the buyer.
US public debt instruments are traded throughout the world. No one seeks or needs governmental approval for those routine transactions.

The first time is forgivable ignorance of debt markets. Doubling down a second time .....

====

Eli calls his broker

Eli: Invest $10k in T-Bills.

Broker: Gee, I don't know whether FedGov will let anyone sell to you ....
This post was edited on 2/24/20 at 9:58 am
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