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re: US Intelligence says Iran can withstand a US Blockade for many months
Posted on 5/8/26 at 9:57 am to AGGIES
Posted on 5/8/26 at 9:57 am to AGGIES
This blockade doesn't win shite. Having the blockade is fine but alone it just hurts everyone and helps nobody. It certainly isn't going to destroy the IRGC.
The very last people to starve to death in Iran will be the IRGC. Not happening. So we better come up with a plan.
If the IRGC is smart they will just keep doing exactly what they are doing. Firing missiles at the UAE and sit back and wait. Apparently if they do that they are untouchable to the USA.
The very last people to starve to death in Iran will be the IRGC. Not happening. So we better come up with a plan.
If the IRGC is smart they will just keep doing exactly what they are doing. Firing missiles at the UAE and sit back and wait. Apparently if they do that they are untouchable to the USA.
Posted on 5/8/26 at 9:57 am to Decatur
quote:
Higher crude oil prices, higher bond market rates, higher for longer interest rates, physical damage to oil infrastructure that will take even longer to fix… could probably think of a lot more consequences.
I can't imagine the world will thank us if we cause a famine in the south
We also stand to seriously frick up our own economy. Our economy is heavily dependent on a stable semiconductor supply chain.
Posted on 5/8/26 at 9:58 am to Powerman
Btw, you've continued to invest I hope?
Posted on 5/8/26 at 9:58 am to Eurocat
quote:If you cant put your name by it, its just a spin and fluff piece for the TDS crowd.
Three current and one former U.S. official confirmed the outlines of the intelligence analysis, speaking on the condition of anonymity
Posted on 5/8/26 at 9:59 am to omegaman66
Showing the US can not protect the UAE is the goal of the IRGC right now.
Posted on 5/8/26 at 9:59 am to AGGIES
quote:
That was their plan if they were bombed.
So it is your contention that a nuclear armed Iran would have been a proponent of free shipping through Hormuz? It never had designs on controlling that waterway? That is your premise?
Posted on 5/8/26 at 10:01 am to AGGIES
quote:No. The Iranian goal is to join hands with treacherous anti-American elements, like congressional Democrats, to outlast current US actions.
Showing the US can not protect the UAE is the goal of the IRGC right now.
Posted on 5/8/26 at 10:05 am to NC_Tigah
It’s not my premise. We can only claim they would have closed it someday and the rest of the world will express their doubts and objections because it’s just a projected claim.
What’s your premise? Regime change is necessary? US navy is now required to patrol the Strait indefinitely? Or we just pay them off to open it back up?
What’s your premise? Regime change is necessary? US navy is now required to patrol the Strait indefinitely? Or we just pay them off to open it back up?
Posted on 5/8/26 at 10:06 am to Powerman
quote:
So you think that anyone that doesn't stick their head in the sand is cheering against America?
Progs still think people believe they're pro America
Posted on 5/8/26 at 10:10 am to AGGIES
quote:As I've stated many times here, the actions in Venezuela and Iran are at least as much about China as they are about those countries. There is a bigger game afoot.
What’s your premise?
But with regard to Iran, there is no question whatsoever of their eventual intent to control Hormuz.
Posted on 5/8/26 at 10:12 am to NC_Tigah
quote:
No. The Iranian goal is to join hands with treacherous anti-American elements, like congressional Democrats, to outlast current US actions.
And this strategy works because the US Congress, which is led by the GOP, has not authorized a war. China is telling them how to play it because China knows Trump doesn’t want to attempt to go that route.
Posted on 5/8/26 at 10:14 am to AGGIES
When will people learn - if it’s an anonymous source it’s just bull crap and not true
Posted on 5/8/26 at 10:17 am to NC_Tigah
quote:
But with regard to Iran, there is no question whatsoever of their eventual intent to control Hormuz.
Yes. They want to set themselves up as a classic "chokepoint lord" and extract tolls. There are 8 key ones on the world's oceans.

Posted on 5/8/26 at 10:17 am to AGGIES
quote:"Them "is a floating signifier here. It is equally likely to refer to Iranian leadership as it is to refer to Elizabeth Warren. That is a bit of a national tragedy, and in and of itself, a reason to geopolitically hamstring China.
China is telling them how to play it
Posted on 5/8/26 at 10:29 am to NC_Tigah
We can agree that China is a big problem for the US here.
A reason to hamstring China is all well and good. But…they are playing possum and waiting for us to keep making mistakes
A reason to hamstring China is all well and good. But…they are playing possum and waiting for us to keep making mistakes
Posted on 5/8/26 at 10:31 am to theballguy
quote:
Btw, you've continued to invest I hope?
Yes...401K is on autopilot and I make regularly investments into SCHD etf as well as some smaller single stock purchases
Posted on 5/8/26 at 10:34 am to NC_Tigah
quote:
As I've stated many times here, the actions in Venezuela and Iran are at least as much about China as they are about those countries. There is a bigger game afoot.
There seems to be a very stupid notion that what is bad for China is necessarily good for us
This is not the case
Posted on 5/8/26 at 10:35 am to PsychTiger
quote:
Still cheering against America I see
It's amazing how many useful idiots the DemRats seem to generate. I'm beginning to feel about the Dems like I used to say about snakes. The only good snake is a dead snake!
Posted on 5/8/26 at 10:35 am to Eurocat
quote:
Tehran retains significant ballistic missile capabilities
Riiiiiiiiiiiiight. So someone went and counted them, but we have no clue how to bomb those locations?
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