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re: Unemployment at 14.7%

Posted on 5/8/20 at 7:54 am to
Posted by tigereye58
Member since Jan 2007
2891 posts
Posted on 5/8/20 at 7:54 am to

Is that through the end of April officially? I think there is a temporary one and a permanent one. Once things open back up I think it falls to 8% pretty quick. To get to sub 5% will take 100% capacity at restaurants, casinos and other entertainment events. I think that takes 6 months or more.I know several businesses that furloughed employees some with sizable numbers that are now back on payroll due to PPP so they’ll washout of it pretty quickly.
Posted by tigereye58
Member since Jan 2007
2891 posts
Posted on 5/8/20 at 8:00 am to
18.1 million are considered temporary according to cnbc while 2M are permanent. That’s the more important number. PPP will pull millions out of that number by the end of May.
Posted by beastieboys
South Jordan, UT
Member since Jan 2008
2193 posts
Posted on 5/8/20 at 8:01 am to
quote:

For now. Will be less than 5% come November.


Not a chance in hell
Posted by uppermidwestbama
Member since Nov 2014
2097 posts
Posted on 5/8/20 at 8:02 am to
Not going to be 5% come November. Some industries are hit too hard to allow for mass hiring of low income wage earners.

It should be close to 10% by year end.
Posted by uppermidwestbama
Member since Nov 2014
2097 posts
Posted on 5/8/20 at 8:03 am to
Most of those 18 million will not be asked back. Been around this world long enough to know how it works.
Posted by Dr Rosenrosen
Member since May 2006
4365 posts
Posted on 5/8/20 at 8:05 am to
Exactly because employers are going to be very, very conservative about hiring in this environment.
Posted by Zach
Gizmonic Institute
Member since May 2005
118086 posts
Posted on 5/8/20 at 8:05 am to
Earlier this week the media predicted 20%.
Posted by themunch
bottom of the list
Member since Jan 2007
72538 posts
Posted on 5/8/20 at 8:07 am to
This will happen if you deliberately shut down the work.
Posted by boogiewoogie1978
Little Rock
Member since Aug 2012
20482 posts
Posted on 5/8/20 at 8:08 am to
quote:

Earlier this week the media predicted 20%.

Just reporting what some economists are saying.
Posted by Tiger in Texas
Houston, Texas
Member since Sep 2004
22263 posts
Posted on 5/8/20 at 8:11 am to
quote:

Stay home!


Amazing how many states (especially blue states) continue that narrative. It doesn't work, all a overreaction!!
Posted by jawnybnsc
Greer, SC
Member since Dec 2016
6067 posts
Posted on 5/8/20 at 8:13 am to
I'm sure you're right. I'm sure that a senile lickspittle to China in the White House will make no difference.
Posted by Dr Rosenrosen
Member since May 2006
4365 posts
Posted on 5/8/20 at 8:13 am to
The whole stay home narrative is truly disgusting. It's not saving anything and it's further crashing our economy.
Posted by WreckinTexin
Member since May 2020
10 posts
Posted on 5/8/20 at 8:26 am to
And the markets jumped
Posted by TerryDawg03
The Deep South
Member since Dec 2012
18238 posts
Posted on 5/8/20 at 8:43 am to
Link for those interested: CNBC

I haven’t done the research, but I’m curious to see how the C portion of GDP has been affected, and how consumer confidence is ranking. If CC is still tanking, no one’s going to buy anything and there will be no need to hire. This could then flow over into the I portion of GDP, which could hit jobs higher up the chain.

Until people start shopping, dining, etc., the employment numbers will be in the shitter.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
99806 posts
Posted on 5/8/20 at 8:45 am to
quote:

Makes little difference who the president is really


Can you stop
Posted by highbooost
Dayton, OH
Member since Sep 2016
1341 posts
Posted on 5/8/20 at 2:30 pm to
This country is screwed, it will take YEARS to undo what has been done, just wait for the inflation dumb arse Trump did by printing 6 trillion cash, and you just wait for the bailouts which haven't even started.

Remember, banks and big businesses are too big to fail. I remember 2008-2010 real well thank you.

Posted by Rex Feral
Somewhere near Athens
Member since Jan 2014
17205 posts
Posted on 5/8/20 at 2:58 pm to
Why should they work when they get $1,000 a week in unemployment?
Posted by TheRoarRestoredInBR
Member since Dec 2004
31166 posts
Posted on 5/8/20 at 3:40 pm to
quote:

Makes little difference who the president is really


In some past eras, I could agree with you, but in certain times, especially now, with the shadow govt flexing harder than ever in W and Barry's terms, the depth of corrupt politicians at hand, and this coup d'etat of last four years..

Bullsh!t to your comment!
Posted by highbooost
Dayton, OH
Member since Sep 2016
1341 posts
Posted on 5/8/20 at 3:55 pm to
All politicians are corrupt, they aren't any more corrupt today than 5,000 years ago.



There was one really smart level headed group that founded this country and it has been down hill since.
Posted by Aristo
Colorado
Member since Jan 2007
13292 posts
Posted on 5/8/20 at 3:59 pm to
quote:

Makes little difference who the president is really



I think there would be a huge difference between Biden and Trump getting the economy rolling again.
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