- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
re: .
Posted on 9/12/24 at 7:40 pm to OMLandshark
Posted on 9/12/24 at 7:40 pm to OMLandshark
All of these so called "predicters" are full of shite.....most are Pay-Ops.
0
Posted on 9/12/24 at 7:43 pm to Jake88
quote:
Have to wait a week to 10 days so he can incorporate post debate polls to see what the impact will be.
You have to wait several weeks to see if anything about the debate even mattered.
Posted on 9/12/24 at 9:10 pm to OMLandshark
quote:That's the wrong question. The context now is for undecided voters - which, whether yall want to admit or not - exist. It's very possible that a lot of undecideds are (for now) decided on Harris.
Do you think anyone that was voting for Trump on Monday is now going to vote for Kamala come today? I highly doubt it.
Posted on 9/12/24 at 9:16 pm to OMLandshark
quote:
Frank Luntz
is a fricking DUNCE
Posted on 9/12/24 at 9:19 pm to Big Scrub TX
quote:
It's very possible that a lot of undecideds are (for now) decided on Harris.
There are many post-debate undecided voter reactions out there. "A lot" didn't happen. Very few did, in fact.
This post was edited on 9/12/24 at 9:44 pm
Posted on 9/12/24 at 11:50 pm to Jwho77
quote:What's your explanation for the betting markets moving?
There are many post-debate undecided voter reactions out there. "A lot" didn't happen. Very few did, in fact.
Posted on 9/13/24 at 12:00 am to I Love Bama
quote:
Most americans know deep down the woman has a below average IQ.
She is widely believed to have skull-drugged Trump in the debate. How if she has a below average IQ? I’m going with what Eric Weinstein said, “Kamala is a lot smarter than people realize.”
Every politician in America is aiming for two spots - the nominees of the two major parties. She got it. You can claim she slept her way to the top, but she didn’t. She probably did use that on the way, and her minority status played a huge role, but there are still tens of thousands who would not hesitate to use those. They are not the nominee; Kamala is. I don’t think she’s below average, or even average, IQ.
Posted on 9/13/24 at 12:00 am to Big Scrub TX
I don't care about the betting markets. People on both sides bring them up when they aren't relevant. These aren't votes. They aren't polls. They're bets. Money moves lines/odds for all sorts of reasons, and they move frequently when the odds are up for a long time before the bet is settled like a presidential race. Bettors look for what they hope are edges to get ahead of the market. They take chances. They ride hunches. That's gambling.
Posted on 9/13/24 at 12:06 am to Jwho77
quote:I personally am not convinced they are overly relevant given the trading volumes just aren't high enough. But in theory, they should be better barometers than polls and whatnot.
I don't care about the betting markets. People on both sides bring them up when they aren't relevant. These aren't votes. They aren't polls. They're bets. Money moves lines/odds for all sorts of reasons, and they move frequently when the odds are up for a long time before the bet is settled like a presidential race. Bettors look for what they hope are edges to get ahead of the market. They take chances. They ride hunches. That's gambling.
Posted on 9/13/24 at 12:07 am to Penrod
quote:My guess is her IQ is no higher than 115 - that's 1 standard deviation above the average. Pretty smart, but truly nothing special.
Every politician in America is aiming for two spots - the nominees of the two major parties. She got it. You can claim she slept her way to the top, but she didn’t. She probably did use that on the way, and her minority status played a huge role, but there are still tens of thousands who would not hesitate to use those. They are not the nominee; Kamala is. I don’t think she’s below average, or even average, IQ.
I think she's gotten enormously lucky here. Literally less than 3 months ago, her own party was basically wondering how they could get rid of her. She was despised by basically everyone.
Posted on 9/13/24 at 12:10 am to Big Scrub TX
quote:
But in theory, they should be better barometers than polls and whatnot.
They really are not because the bets by a combination of sharps, squares and fans of "their team" leads to manipulation/changes just like they do for sports betting. The degeneracy is a whole different thing unto itself.
Posted on 9/13/24 at 12:14 am to Jwho77
quote:Over time, sports betting is pretty accurate.
They really are not because the bets by a combination of sharps, squares and fans of "their team" leads to manipulation/changes just like they do for sports betting.
Posted on 9/13/24 at 12:38 am to OMLandshark
I think we are ten days away from knowing how the debate affected the electorate. The candidates will know sooner, because they do deadly serious internal polling, but we won’t.
Posted on 9/13/24 at 12:54 am to Big Scrub TX
quote:
My guess is her IQ is no higher than 115 - that's 1 standard deviation above the average. Pretty smart, but truly nothing special.
I think she's gotten enormously lucky here. Literally less than 3 months ago, her own party was basically wondering how they could get rid of her. She was despised by basically everyone.
Your second paragraph is true. I think your 115 or below estimate is low. I’d guess 125. She has very cleverly shape-shifted her way to her present position, in which she has a substantial shot at the Presidency of the United States.
Posted on 9/13/24 at 1:47 am to OMLandshark
quote:
Nate Silver still says 62% chance that Trump wins
Because large sample size polls post debate still aren't published.
Spike the ball mid-late next week if the results stay the same.
Posted on 9/13/24 at 2:22 am to SirWinston
quote:
Hold the line, fellow Patriots
Eta: nate is a very smug contrarian like our own SFP and you get the feeling he'd like nothing more than to catch a ton of shite from his leftist followers as he correctly calls a Trump EC victory
Or is Nate, openly a Democrat, trying to prevent a replay of 2016 when he played a part in making Hillary's victory seem so certain he accidentally helped suppress Democrat turnout in the Rust Belt?
Harris, herself, keeps insisting she's the underdog and they have a lot of work to do...
Posted on 9/13/24 at 5:45 am to Penrod
quote:
Penrod
quote:
“Kamala is a lot smarter than people realize.”
would not expect anything else from you
anyone with a brain knows she had the questions and knew that she was going to be protected by the moderators. That isn't even open for Debate. Meanwhile, you think that made her look smart, while most of us saw it for what it was, a sham debate. I don't think you should be commenting on anyone's IQ.
Posted on 9/13/24 at 5:47 am to Penrod
quote:
She has very cleverly shape-shifted her way to her present position, in which she has a substantial shot at the Presidency of the United States.
imagine believing this....yeah, she has orchestrated this....lol
This post was edited on 9/13/24 at 5:48 am
Posted on 9/14/24 at 4:17 am to Mandtgr47
quote:
imagine believing this....yeah, she has orchestrated this....lol
Let's say you're right. Many would have liked that role - many who are better looking and just as amoral - but she got it. How?
Posted on 9/14/24 at 4:57 am to Mandtgr47
quote:No shite. I posted that weeks ago when Trump foolishly agreed to this debate with this network.
anyone with a brain knows she had the questions
What I posted earlier is still true. There is a gigantic competition for the one spot that she now holds. A dummy would not have gotten there. She is no dummy. You might be.
Page 3 of 4
Popular
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News