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re: Trump pollster: Trump is ahead in ALL the swing states – including PA, MI, and WI.
Posted on 10/31/20 at 2:06 pm to da prophet
Posted on 10/31/20 at 2:06 pm to da prophet
Something is wrong here. I heard and watched Luntz yesterday saying Biden was winning in almost ALL of the swing states, especially in NC. Hmmmmmmmmmm...
0
Posted on 10/31/20 at 2:09 pm to GEAUXmedic
Lol. Luntz has been wrong about everything for 20 years and he’s still around
Posted on 10/31/20 at 2:18 pm to Zachary
quote:Just a thought. Having up to date donation information gives internal pollsters knowledge that other pollsters don’t have; at least not in near real time. With that knowledge and information about whether you have voted (don’t know how quickly that info is available) then I would think a statistician could make reliable inferences. Add in samples of non donors for either party registration and the inferences get better.
I've asked before, and I might simply be missing something, but how can anybody know?
The campaigns/parties have knowledge the other pollsters don’t have. I know this; I made a donation to Trump earlier this year and now I get daily, almost hourly, request via email and text from other Rs for $.
Posted on 10/31/20 at 2:19 pm to PeteRose
Why wouldn’t he be? As a political unknown.... a media punchline haunted by fake sex scandals and the access Hollywood tape, he beat Hillary in these states. Why? Because people were tired on political elites.
Fast forward to today, Trump has delivered on promises that impact these states the most.. manufacturing, steel, coal, and natural gas. He has a great approval rating and an 84% enthusiastic base. He’s gained with white union members, black voters, and Hispanic voters. His opponent is weaker this go-round and wants to raise corporate taxes and ban fossil fuels.
So why WOULDN'T he be favored in those states?
Fast forward to today, Trump has delivered on promises that impact these states the most.. manufacturing, steel, coal, and natural gas. He has a great approval rating and an 84% enthusiastic base. He’s gained with white union members, black voters, and Hispanic voters. His opponent is weaker this go-round and wants to raise corporate taxes and ban fossil fuels.
So why WOULDN'T he be favored in those states?
This post was edited on 10/31/20 at 2:20 pm
Posted on 10/31/20 at 2:20 pm to GEAUXmedic
I listened to a Bill Hemmer podcast yesterday he did say this and said they win Nevada We shall see
Posted on 10/31/20 at 2:38 pm to GEAUXmedic
Luntz lets his hatred for Trump override his common sense. He wants Trump to lose and is throwing away his credibility in the process. He would rather sit on election night and wonder how he missed the Trump strength rather than say it looks like Trump is winning a spectacular victory.
Posted on 10/31/20 at 2:44 pm to GEAUXmedic
John Mclaughlin might be the worst pollster in the country. Don't believe me, look at his record. He was off on the Cantor Primary by 46%, I mean how bad do you have to be to be off by that much?
Posted on 10/31/20 at 2:51 pm to Vacherie Saint
quote:
Lol. Luntz has been wrong about everything for 20 years and he’s still around
Luntz was on FOX at 11AM telling Trace Gallagher that Trump was closing hard because undecideds and quiet voters were trending to Trump. Luntz is a two faced bitch that blows with the wind to suit his narrative.
Posted on 10/31/20 at 4:28 pm to GEAUXmedic
quote:
@FrankLuntz
Trump pollster @jmclghln is privately telling people that Trump is ahead in ALL the swing states – including Penn and Michigan, and tied in Wisconsin.
I don't believe it. But if he's right, he's a genius. If he's wrong, I wonder if he'll ever work again.
Posted on 10/31/20 at 10:07 pm to Bigtime92
Trumps internals are no joke. I think I heard they have had millions of responses
Posted on 10/31/20 at 10:10 pm to GEAUXmedic
quote:
I don't believe it. But if he's right, he's a genius. If he's wrong, I wonder if he'll ever work again.
Too bad that’s not the case for Nate Bronze
Posted on 10/31/20 at 10:12 pm to saints5021
Luntz is also tight with the Biden family.
Lots of emails on the laptop from hell showing communications between the Bidens and Luntz dating back to the 2012 election.
Lots of emails on the laptop from hell showing communications between the Bidens and Luntz dating back to the 2012 election.
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