Trump will get what he wants in Iran by negotiation or by force

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Trump will get what he wants in Iran by negotiation or by force
by Conrad Black
11 June 2026

We seem finally to have reached the dénouement in the long, extremely one-sided, and comparatively bloodless war the United States and Israel have conducted with Iran. In one month of strategic bombing and missile attacks, the United States and Israel launched 20,000 strikes killing only an alleged 3,500 Iranians but destroying up to 90 per cent of that country’s missile and drone firing capacity and completely destroying its air defences, its navy (apart from a few coastal whalers) and almost all munitions stocks and authentic military targets. Israel suffered approximately 30 civilian deaths from counterattacks, and the United States eight combat fatalities plus five more in a non-combat accident.

There has never in the history of serious combatants been such a one-sided exchange of fire for a whole month. Because of the fragmentation of Iranian leadership, including the death of almost all of the senior cadres of the original Iranian government, the American leadership was persuaded that Iran was prepared to concede the principal US requirements: A complete and permanent end to any Iranian pursuit of a deliverable nuclear warhead, the end of Iranian military assistance to terrorist organisations and of any Iranian claim of a right to block or interfere with international commercial traffic in the Strait of Hormuz.
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Trump has just successfully purged his party of malcontents in the Senate and House of Representatives and not more than four or five presidents in the country’s history have been as preeminent as he is in the politics of the country at this stage in his administration. He has a blank cheque to return to combat and pummel Iran into submission, or to receive Iran’s submission without a return to war. He will not make a bad peace and is in a position to extract a satisfactory one. The time has come.

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