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Message
re: Trafalgar Pennsylvania Poll: Trump +1%!
Posted on 10/27/20 at 12:55 pm to Goldrush25
Posted on 10/27/20 at 12:55 pm to Goldrush25
Coach O will never win a national championship. 
0
Posted on 10/27/20 at 12:58 pm to ROPO
quote:
How'd they do in 2018? This board doesn't want to answer that
I’ve seen this board say that Trafalgar is the gold standard for the presidential elections and bad for the midterms.
Posted on 10/27/20 at 12:58 pm to ROPO
quote:
How'd they do in 2018? This board doesn't want to answer that
Pretty well. Thanks for asking.
quote:
Two years later, Cahaly’s method once again proved solid. In one of the most polled races of the cycle, Trafalgar stood alone as the only polling firm to correctly show a Ron DeSantis gubernatorial victory in Florida – as well as Rick Scott winning the Senate race there. (Both narrow outcomes will likely result in recounts.)
Trafalgar also correctly predicted Senate outcomes in Missouri, Montana, North Dakota, Texas and West Virginia (as of this writing Arizona remains undecided), making it the most accurate pollster of the cycle among those firms that polled multiple Senate and governor races.
This post was edited on 10/27/20 at 1:00 pm
Posted on 10/27/20 at 12:59 pm to Goldrush25
Not if there are half a dozen left wing ones in lockstep
Posted on 10/27/20 at 1:01 pm to LSUnation78
quote:
But nate bronze said trafalgar was crazy!
Posted on 10/27/20 at 1:01 pm to ROPO
quote:
How'd they do in 2018? This board doesn't want to answer that
Not bad, and Trump wasn't on the ballot in 2018
Posted on 10/27/20 at 1:03 pm to ROPO
quote:I posted an entire thread about that topic and Trafalgar was stated by Real Clear Politics to be the most accurate of all polling services in 2018.
How'd they do in 2018? This board doesn't want to answer that
Here is a quote from the article:
quote:
Trafalgar also correctly predicted Senate outcomes in Missouri, Montana, North Dakota, Texas and West Virginia (as of this writing Arizona remains undecided), making it the most accurate pollster of the cycle among those firms that polled multiple Senate and governor races.
Posted on 10/27/20 at 1:09 pm to ROPO
quote:
How'd they do in 2018? This board doesn't want to answer that
They missed on the Cruz/Beto. They got the winner right but was off pretty bad on the percentage. Beto getting 80 million $ compared to Cruz’s 37 million maybe a reason. Beto also got a 10 million dollar push within just the last week or so that pushed him up quite a bit. But yes, the poll was still off
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