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Boatshoes
Member since Dec 2017
6775 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 6:00 PM CST 5/28/20 Final Numbers for the Day
quote:

More testing was driving the death rate down as less sever cases started to get tested.


This is incorrect. I've been tracking the CFR, death rate, mortality rate, whatever you want to call it. Over the past couple of weeks in the face of increased testing it has steadily marched upwards and so far has given no indication of stopping.


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trinidadtiger
Member since Jun 2017
5539 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 6:00 PM CST 5/28/20 Final Numbers for the Day
What is the explanation for 170,000 tests yesterday and it being a peak. I keep hearing we have 18,000 Abbot testing kits, 5=15 minute test, out there in addition to all the other formats. Why arent we testing million plus a day by now?



Boatshoes
Member since Dec 2017
6775 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 6:00 PM CST 5/28/20 Final Numbers for the Day
quote:

We should know how correct the IHME model is about 5-6 days from now, as that model shows declining daily death numbers after the 12th.

Mortality is up to 3.56% the rate continues to increase and it looks like the increase is accelerating.


This number better start decreasing - or at least stop increasing - after the 12th.

The problem is that it is still increasing whether you track the data for the US, worldwide, Italy, or Germany (has practically tripled in the past ten days).

I'm really interested to see where Sweden ends up with no quarantines, open borders, and really no efforts at containment or mitigation so far. Just started tracking them, they're at 8.7%.


mmcgrath
LSU Fan
New Jersey
Member since Feb 2010
26882 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 6:00 PM CST 5/28/20 Final Numbers for the Day
quote:

What is the explanation for 170,000 tests yesterday and it being a peak. I keep hearing we have 18,000 Abbot testing kits, 5=15 minute test, out there in addition to all the other formats. Why arent we testing million plus a day by now?
Dr. Birx was questioning that at the briefing on Wednesday and was going to try and find out why more tests weren't being done.

Apparently they are just sitting around not getting used, although I think it was more of a holdup by the administration trying to micromanage where they were sent. On April 1st the admin was trying to route them to states with no outbreaks to defend them first.

LINK

LINK
This post was edited on 4/10 at 7:21 am


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uppermidwestbama
Member since Nov 2014
754 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 6:00 PM CST 5/28/20 Final Numbers for the Day
There are going to be more and more tests completed as we go back to work. A lot of those are going to be asymptomatic or so mild it doesn't even really matter that they have it.

99.96% of the countries population has not gotten a severe case of COVID19.

We can go back to work, just have some safety guidelines for a few months.

Hospitalizations for COVID19 are down all across the country. In NYC it's now just a couple of clusters in QUEENS that is the main problem.


uppermidwestbama
Member since Nov 2014
754 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 6:00 PM CST 5/28/20 Final Numbers for the Day
Meh, the death numbers are going to be misleading since NYC is now going to count the deaths that happen at homes as COVID19.

At this point it's just about test availability to get back to work and most vulnerable spots stay locked down for a bit longer (like June).

The state that I live in has already past it's peak.


PurpleGoldTiger
LSU Fan
League City, TX
Member since Mar 2010
3873 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 6:00 PM CST 5/28/20 Final Numbers for the Day
quote:

LOL, Someone posted that GIF the other day when I hadn't updated the numbers yet. They had it titled "you got any more of those graphs"

That was me. And that gif really is accurate to how I feel most evenings when I come check the numbers.

I took an evening off though yesterday because I'm currently in the hospital...with my wife who gave birth to our new twins. Perfect timing for some home quarantine. Stay safe everyone.


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50
lionward2014
Notre Dame Fan
New Orleans
Member since Jul 2015
6330 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 6:00 PM CST 5/28/20 Final Numbers for the Day
quote:

We can go back to work, just have some safety guidelines for a few months.


Yup looking like that. This was supposed to be peak week and seemed to be a good week for everywhere but the NYC metro. Doubling is up over 8 days now. Limit large festivals, sporting events, seating capacity in restaurants, but let's get back to some normal life.


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Chromdome35
Arkansas Fan
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
1030 posts
 Online 

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 6:00 PM CST 5/28/20 Final Numbers for the Day
This is the link to the COVID-19 Country tracker that I have shared on Google Drive. Chromdome's COVID-19 Daily Tracker
This is the link to the US state level tracker that I have shared via Google Drive. Chromdome's State Level COVID-19 Daily Tracker

On the state level tracker the states I have available right now are listed below. I will be adding additional states in the coming days.
Arkansas, Louisiana, New York, Georgia, Florida, California

The source for the data is https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
The source for the testing data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/

On the tracker sheet you will see tabs for the following data:
1) US Summary
2) Country Comparables: This shows you how the US stacks up vs. select other countries dealing with COVID-19
3) Logarithmic Comparisons - Shows the US vs the other countries on the tracker.
4) Covid Vs Other Outbreaks - Compares the current COVID numbers to the last 10 years of flue and H1N1
5) US Weighted Averages - Explores 7 day vs 3 day weight average trends
6) Italy Summary
7) UK Summary
8) France Summary
9) Germany Summary
10) Sweden Summary
11) World Summary

NOTE: The daily growth rate data will not be accurate until the end of the day's postings. It will change throughout the day.
NOTE: I am not tracking individual states, I don't have a reliable consistent source for that data.
NOTE: I am not a mathematician, statistics guru, scientist, sharpest tack in the box, I'm just a guy who likes to understand for myself what is happening and to share it with others. This thread was not created to debate if you should or shouldn't take this seriously, it is simply to present the numbers and foster conversation.

NOTE: I have added a prediction number to the bottom of the data grid. This simply takes the previous days numbers and grows them at the previous day's growth rate. It should give the viewer some idea of what the numbers will look like today. Obviously, the final number for the day will be higher or lower based on what today's growth rate actualy is. This is just a simple indicator.











imjustafatkid
UAB Fan
Alabama
Member since Dec 2011
22504 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 6:00 PM CST 5/28/20 Final Numbers for the Day
quote:

Meh, the death numbers are going to be misleading since NYC is now going to count the deaths that happen at homes as COVID19.


It's been inflated for weeks.


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BHTiger
Clemson Fan
Charleston
Member since Dec 2017
1356 posts
 Online 

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 6:00 PM CST 5/28/20 Final Numbers for the Day
5 days since the new case high......hopefully that was truly the peak and deaths will peak early next week.


nerd guy
LSU Fan
Grapevine
Member since Dec 2008
10371 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 6:00 PM CST 5/28/20 Final Numbers for the Day
Does Spain report once or twice? Looks like they reported a big drop in new cases and deaths.


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the808bass
Louisville Fan
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
69361 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 6:00 PM CST 5/28/20 Final Numbers for the Day
quote:

the death numbers are going to be misleading since NYC is now going to count the deaths that happen at homes as COVID19.


Do you think they just had 200 more people dying in their homes each day for a completely unrelated reason?
This post was edited on 4/10 at 10:23 am


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ValDawgsta
Georgia Fan
Member since Jan 2020
492 posts
 Online 

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 6:00 PM CST 5/28/20 Final Numbers for the Day
quote:

hopefully that was truly the peak and deaths will peak early next week.


I’m hopeful that’s the case too. That University of Washington model says Sunday will be the peak of deaths but as far as reported numbers I’ll guess Tuesday due to the weekend issues we’ve talked about.


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10
uway
LSU Fan
Member since Sep 2004
32962 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 6:00 PM CST 5/28/20 Final Numbers for the Day
I'm assuming the 19 deaths is a miskey?


Chromdome35
Arkansas Fan
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
1030 posts
 Online 

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 6:00 PM CST 5/28/20 Final Numbers for the Day
What are you talking about?


LSU5508
LSU Fan
New Orleans
Member since Nov 2007
2737 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 6:00 PM CST 5/28/20 Final Numbers for the Day
No that’s just the early number. Will change over the course of the day.


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wfallstiger
LSU Fan
Wichita Falls, Texas
Member since Jun 2006
7717 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 6:00 PM CST 5/28/20 Final Numbers for the Day
Inflated as reimbursement rates will be more lucrative

Don't forget, healthcare is a racket unto itself


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21
uway
LSU Fan
Member since Sep 2004
32962 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 6:00 PM CST 5/28/20 Final Numbers for the Day
quote:

What are you talking about?



The data for 4/10


Chromdome35
Arkansas Fan
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
1030 posts
 Online 

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 6:00 PM CST 5/28/20 Final Numbers for the Day
I update it throughout the day as the various states report numbers.

It won't be final for the day until around 8:30 PM CST tonight.


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