- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
Trump in a landslide? This historically accurate model predicts exactly that
Posted on 10/15/19 at 10:36 pm
Posted on 10/15/19 at 10:36 pm
quote:
President Donald Trump has a love/hate relationship with polls, surveys and predictions. He loves the ones that paint him in a positive light, and, of course, he hates all those “fake” ones that don’t.
He’s going to absolutely adore this one.
According to Moody’s Analytics, Trump is headed toward another four years in the White House. And, if the numbers are right, it won’t even be close.
In fact, his Electoral College victory could very well be wider than the 304-227 margin he enjoyed over Democratic rival Hillary Clinton in the 2016 election.
Since 1980, Moody’s has managed to nail the outcome every time but once — like many, it didn’t see Trump coming.
“In our post-mortem of the 2016 presidential election model,” the report said, “we determined that unexpected turnout patterns were one of the factors that contributed to the model’s first incorrect election prediction.” Here’s Moody’s track record, including a 2016 adjustment for the turnout variable:
LINK
Posted on 10/15/19 at 10:39 pm to Street Hawk
It's crazy that those projected EV totals for Trump are all seriously right in line with his most realistic tallies.
I think his best-case map (realistically speaking) is below.
I think his best-case map (realistically speaking) is below.
This post was edited on 10/15/19 at 10:43 pm
Posted on 10/15/19 at 10:50 pm to Street Hawk
The democrats are running on open borders, free healthcare for illegals, and gun confiscation.
I don’t need a model prediction to know what’s about to happen.
I don’t need a model prediction to know what’s about to happen.
This post was edited on 10/15/19 at 10:51 pm
Posted on 10/15/19 at 11:11 pm to GeauxLSUGeaux
And what's funny is the left actually believes that is what the majority of this country wants
Posted on 10/16/19 at 7:33 am to Street Hawk
Re-elect Donald Trump and regain control of the U. S. Congress. If we want to continue and expand the economic growth we have now under Trump......that's what WE have to do.
Trump delivers......the democrats oppose.
JOBS, JOB, JOBS, and more JOBS.
Trump delivers......the democrats oppose.
JOBS, JOB, JOBS, and more JOBS.
Posted on 10/16/19 at 7:35 am to Street Hawk
Yep. I started a thread on this earlier.
Posted on 10/16/19 at 7:39 am to SirWinston
That looks about right with the exception of Virginia. NOVA will ensure VA stays blue from now on.
Posted on 10/16/19 at 7:51 am to upgrayedd
I don't know I think Omar might help him in Minnesota. The rest of the state has a front seat to what she is doing.
Posted on 10/16/19 at 7:56 am to SirWinston
I think NV would flip before VA
Posted on 10/16/19 at 9:14 am to GeneralLee
Michigan and Pennsylvania are both going to be tremendously tough and will likely be ground zero in the general election. The turn out in detroit and other urban voters was laughable and hurt Clinton big time. At this point I think democrats will concede Ohio.
This post was edited on 10/16/19 at 9:15 am
Posted on 10/16/19 at 10:27 am to upgrayedd
quote:
He isn't winning MN
They said the same thing about Michigan (and maybe Wisconsin?) In 2016. Most of rural MN likes him very much. The Iron Range especially.
Posted on 10/16/19 at 10:55 am to SirWinston
I think Trump has a shot at Nevada and NM more than Virginia
Popular
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News