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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM
Posted on 3/25/20 at 4:13 pm to Freight Joker
Posted on 3/25/20 at 4:13 pm to Freight Joker
My cousin is in a reserve unit in Massachusetts, which is a medical unit full of mostly 68W in civilian terms combat medic, got orders today and will deploy to NYC. They will most likely do the make shift hospitals like they did in China. He is under the impression that New York will consider martial law.
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Posted on 3/25/20 at 4:15 pm to Pintail
Not sure if it is being reported uniformly, but in Seattle they went back and revised the date of death by increasing that number.
The lag from this weekend then the jumps this week in the national totals makes me wonder if any of the new ones were really from the weekend. Or we are just now hitting the accelerator on the NY deaths and yesterday is the start of a spike, I hope not, just trying to interpret the trends.
The lag from this weekend then the jumps this week in the national totals makes me wonder if any of the new ones were really from the weekend. Or we are just now hitting the accelerator on the NY deaths and yesterday is the start of a spike, I hope not, just trying to interpret the trends.
Posted on 3/25/20 at 4:20 pm to Pintail
No idea, we don't really have any visibility to how the reporting is working.
Posted on 3/25/20 at 4:20 pm to NorCali
quote:
The lag from this weekend then the jumps this week in the national totals makes me wonder if any of the new ones were really from the weekend.
I think there’s some of that. It’s probably a reporting lag more than anything. And if Worldometers is dependent on CDC reporting, it probably is sketchy over the weekend.
Posted on 3/25/20 at 4:22 pm to the808bass
I agree, I think the weekend numbers are screwy
Posted on 3/25/20 at 4:35 pm to TigerDoc
Thanks
That is a lot more extensive than I expected.
That is a lot more extensive than I expected.
Posted on 3/25/20 at 5:00 pm to MorgusTheMagnificent
I absolutely do not want this to get worse, my wife is in a VERY high-risk group due to her health issues, I'm in a higher risk group myself due to T2 Diabetes and High Blood Pressure. My 90-year-old father who lives in assisted living is at risk as well.
I only clap back when people seem to draw mid-day conclusions from the numbers, and then I tell them to wait until the end of the day.
The decline in the daily growth rate of new cases is a positive trend as I've stated in this thread several times.
HOWEVER, don't ignore the log chart of total cases which tells us that it's still going up about the same rate. As the number of cases gets larger, it takes a larger number of new cases each day to keep the growth % level, it's tendency is going to be to for growth rate to decline.
But you can GFY if you think I want this to get worse or I'm basking in the attention.
I only clap back when people seem to draw mid-day conclusions from the numbers, and then I tell them to wait until the end of the day.
The decline in the daily growth rate of new cases is a positive trend as I've stated in this thread several times.
HOWEVER, don't ignore the log chart of total cases which tells us that it's still going up about the same rate. As the number of cases gets larger, it takes a larger number of new cases each day to keep the growth % level, it's tendency is going to be to for growth rate to decline.
But you can GFY if you think I want this to get worse or I'm basking in the attention.
This post was edited on 3/25/20 at 5:03 pm
Posted on 3/25/20 at 5:20 pm to Chromdome35
alabama went up 140 today; 240 -> 380. damn
Posted on 3/25/20 at 5:35 pm to Tiguar
Alabama also had first death
Posted on 3/25/20 at 5:47 pm to Freight Joker
Give me the skinny. Is it getting worse or on the anticipated trajectory?
Posted on 3/25/20 at 5:52 pm to NorCali
quote:
How is your friend doing if you don’t mind us asking? I hope better.
He’s still in a bit of a holding pattern. Not a lot better. But definitely not worse. He can get up to use the restroom (but easily weakened) and just on nasal cannula. Very weak but in relatively good spirits. Thanks for asking.
Posted on 3/25/20 at 6:22 pm to Janky
quote:
Give me the skinny. Is it getting worse or on the anticipated trajectory?
Not sure anyone knows TBH. We aren't seeing the curve flatten which is what we want.
Posted on 3/25/20 at 6:30 pm to Chromdome35
This is the link to the COVID-19 tracker that I have shared on Google Drive. Chromdome's COVID-19 Daily Tracker
The source for the data is https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
The source for the testing data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
On the tracker sheet you will see tabs for the following data:
1) US Summary
2) Country Comparables: This shows you how the US stacks up vs. select other countries dealing with COVID-19
3) Italy Summary
4) UK Summary
5) France Summary
6) Germany Summary
New Tabs Added in the last day
7) US Weighted Averages - Explores 7 day vs 3 day weight average trends
8) Predictive Model - A simple predictive model that shows where the numbers will be in the future if growth rates don't change
If you would like a graph created that I don't have, just ask and if it's possible I will create it for you.
Due to space constraints on the PT board, I'm only posting a few graphs in the thread, if a consensus emerges of what graphs the PT wants to see in thread without having to go to the tracker, I will gladly change them up.
I am working to create a sheet that compares the US metrics to the other countries metrics. I'll let you all know when that's done and available.
NOTE: The daily growth rate data will not be accurate until the end of the day's postings. It will change throughout the day.
NOTE: I am not tracking individual states, I don't have a reliable consistent source for that data.
NOTE: I am not a mathematician, statistics guru, scientist, sharpest tack in the box, I'm just a guy who likes to understand for myself what is happening and to share it with others. This thread was not created to debate if you should or shouldn't take this seriously, it is simply to present the numbers and foster conversation.
The source for the data is https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
The source for the testing data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
On the tracker sheet you will see tabs for the following data:
1) US Summary
2) Country Comparables: This shows you how the US stacks up vs. select other countries dealing with COVID-19
3) Italy Summary
4) UK Summary
5) France Summary
6) Germany Summary
New Tabs Added in the last day
7) US Weighted Averages - Explores 7 day vs 3 day weight average trends
8) Predictive Model - A simple predictive model that shows where the numbers will be in the future if growth rates don't change
If you would like a graph created that I don't have, just ask and if it's possible I will create it for you.
Due to space constraints on the PT board, I'm only posting a few graphs in the thread, if a consensus emerges of what graphs the PT wants to see in thread without having to go to the tracker, I will gladly change them up.
I am working to create a sheet that compares the US metrics to the other countries metrics. I'll let you all know when that's done and available.
NOTE: The daily growth rate data will not be accurate until the end of the day's postings. It will change throughout the day.
NOTE: I am not tracking individual states, I don't have a reliable consistent source for that data.
NOTE: I am not a mathematician, statistics guru, scientist, sharpest tack in the box, I'm just a guy who likes to understand for myself what is happening and to share it with others. This thread was not created to debate if you should or shouldn't take this seriously, it is simply to present the numbers and foster conversation.
Posted on 3/25/20 at 6:35 pm to the808bass
That sounds like good news.
I can’t remember. Is he on azithromycin and/or one of the anti-malaria drugs
I can’t remember. Is he on azithromycin and/or one of the anti-malaria drugs
Posted on 3/25/20 at 7:07 pm to ibldprplgld
quote:
We aren't seeing the curve flatten which is what we want.
Total cases looks to be flattening, no?
Posted on 3/25/20 at 7:11 pm to Janky
quote:It looks to be slowing at least; however, this week a number of the hardest hit areas (e.g., NYC) have recommended that only those displaying symptoms get tested to save resources. So it’s possible that we’ve restricted the testing a bit this week that will slow down the growth of identified cases.
Total cases looks to be flattening, no?
Posted on 3/25/20 at 7:12 pm to Janky
New York only reports 14 deaths after 114 yesterday? Cuomo said he was going to tell doctors to start using chloroquine yesterday. Is it having an effect that fast or is today just an anamoly?
This post was edited on 3/25/20 at 7:13 pm
Posted on 3/25/20 at 7:22 pm to Chromdome35
Continuing to trend in right direction... 6 days and counting
Posted on 3/25/20 at 7:23 pm to Chromdome35
What age group do you fall in?
Posted on 3/25/20 at 7:26 pm to Volsfan82169
quote:Those totals are from this morning. The NYC department of health lists 280 total deaths as of 5:30 local time.
New York only reports 14 deaths after 114 yesterday?
There was a news article from 12:52 AM that had it at 192, so it looks like there could be as many as 88 deaths in NYC alone, 3/4th of the way through today.
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