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Started By
Message
re: Was that the shortest stick market "crash" in history?
Posted on 4/8/25 at 3:56 pm to NC_Tigah
Posted on 4/8/25 at 3:56 pm to NC_Tigah
quote:
Imports are ~11% of GDP and might end up tariffed at 15% on average. That's a 1.5% hit driving the market down ~12%.
And the market is priced at 20+x earnings.
It’s not a 1:1 relationship.
2
Posted on 4/8/25 at 3:57 pm to slackster
I've seen a few guys say retail is holding fine, and even buying in.
Posted on 4/8/25 at 4:09 pm to BuckyCheese
quote:
I've seen a few guys say retail is holding fine, and even buying in.
That’s my personal experience too.
Posted on 4/8/25 at 4:13 pm to CollegeFBRules
quote:I hate to sound cold, but I'd expect to make a lot of money off of their "no clue." If you're sitting at a poker table with "no clue," every other player knows who the patsy is.
People are nervous and have no clue what’s going on.
Posted on 4/8/25 at 4:15 pm to NC_Tigah
You’re not cold to buy low. I have taken quite a few positions these past few days, and will continue to take more as I see how this plays out. But that does not mean I look to celebrate this. I am far from celebrating.
Posted on 4/8/25 at 4:17 pm to RogerTheShrubber
quote:
So yall need to find one message and stick to it.
Like you professing your love for the CCP?
Posted on 4/8/25 at 4:19 pm to slackster
quote:Oh I know. But there is zero accounting for the deregulation, tax cuts, and economic focus coming down the road. Put bluntly, New York TDS is the driver here. That's not opinion, frankly. It's fact.
And the market is priced at 20+x earnings.
It’s not a 1:1 relationship.
Posted on 4/8/25 at 4:24 pm to RogerTheShrubber
quote:Your lack of confidence in American workers and American Exceptionalism is noted.
"Free trade" (which MAGA pretends to hate) will result on offshoring, not onshoring.
Posted on 4/8/25 at 4:25 pm to NC_Tigah
quote:
our lack of confidence in American workers
We are at full employment.
You have crackheads and Methany to choose from.
Posted on 4/8/25 at 4:27 pm to Seldom Seen
Is it good if only VIX is green?
I’m not a biologist.
I’m not a biologist.
Posted on 4/8/25 at 4:39 pm to tadman
quote:
Wonder how they were doing in 2022 when the NASDAQ took a giant shite and Biden was nowhere to be seen. How many TDS'ers were on Biden's case about that one?
How many MAGA supporters were acting like Democrats are today?
Don’t know the answer, but I bet it’s pretty similar. Blaming the president
Posted on 4/8/25 at 4:56 pm to RogerTheShrubber
No we're not. Turn off the free shite spigot and see how many more are willing to work.
Posted on 4/8/25 at 4:57 pm to roadGator
quote:
Is it good if only VIX is green?
I’m not a biologist.
My Netflix is green today.
Barely.
Posted on 4/8/25 at 4:57 pm to CollegeFBRules
quote:
You’re not cold to buy low.
No. I'm not cold.
I'm compassionate to a fault, IRL.
If the market was more personal, I'd probably be asking my buyers/sellers "Are you sure you want to do this?"
But the market is not personal.
It's a distant transaction that may or may not be a good decision for the counterparty.
That has worked exceptionally well for me over the years.
Posted on 4/8/25 at 5:08 pm to NC_Tigah
quote:
But there is zero accounting for the deregulation, tax cuts, and economic focus coming down the road. Put bluntly, New York TDS is the driver here. That's not opinion, frankly. It's fact.
That’s quite literally an opinion.
Posted on 4/8/25 at 5:14 pm to NC_Tigah
quote:
No. I'm not cold.
I'm compassionate to a fault, IRL.
From what I have learned about you over the years here, I know this to be very true. Always been one of my favorite posters.
This post was edited on 4/8/25 at 5:14 pm
Posted on 4/8/25 at 7:03 pm to Mandtgr47
“June 1st market will have recovered.”
You think S&P will be back to 6000+ by June 1? Actually?
You think S&P will be back to 6000+ by June 1? Actually?
Posted on 4/10/25 at 7:32 am to MizzouBS
quote:
Don’t know the answer, but I bet it’s pretty similar. Blaming the president
Except it's not.
Joe had no control over his bodily functions let alone the administration or country. We were a ship lurching from crisis to crisis. The country was being run by some combination of Hunter, Jill, Kamala, and a bunch of true believer drones working at the white house.
Today there is a very clear policy being set in order to make our economy viable for another generation. It has a short term cost, and so far it seems that short term cost is pretty small. You can disagree with the concepts of this policy even as a Trump supporter, but you can't disagree that there is a policy versus absentee leadership.
Posted on 4/10/25 at 8:17 am to GeauxBurrow312
quote:
Roger in shambles
Gilligan gonna Gilligan.
Posted on 4/10/25 at 12:25 pm to stout
Back to crashing today
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