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Message
True or False: Trump is the only candidate who can outright win Tuesday night
Posted on 11/2/20 at 11:03 am
Posted on 11/2/20 at 11:03 am
I sent this text to Steve Meve last night
I stand by this. If the polls are 2016 all over again Trump may take NV, MI, MN, WI, PA, and NC along with the very likely OH/FL/GA. If this happens, then it will be VERY hard for the DEMs to hold out hope for victory b/c there will be no path for Biden.
However, I believe that Biden can only win in a close election in critical states that will come under major scrutiny and litigation. I don't see how Biden will be able to do well enough on Tuesday night to separate himself to be the clear winner.
quote:
i will say this, Trump is the only one who i think has a legit chance at sealing it on Tuesday. if Biden wins, it will be close
I stand by this. If the polls are 2016 all over again Trump may take NV, MI, MN, WI, PA, and NC along with the very likely OH/FL/GA. If this happens, then it will be VERY hard for the DEMs to hold out hope for victory b/c there will be no path for Biden.
However, I believe that Biden can only win in a close election in critical states that will come under major scrutiny and litigation. I don't see how Biden will be able to do well enough on Tuesday night to separate himself to be the clear winner.
19
Posted on 11/2/20 at 11:04 am to SlowFlowPro
(no message)
This post was edited on 1/10/21 at 11:00 pm
Posted on 11/2/20 at 11:04 am to SlowFlowPro
Def true and he may
Posted on 11/2/20 at 11:05 am to SlowFlowPro
I believe that's an accurate assessment.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 11:05 am to SlowFlowPro
This is what I am hoping.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 11:05 am to SlowFlowPro
I see it the other way. The only two likely outcomes are a big Biden win or a narrow Trump win.
I'm hoping for the latter, of course. But anyone who thinks Trump will easily coast in a landslide is delusional. It is NOT that easy.
I'm hoping for the latter, of course. But anyone who thinks Trump will easily coast in a landslide is delusional. It is NOT that easy.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 11:05 am to SlowFlowPro
False
If the polls are every bit as wrong as they were in 2016, Biden still wins comfortably.
The only way Trump wins is in a close election, which will definitely take time to sort out.
If the polls are every bit as wrong as they were in 2016, Biden still wins comfortably.
The only way Trump wins is in a close election, which will definitely take time to sort out.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 11:06 am to AnyonebutSteelers
quote:
I'm hoping for the latter, of course. But anyone who thinks Trump will easily coast in a landslide is delusional. It is NOT that easy.
He may barely eek it out in the popular vote but hoping that translates to nice margin in the electorals.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 11:07 am to NawlinsTiger9
quote:
If the polls are every bit as wrong as they were in 2016, Biden still wins comfortably.
The only way Trump wins is in a close election, which will definitely take time to sort out.
are you talking like, national vote count or something?
If the polls are wrong like 2016, Trump is going to drag his nuts all over the midwest (he already has Florida and Ohio sewn up) and take NC/Nevada.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 11:07 am to 14&Counting
quote:
He may barely eek it out in the popular vote
no chance
Posted on 11/2/20 at 11:07 am to NawlinsTiger9
quote:how does this make sense? the polls were wrong, and he lost, bigly.
If the polls are every bit as wrong as they were in 2016, Biden still wins comfortably.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 11:08 am to SlowFlowPro
quote:
I sent this text to Steve Meve last night
I’m probably the only person here who know who that is.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 11:08 am to SlowFlowPro
The networks and MSM will use a blanket policy to not call any states that allow for a ballot received after November 3rd to be counted.
I predict none of them will decide a winner tomorrow night, no matter what (unless Biden is winning a runaway).
I predict none of them will decide a winner tomorrow night, no matter what (unless Biden is winning a runaway).
Posted on 11/2/20 at 11:08 am to SlowFlowPro
It's a hot take and a pretty good one IMO.
The media and the Dem pundits have seemingly shifted back from "clear Biden landslide" mode to "Trump may win Florida, and he may even be leading in MI, PA, WI at night's end... but once the votes are counted Biden will win."
If the latter is their go to talking point, we're in for (at worst) a nailbiter and (at best) a clear Trump win.
The media and the Dem pundits have seemingly shifted back from "clear Biden landslide" mode to "Trump may win Florida, and he may even be leading in MI, PA, WI at night's end... but once the votes are counted Biden will win."
If the latter is their go to talking point, we're in for (at worst) a nailbiter and (at best) a clear Trump win.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 11:08 am to SlowFlowPro
Absolutely true, and after seeing everything come together in this election season, I call it PROBABLE.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 11:08 am to Rebel
Scoop would have known 
Posted on 11/2/20 at 11:11 am to SlowFlowPro
quote:
If the polls are wrong like 2016, Trump is going to drag his nuts all over the midwest (he already has Florida and Ohio sewn up) and take NC/Nevada.
Biden has an average of +2.9 in battleground state averages right now according to RCP
The polls in 2016 missed by +2.8.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 11:11 am to SlowFlowPro
Yea. That was horrible news.
Scoop was an OG.
Scoop was an OG.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 11:11 am to SlowFlowPro
False, that’s just our bias.
If Biden wins PA and the rust belt states by 7 like some polls suggest, it will be pretty obvious.
If Biden wins PA and the rust belt states by 7 like some polls suggest, it will be pretty obvious.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 11:12 am to Logician
quote:
how does this make sense? the polls were wrong, and he lost, bigly.
He's saying that given the size of the 2020 polling lead, a 2016-size polling error would still render a Biden victory. Another way of saying it is that 2020 would have to have a bigger polling error than in '16 for a Trump win.
This post was edited on 11/2/20 at 11:13 am
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