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re: Want Proof Tax Cuts Don't Stimulate the Economy? Look at Kansas
Posted on 10/30/14 at 2:49 pm to crawdaddy52
Posted on 10/30/14 at 2:49 pm to crawdaddy52
quote:
The american worker needs help and we will all benefit from that. It works.
How do you help the American worker?
I doubt many have an issue with doing more to give a helping hand to the working class but the devil is in the details. Lower taxes? A universal basic income? You can't just force wages up and keep the economy rolling in any sustainable way.
We need more consumers and globalization will provide it eventually. The transition has and will continue to put strain on the western middle classes as the old jobs are done overseas for less wages. You can try to do things to soften the short term (relatively speaking) blow, but going protectionist and artificially driving up household income will only serve to hurt American's position in the 21st century economy. It's obviously more complicated than just this and there are a ton of variables that can and will have an impact on what economy we see in 20-30 years.
Posted on 10/30/14 at 3:11 pm to Duke
Wouldn't 40-60 years of Chicago and Detroit democratic policies debunk all this?
Posted on 10/30/14 at 3:12 pm to Duke
quote:That's really not the right question. It's abhorrent and insulting to constantly go around thinking we have to something for someone all the time.
How do you help the American worker?
The better question is "What does the worker need that they can't attain for themselves?" As I look at the world today, I'd say very little with the exception of access to capital. Travel, technology, education, food, housing and access to credit have never been cheaper. Ever. In history of mankind.
All of the ingredients are there in way that we've never experienced as a species. Yet, look how many are sitting around waiting for government to do something for them.
Our biggest impediment isn't lack of government assistance. Our biggest impediment is a culture that has not only embraced, but has marched on to demanding dependence on a dwindling number of "the rich" to do something for them.
Posted on 10/30/14 at 3:12 pm to Cruiserhog
quote:
Reagan tripled the debt and Bush...enuf said.
What about Obama?
Posted on 10/30/14 at 3:18 pm to Duke
quote:No. We don't. Consumers spend (by definition) on consumer goods. They call them consumer goods because they mostly consume resources and capital rather than generate an income (wealth). They are expenses -- not assets. That isn't just some fancy wordplay.
We need more consumers
Knowing the difference between an asset and an expense is the most important step toward earning wealth.
Spending massive amounts of capital on consumable, disposable, goods is no path towards wealth.
It's like using CAPEX to cover your operating expenses. It will always end badly.
This post was edited on 10/30/14 at 3:20 pm
Posted on 10/30/14 at 3:41 pm to Taxing Authority
quote:
The better question is "What does the worker need that they can't attain for themselves?"
It's certainly the more precise question.
quote:
It's abhorrent and insulting to constantly go around thinking we have to something for someone all the time.
That's not exactly where I was going. We're looking through the lens of government, so the focus is what can the government do (or stop doing) that will improve the current condition for the American middle class (the more general Americans applies here too)?
quote:
Our biggest impediment isn't lack of government assistance.
I agree.
quote:
Our biggest impediment is a culture that has not only embraced, but has marched on to demanding dependence on a dwindling number of "the rich" to do something for them.
This is where you lose me.
The impediment from my POV is an ineffective government that wastes so much of its revenue in bureaucracy. Big organizations are inherently inefficient and there isn't one bigger than the Federal Government. The drain of complex tax codes, overly strict and pointless regulation, and the miles of administrative red tape is a drain on productivity and every American's pocketbook. So much waste and we tax corporations higher than most other countries. It's a formula for the wealthy hording and the middle class to get squeezed.
People wanting help is just a symptom of the drain of ineffective governance,the pressures of globalization on the blue collar worker, and tech replacing jobs with machines IMHO.
Posted on 10/30/14 at 3:55 pm to Taxing Authority
quote:
No. We don't. Consumers spend (by definition) on consumer goods. They call them consumer goods because they mostly consume resources and capital rather than generate an income (wealth). They are expenses -- not assets.
Sure, but more people with disposable income to spend on things allows for the expansion of old markets and markets for new goods and services. This is where capital can come in and invest in assets to exploit the changes in the marketplace.
I get where you're coming from here. Spending for the sake of spending isn't going to help people. They should focus on spending their disposable income on items/services (stocks/house/education/ect) that will actually increase their wealth as compared to a third car or four 60 inch TVs. I'm not arguing that, because consuming to the point of too much debt is a large part of what got us into our recent mess.
I'm going at the side of more consumers leads to more opportunities for someone to invest in a business to meet the demand. Not that we need each consumer to spend to the point of needing large amounts of debt to keep consuming.
Posted on 10/30/14 at 4:34 pm to Henry Jones Jr
Cruiserhog is a liar.
Reagan tripled revenue to the federal coffers.
The Dems in the house saw a chance to spend more since revenue was increased. Also, Carter created more government programs like the Education Department that had to be paid for starting under the Reagan administration.
Goffy commies can't admit that JFK and Reagan lowered taxes and raised revenue because it undermines their communistic values.
God I despise idiots.
Reagan tripled revenue to the federal coffers.
The Dems in the house saw a chance to spend more since revenue was increased. Also, Carter created more government programs like the Education Department that had to be paid for starting under the Reagan administration.
Goffy commies can't admit that JFK and Reagan lowered taxes and raised revenue because it undermines their communistic values.
God I despise idiots.
This post was edited on 10/30/14 at 5:17 pm
Posted on 10/30/14 at 4:36 pm to Duke
quote:Thats precisely my point. We're asking what our government can do us, not what we can do for ourselves.
We're looking through the lens of government
quote:Government is bureaucracy. They are not separable.
The impediment from my POV is an ineffective government that wastes so much of its revenue in bureaucracy.
quote:You've certainly collected all the buzz words. But you haven't answered the question I've posed. Surely you have some ideas.
People wanting help is just a symptom of the drain of ineffective governance,the pressures of globalization on the blue collar worker, and tech replacing jobs with machines IMHO.
"What does the worker need that they can't attain for themselves?"
Posted on 10/30/14 at 5:02 pm to Taxing Authority
quote:
Thats precisely my point. We're asking what our government can do us, not what we can do for ourselves.
That's a separate and very important question. I was assuming the discussion was in what ways the government hampers the environment for the average worker.
quote:
Government is bureaucracy. They are not separable.
Yes. The point is the scale makes it more useless as it gets more expansive.
quote:
But you haven't answered the question I've posed. Surely you have some ideas.
Ideas, sure. Quality is still questionable.
The worker needs a reduction of the cost of becoming an entrepreneur. The physical capital of doing it has never been easier. There's still the cost of taxation and regulations on all ends that make it riskier. This is where the government can help by lowering the barriers of entry they create.
It's going to take a different model in the 21st century than working in a factory to cut out a decent living. The worker has to understand that and take more risks and start businesses to exploit the growing demand for specialized goods. I do think the safety net has a place in eliminating the catastrophic risk in failure, but that's mostly in place already. (We can argue the effectiveness of the programs all night. It's really just a side point to the discussion)
I agree the onus is really on the individual to adapt to the new economic reality. A government that doesn't continually make it more difficult is useful in that regard.
ETA: We're basically in agreement except for the issue of the plebs asking for more from the rich. It's only an issue because we're still in the figuring out stage of globalization and all of our new tech. Now just getting a handout isn't a solution, but it slowly erodes as people figure out how to make the shift in the economy work for them.
This post was edited on 10/30/14 at 5:09 pm
Posted on 10/30/14 at 5:07 pm to Duke
quote:Interesting choice of words. If the "middle class" is doing so poorly, how could they ever consider their income to be "disposable"? And ultimately that is the problem.
Sure, but more people with disposable income to spend on things allows for the expansion of old markets and markets for new goods and services.
quote:Nah. I hold no judgements about what someone spend their own money on. I don't care if they spend it all on hookers and blow then waste the rest of it. But... statistically... increases in consumer income has only led to increases in consumer spending. We are not a culture of savers. Nor investors.
They should focus on spending their disposable income on items/services (stocks/house/education/ect) that will actually increase their wealth as compared to a third car or four 60 inch TVs.
And I don't mean strictly financials like stocks and bonds as investments. Good tools, education, apprenticeship, a work truck, could all be productive assets if applied correctly.
You see immigrants do this a lot. Messicans come over, they don't go shopping at Macy's hoping to improve the economy, so they can get rich. They $1500 buy beat up 3/4ton pickups that can carry and tow isht with. That a f*cking STELLAR investment. An asset.
quote:You're presuming two things. One demand is driven primarily by income, and that its infinite.
I'm going at the side of more consumers leads to more opportunities for someone to invest in a business to meet the demand.
Here is quick example. I have a decent TV. Nothing special. I have plenty of money to go buy a new, better, bigger TV. My wife wouldn't even mind. But... I'm not rushing out to buy a TV. Because... There's not a damn thing wrong with the one I've got. I can't watch two at the same time. So why would I replace it... Even if I had $1,000,000 in my pocket?
I have about, maybe 10 shirts. If we have a good year, will I buy 10 more? Nope. I'll keep the same ones until my wife makes me throw them out because they have holes in them.
And that applies to a lot of consumer type goods. Especially at lower income levels. If we give a marginally better salary to a minimum wage worker.... Will he invest in another's business? Probably not. Will she buy something she can use to create/provide/serve others and earn a higher income? Probably not.
It's far more likely the differential income will be spent at a common retailer. Good for those corporate share holders, but we haven't done a damn thing for the workers' future.
Too much rambling. Others?
Posted on 10/30/14 at 5:09 pm to Taxing Authority
Look at it this way, TA. Why would someone produce something if he knew nobody had money to buy it?
Posted on 10/30/14 at 5:24 pm to Duke
quote:Its not a separate question. Scroll back I. This thread to see those claiming the middle class is crippled because government doesn't take enough from the rich.
That's a separate and very important question.
Instead of using guns (like an honorable thief), many are trying to employ government as a method of theft -- instead of helping themselves.
Certainly not true in all cases. But demonstrably true in a growing number. That is something we should all fear. Certainly more scary than terrorism is my book.
quote:Troof. But in a country of 300 million people, a government tasked to provide basic personal necessities for everyone -- cannot possibly be small.
The point is the scale makes it more useless as it gets more expansive.
quote:Troof.
The worker needs a reduction of the cost of becoming an entrepreneur. The physical capital of doing it has never been easier. There's still the cost of taxation and regulations on all ends that make it riskier. This is where the government can help by lowering the barriers of entry they create.
quote:AB-SOO-LOOTLY! I think a lot of it starts with education. Our education was designed to create compliant, monolithic, and thoughtless workers to do simple but repetitive tasks. Those days are lol over. But our educational model... persists ( and gets more expensive by the year ).
It's going to take a different model in the 21st century than working in a factory to cut out a decent living. The worker has to understand that and take more risks and start businesses to exploit the growing demand for specialized goods.
quote:I do disagree. If there is no fear of failure, you get a lot more unsuccessful ideas. A good tip I got when.starting out... "When you find hurdles, understand that those hurdles kept others from trying. They didn't try, they didn't fail. They also didn't succeed."
I do think the safety net has a place in eliminating the catastrophic risk in failure
I'm sure someone famous said it, but I don't know who...
This post was edited on 10/30/14 at 5:31 pm
Posted on 10/30/14 at 5:28 pm to Taxing Authority
quote:
We are not a culture of savers. Nor investors.
I don't disagree that in general people should be looking more toward building wealth than just consuming.
quote:
It's far more likely the differential income will be spent at a common retailer. Good for those corporate share holders, but we haven't done a damn thing for the workers' future.
Again, I don't disagree.
It's not about her specifically though. The more people interested in buying goods allows for somebody to actually put the investment in place to take advantage of the marketplace. The more people, the more different interests that allow for someone to take advantage of a passion and make a business out of it.
Easy example is that I like to cook. Used to I'd have the old spice rack with your typical 15-20 spices. Then I found a store that just sells spices. I get some value in the happiness from getting to experiment with the different flavors and the owner gets the benefit of a growing business that has built his/her wealth and gives people jobs.
More people with money to spend gives more opportunities to have niche markets that someone can come in and make money off of. It goes hand in hand with the unparalleled access we all have to information. We can explore new hobbies and others can make money off it.
Posted on 10/30/14 at 5:28 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:Barring a currency collapse, we'll have a time when nobody has any money.
Why would someone produce something if he knew nobody had money to buy it?
As for creating and innovating based on speculation... That happens EVERY FREAKIN day.
Posted on 10/30/14 at 5:32 pm to Duke
quote:Me too!
Easy example is that I like to cook.
quote:Oooh, had one just around e corner when I lived in Houston. Wonderful, eh?
Then I found a store that just sells spices.
quote:Sure. But we have a working-age population growing by nearly 125,000 people per month. That's. Lot of spices.
I get some value in the happiness from getting to experiment with the different flavors and the owner gets the benefit of a growing business that has built his/her wealth and gives people jobs.
quote:But, the money to pay (or give) to people has to come out of the pockets of others who will see an equivalent loss of opportunity.
More people with money to spend gives more opportunities to have niche markets that someone can come in and make money off of.
The reduction in opportunity is even larger when the funder is forced to arbitrarily pay more--not based on any increase in economic production.
quote:Right. Got it. Same applies to education opportunities and access to markets. The difference: most proponents of more expanding government 'assistance' are asking for more money to spend, not more money to invest. Those are VERY different requests.
It goes hand in hand with the unparalleled access we all have to information. We can explore new hobbies and others can make money off it. .
This post was edited on 10/30/14 at 5:46 pm
Posted on 10/30/14 at 5:38 pm to Taxing Authority
quote:
If there is no fear of failure, you get a lot more unsuccessful ideas.
I get where you're coming from. I'm not suggesting no risk of failure. Losing your business you put your soul into is a hell of a downside. The bankruptcy is too. With zero stopgap, too few will try a new ideach because the downside risk is so great. It's a question of to what degree imo. Too cushy a net and investment will be waisted because there's no cost. Too meager and you'll keep good ideas on the sidelines.
This is the area I expected us to differ.
Posted on 10/30/14 at 5:53 pm to Duke
quote:It certainly makes you sharpen your ideas!
With zero stopgap, too few will try a new ideach because the downside risk is so great. It's a question of to what degree imo
Quite frankly, we don't educate kids about calculated and measured risks. At all. There is no class for that until you hit graduate level economics. How many highschool kids can calculate the NPV of a bond? Almost none if reckon. It's too difficult for them. They can do it. We simply don't teach risk-reward.
Instead we teach the "safe" way. "Everyone should go to college" is a horrible think to do to kids. We need to teach them how to balance a checkbook, compounded returns, how to manage projects, how to measure risk, and some basic accounting principles.
All those skill will be useful in college (and afterward) anyway. Instead most business owners have to learn it by f*cking it up three or four times
Posted on 10/30/14 at 6:05 pm to Taxing Authority
quote:
Quite frankly, we don't educate kids about calculated and measured risks. At all. There is no class for that until you hit graduate level economics. How many highschool kids can calculate the NPV of a bond? Almost none if reckon. It's too difficult for them. They can do it. We simply don't teach risk-reward.
Yup.
Our education system fails in many places, but that's probably one the of greatest failings. The majority of us are financially illiterate.
Posted on 12/12/14 at 1:09 pm to 90proofprofessional
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