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Started By
Message
Trump has surged to a new high
Posted on 10/21/24 at 3:21 pm
Posted on 10/21/24 at 3:21 pm
14
Posted on 10/21/24 at 3:23 pm to Seldom Seen
holy shite...what is this based on?
Posted on 10/21/24 at 3:25 pm to BrohemAlem11
quote:
what is this based on?
Wishful thinking.
I believe Trump is going to win, but since he’s never won the popular vote, the margin will be pretty slim or he’ll just win based on electoral college again.
Posted on 10/21/24 at 3:26 pm to Seldom Seen
Posted on 10/21/24 at 3:27 pm to Froman
I’m assuming that’s giving him a 65% chance of winning Pennsylvania and not that he’s getting 65% of the vote.
Posted on 10/21/24 at 3:27 pm to Froman
quote:
Wishful thinking.
I believe Trump is going to win, but since he’s never won the popular vote, the margin will be pretty slim or he’ll just win based on electoral college again.
The polls say your wrong. Dominion and illegals voting give you a high five though.
Posted on 10/21/24 at 3:29 pm to Warboo
quote:
The polls say your wrong.
The polls said Hillary was a lock in 2016 as well. And I haven’t seen any reputable poll with a gap that big.
This post was edited on 10/21/24 at 3:30 pm
Posted on 10/21/24 at 3:30 pm to Seldom Seen
Hope this is true:
Minnesota, New Mexico, Virginia, and New Hampshire as only "safe Harris."
Minnesota, New Mexico, Virginia, and New Hampshire as only "safe Harris."
Posted on 10/21/24 at 3:32 pm to Froman
quote:
The polls said Hillary was a lock in 2016 as well
Do you really believe that after polling being so far off to the left the previous two election cycles that now all of a sudden they are too far right?
Drugs are bad, mmmkay? You may want to put down that crack pipe
Posted on 10/21/24 at 3:33 pm to TheCheshireHog
quote:
I’m assuming that’s giving him a 65% chance of winning Pennsylvania and not that he’s getting 65% of the vote.
I assume that as well.
If he were to get 65% of Pennsylvania he would win about every state. That would be an incredible jump from 2020 when he got 48% of the vote in Pennsylvania
Posted on 10/21/24 at 3:34 pm to IvoryBillMatt
Wrong. It's not a 12 point lead! 58¢ to 46¢.
Posted on 10/21/24 at 3:37 pm to TheCheshireHog
quote:yes this is clearly just based on odds.
I’m assuming that’s giving him a 65% chance of winning Pennsylvania and not that he’s getting 65% of the vote.
Trump doesn’t have to come close to winning the popular vote to have a 68% chance of winning election. He ran away with the election in 2016 and lost the popular vote by a decent margin.
If he’s got a 65% chance to win PA based on recent polling there then it’s fair to say he has a 2/3 chance to win the election given that correlation should be pretty tight. I’ve predicted all along whoever takes PA will win the election even though there is a slight chance Trump could still win the election without PA considering how strong he’s polling in the rest of the swing states.
Posted on 10/21/24 at 3:37 pm to Seldom Seen
23.8% lead on Polymarket
Posted on 10/21/24 at 3:38 pm to Seldom Seen
Would someone please explain this betting system to me.
Posted on 10/21/24 at 3:39 pm to IvoryBillMatt
quote:I'm not so sure about Virginia.
Hope this is true:
Minnesota, New Mexico, Virginia, and New Hampshire as only "safe Harris."
Posted on 10/21/24 at 3:40 pm to Seldom Seen
Even the general
Election RCP average has shrunk to <1% for her.
That one is their baby.
Election RCP average has shrunk to <1% for her.
That one is their baby.
Posted on 10/21/24 at 3:42 pm to Froman
quote:
the popular vote
You idiots keep saying this like it has meaning. I’ll give you a quick lesson on presidential elections in the USA.
THE POPULAR VOTE MEANS NOTHING, ZERO. USING THE PHRASE MAKES YOU LOOK AS STUPID AS SOMEONE WHO SAYS THERE’S NO DIFFERENCE IN WOMEN THAT HAVE A PUSSY AND MEN WHO DRESS LIKE WOMEN THAT HAVE A DICK
fricking idiots
Posted on 10/21/24 at 3:43 pm to HubbaBubba
Shut it down!
Posted on 10/21/24 at 3:43 pm to ClientNumber9
quote:
Wrong. It's not a 12 point lead! 58¢ to 46¢.
Maybe it's really volatile. Just checked. 57 cents to 47 cents at 3:42 CDT.
Posted on 10/21/24 at 3:46 pm to Froman
quote:
he’ll just win based on electoral college again.
That’s the only way to win.
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