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re: Trump promoting a 50 year mortgage. Dave Ramsey will lose his mind. Terrible idea - imo

Posted on 11/11/25 at 9:06 am to
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
62615 posts
Posted on 11/11/25 at 9:06 am to
quote:

This is not about me (I posted personal particulars re: loan leverage use earlier in the thread), or you.
of course not, it's rhetorical.

quote:

For owner's of a 50, if they apply the monthly difference between their 50yr note and a 30yr at the identical interest rate, they pay the 50 off in 30, with identical interest in total 30 vs 50.
If they can pay it off in 30, why can't they pay it off in 30?

quote:

Obviously with increasing term 15 vs 30 vs 50 there will be an associated premium, but the point stands.
Well if you want to argue that 50 year borrowers have the ability to pay off their loans in 30 years (at higher rates), I guess it does.

EDIT: I have no idea who or why anyone downvoted your post, but FTR it wasn't me!
This post was edited on 11/11/25 at 9:08 am
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
135735 posts
Posted on 11/11/25 at 9:09 am to
quote:

I mean if we're going to presume that values always go up, and they're always going to go up faster than inflation...
NO!
That's the point, TA.

Assume home prices simply track inflation.
$400K in 2015 => $528K now.
Given $40K down in 2015, the $128K profit = a 320% ROI.

All a function of leverage.
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
170769 posts
Posted on 11/11/25 at 9:12 am to
quote:

Had a look at our fed debt lately? The only reason is was "a few years" is because the Treasury/Fed bailed out the banks and re-inflated the bubble.


And behind the scenes of all this:

quote:

The Fed also said it was maintaining its current plan to allow up to $35 billion in mortgage-backed securities to expire each month - a target it has never achieved in more than three years of reductions - but beginning December 1 will reinvest all proceeds from maturing MBS into Treasury bills.

LINK

Buying a home right now might be a trap
Posted by aTmTexas Dillo
East Texas Lake
Member since Sep 2018
22797 posts
Posted on 11/11/25 at 9:13 am to
Dave Ramsey can kiss my paid off mortgage arse. He is a has been. Put young people in houses!
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
135735 posts
Posted on 11/11/25 at 9:14 am to
quote:

If they can pay it off in 30, why can't they pay it off in 30?
1st time buyers sometimes just need the ability to lock-in ownership, with the knowledge they can income-grow into the note. e.g., a spouse two years away from an accounting degree.

This post was edited on 11/11/25 at 9:15 am
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
62615 posts
Posted on 11/11/25 at 9:14 am to
quote:

NO!
That's the point, TA.
Dont' lose your sense of humor doc.

quote:

Assume home prices simply track inflation. ROI.
Ummm... there is no ROI if they simply track inflation.

quote:

All a function of leverage.
All a function of giving ever-increasing terms keeps the bubble afloat with borrowed money.
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
170769 posts
Posted on 11/11/25 at 9:16 am to
quote:

Assume home prices simply track inflation.
$400K in 2015 => $528K now.
Given $40K down in 2015, the $128K profit = a 320% ROI.


Might as well bump that down to 100K to account for realtor fees and closing costs

Still a 250% ROI but that doesn't account for maintenance costs or any of the other liabilities that come with home ownership. You'd have to include things like PMI paid over that duration to calculate true ROI.
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
62615 posts
Posted on 11/11/25 at 9:17 am to
quote:

1st time buyers sometimes just need the ability to lock-in ownership, with the knowledge they can income-grow into the note. e.g., a spouse two years away from an accounting degree.
Like no-doc loans, balloon payments, and variable interest rates? I feel like we've been to this destination before, just on a different path.
Posted by theunknownknight
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
60243 posts
Posted on 11/11/25 at 9:20 am to
Are there people in this thread legitimately defending 50-year mortgages?

Do they not understand simple economics? The prices of houses are going to explode making 50 year mortgages more and more necessary in the future.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
135735 posts
Posted on 11/11/25 at 9:21 am to
quote:

Dave Ramsey can kiss my paid off mortgage arse.
For folks with 2 or 3-handle low-interest home loans, Ramsey's pay-it-off approach is terrible advice.
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
62615 posts
Posted on 11/11/25 at 9:21 am to
Maybe we should let people start borrowing money to buy stocks, next. Think of how high the market could go! Through the roof!
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
170769 posts
Posted on 11/11/25 at 9:23 am to
quote:

Maybe we should let people start borrowing money to buy stocks, next. Think of how high the market could go! Through the roof!

You laugh but we have a dangerously high amount of margin propping up the markets right now
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
62615 posts
Posted on 11/11/25 at 9:24 am to
quote:

You laugh but we have a dangerously high amount of margin propping up the markets right now
But stonks always go up. It'll be fine.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
135735 posts
Posted on 11/11/25 at 9:26 am to
quote:

Like no-doc loans
No

quote:

Like balloon payments, and variable interest rates? I feel like we've been to this destination before, just on a different path.
Right. But those choices are helpful for some folks too.
Posted by billjamin
Houston
Member since Jun 2019
16773 posts
Posted on 11/11/25 at 9:26 am to
quote:

But stonks always go up. It'll be fine.

Is there a tariff stimmies futures market yet? I could see that popping off.
Posted by theunknownknight
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
60243 posts
Posted on 11/11/25 at 9:27 am to
wait, there are people defending this crap.

It’s probably the same people who make fun of others who have to buy cars with seven or eight year loans because the prices of cars have gone up partially because of those extended loans.

The banks are gonna eat the 50 year loan approach up. True, a lot more people are gonna start buying houses which is great in the short term. However, the buying price is going to drive up considerably in just a few years, making the 50 year mortgage is even more necessary going forward. And in the long term, the housing market is going to crash terribly.

This post was edited on 11/11/25 at 9:29 am
Posted by The Cool No 9
70816
Member since Jan 2014
11025 posts
Posted on 11/11/25 at 9:27 am to
Its up to the buyer who goes for it. If they decide they want a home that bad and plan to be there for the rest of their life even at obscene rates they may be happy with it.
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
62615 posts
Posted on 11/11/25 at 9:33 am to
quote:

No
it's not like the other.

quote:

Right. But those choices are helpful for some folks too.
I guess we have different goals? Debt is most useful to the buyer that doesn't need it.
Posted by REB BEER
Laffy Yet
Member since Dec 2010
17713 posts
Posted on 11/11/25 at 9:37 am to
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
135735 posts
Posted on 11/11/25 at 9:40 am to
quote:

Might as well bump that down to 100K to account for realtor fees and closing costs
Right. Just keeping it simple. Assuming nothing to principal, equation of loan vs rent monthly note, etc.

The point is, normal investments just tracking inflation are not great financially. OTOH, if home value just tracks inflation, it can provide a leveraged buyer a nice ROI.
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