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Wapo/ABC poll: biden +2 among RVs (likely means trump EC win), but huge red flag for biden

Posted on 3/29/20 at 11:46 am
Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
69312 posts
Posted on 3/29/20 at 11:46 am




Independents 47-46
Men 43-52
Women 54-42
18-29 51-41
30-39 51-45
40-49 39-56
50-64 45-51
65+ 42-57

LINK
Posted by Magician2
Member since Oct 2015
14553 posts
Posted on 3/29/20 at 11:56 am to
Damn that young vote margin is really bad for Biden.

On the other hand trump isnt necessarily killing it with Gen X either.


ETA: holy shite hillary won 18-29 by 30 points in 2016.

I wonder if this is a huge outlier.
This post was edited on 3/29/20 at 12:02 pm
Posted by wickowick
Head of Island
Member since Dec 2006
45814 posts
Posted on 3/29/20 at 11:59 am to
Trump wasn’t getting most of the Gen x ers anyway. Those were Bernie Bois and they are going to stay home
Posted by PickupAutist
Member since Sep 2018
3022 posts
Posted on 3/29/20 at 12:02 pm to
I think the key demo is blacks. They stayed home for Hillary but will come out for Biden. This is not going to be a cakewalk for us.
Posted by Jrv2damac
Kanorado
Member since Mar 2004
65177 posts
Posted on 3/29/20 at 12:04 pm to
quote:

They stayed home for Hillary


They did?
Posted by tiggerthetooth
Big Momma's House
Member since Oct 2010
61283 posts
Posted on 3/29/20 at 12:05 pm to
quote:

I think the key demo is blacks. They stayed home for Hillary but will come out for Biden. This is not going to be a cakewalk for us.



Which states are they going to overturn?

South Carolina maybe?

This assumes their excitement loses no ground over the next 7 months.
Posted by mightyMick
Member since Aug 2018
3067 posts
Posted on 3/29/20 at 12:06 pm to
This nonsense is from Wapo/ABC, automatically invalid garbage.
Posted by YF12
Ottobaan
Member since Nov 2019
4451 posts
Posted on 3/29/20 at 12:07 pm to
Biden is about as exciting as your average 77 year old dementia patient

O wait
Posted by PickupAutist
Member since Sep 2018
3022 posts
Posted on 3/29/20 at 12:08 pm to
It slumped in 2016 while Hispanic turnout held the same. Lower even than what it was in 2004 before Obama ran.
Posted by lsursb
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2004
11613 posts
Posted on 3/29/20 at 12:09 pm to
quote:


Which states are they going to overturn?

South Carolina maybe?


SC has voted DEM in a presidential election 1 time in the last 60 years and you think Biden is gonna flip it?
Posted by PickupAutist
Member since Sep 2018
3022 posts
Posted on 3/29/20 at 12:11 pm to
Michigan and Wisconsin. Possibly Ohio and Pennsylvania. Do people not realize we won the rust belt by the narrowest of margins?
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
164196 posts
Posted on 3/29/20 at 12:13 pm to
Trump crushing 40-49
Posted by davyjones
NELA
Member since Feb 2019
30201 posts
Posted on 3/29/20 at 12:14 pm to
I expect Trump gains from 2016 margins in the Rust Belt.
Posted by SCLibertarian
Conway, South Carolina
Member since Aug 2013
36089 posts
Posted on 3/29/20 at 12:15 pm to
If this country elects Joe Biden, a 77 year old who has no clue what's going on most of the time, then we deserve everything we get in the future. I cannot imagine how anyone could cast a vote for a guy who likely needs a nursing aide most of the time.
Posted by Magician2
Member since Oct 2015
14553 posts
Posted on 3/29/20 at 12:16 pm to
quote:

Michigan and Wisconsin. Possibly Ohio and Pennsylvania. Do people not realize we won the rust belt by the narrowest of margins?



Ohio was won by 10 points..

It’s the GOP version of Virginia to the Dems

Clinton also barely won Nevada, Minnesota, and New Hampshire.

The media only focused on the states trump barely won.
Posted by SportTiger1
Stonewall, LA
Member since Feb 2007
28504 posts
Posted on 3/29/20 at 12:17 pm to
quote:

Michigan and Wisconsin. Possibly Ohio and Pennsylvania


After Biden threaten to shut down auto manufacturing and coal production if elected?
Posted by davyjones
NELA
Member since Feb 2019
30201 posts
Posted on 3/29/20 at 12:18 pm to
And tried to fight a bunch of 'em too.
Posted by tiggerthetooth
Big Momma's House
Member since Oct 2010
61283 posts
Posted on 3/29/20 at 12:19 pm to
quote:

Michigan and Wisconsin. Possibly Ohio and Pennsylvania.



I'm not sure the black population is large enough to effect anything even if they come out to vote as much as they did with Obama.
Posted by msudawg1200
Central Mississippi
Member since Jun 2014
9419 posts
Posted on 3/29/20 at 12:22 pm to
quote:

Trump crushing 40-49

Yep. My age group thank you.
Posted by Little Trump
Florida
Member since Nov 2017
5817 posts
Posted on 3/29/20 at 12:25 pm to
The race hasn’t begun

Get Biden outside the closet and let people compare him to Trump and it’s game over
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