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Today is Powell's last day as Fed chair

Posted on 5/15/26 at 10:09 am
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
182272 posts
Posted on 5/15/26 at 10:09 am
Remember when he told us the 9.1% 40 year high inflation rate in June of 2022 was "Transitory"

Good times!
Posted by hogcard1964
Alabama
Member since Jan 2017
19801 posts
Posted on 5/15/26 at 10:12 am to
Would it shock you if he jacked up the rates just to screw Trump and the country?
Posted by Zgeo
Baja Oklahoma
Member since Jul 2021
3681 posts
Posted on 5/15/26 at 10:26 am to
Powell never understood math…..
Posted by loogaroo
Welsh
Member since Dec 2005
42279 posts
Posted on 5/15/26 at 10:29 am to
Finally!!
Posted by theballguy
HSV (Dealing only in satire)
Member since Oct 2011
37108 posts
Posted on 5/15/26 at 10:31 am to
quote:

Would it shock you if he jacked up the rates just to screw Trump and the country?



Would Trump have the fortitude to charge him with treason if that was to happen?
Posted by captainFid
Never apologize to barbarism
Member since Dec 2014
10543 posts
Posted on 5/15/26 at 10:32 am to
quote:


Remember when he told us the 9.1% 40 year high inflation rate in June of 2022 was "Transitory"

Good times!


Don't let the door hit you on your arse... Good times indeed and War Damn Eagle Senator Tuberville.
Posted by Big Scrub TX
Member since Dec 2013
39853 posts
Posted on 5/15/26 at 10:36 am to
quote:

Remember when he told us the 9.1% 40 year high inflation rate in June of 2022 was "Transitory"

I won't dispute that he was plenty political himself, but today's action in bonds should clearly show anyone who is paying attention that rate cuts right now DO NOT make sense.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
134877 posts
Posted on 5/15/26 at 10:38 am to
quote:

Remember when he told us the 9.1% 40 year high inflation rate in June of 2022 was "Transitory"
Thank goodness he was correct.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
97993 posts
Posted on 5/15/26 at 10:39 am to
LSURussian still denies Powell said inflation was transitory
Posted by imjustafatkid
Alabama
Member since Dec 2011
65777 posts
Posted on 5/15/26 at 10:40 am to
Posted by MikkUGA
Destin
Member since Jun 2014
2967 posts
Posted on 5/15/26 at 10:41 am to
Day trading futures is about to be amazing.
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
182272 posts
Posted on 5/15/26 at 10:49 am to
quote:

Thank goodness he was correct.


It was still over 5% 10 months after the June high and was over 5% for 24 months of his term. That’s not “transitory”, that’s persistent.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
134877 posts
Posted on 5/15/26 at 11:02 am to
quote:

he told us the 9.1% 40 year high inflation rate in June of 2022 was "Transitory"
Posted by mwade91383
Washington DC
Member since Mar 2010
7875 posts
Posted on 5/15/26 at 11:08 am to
I mean he's still 1 of the 12 votes needed to make changes to rates.

I don't think anyone is expecting anything dramatically different out of the fed than what we've always gotten more or less.
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
182272 posts
Posted on 5/15/26 at 11:09 am to
Yeah, that was hyperbole on my part

He actually said it on July 28, 2021 when rates hit 5.4%

Here are the inflation rates for the three years after that

August 2021 — 5.3%
September 2021 — 5.4%
October 2021 — 6.2%
November 2021 — 6.8%
December 2021 — 7.0%
January 2022 — 7.5%
February 2022 — 7.9%
March 2022 — 8.5%
April 2022 — 8.3%
May 2022 — 8.6%
June 2022 — 9.1%
July 2022 — 8.5%
August 2022 — 8.3%
September 2022 — 8.2%
October 2022 — 7.7%
November 2022 — 7.1%
December 2022 — 6.5%
January 2023 — 6.4%
February 2023 — 6.0%
March 2023 — 5.0%
April 2023 — 4.9%
May 2023 — 4.0%
June 2023 — 3.0%
July 2023 — 3.2%
August 2023 — 3.7%
September 2023 — 3.7%
October 2023 — 3.2%
November 2023 — 3.1%
December 2023 — 3.4%
January 2024 — 3.1%
February 2024 — 3.2%
March 2024 — 3.5%
April 2024 — 3.4%
May 2024 — 3.3%
June 2024 — 3.0%
July 2024 — 2.9%
August 2024 — 2.5%



3 years and 11 rate hikes to get under 3% but it was totally transitionary!
This post was edited on 5/15/26 at 11:10 am
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
134877 posts
Posted on 5/15/26 at 11:13 am to
quote:

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell first began describing the pandemic-era rise in inflation as "transitory" in early 2021.

He repeatedly used the term throughout that year, famously stating in August that the Fed expected the inflation effects to be temporary.

He officially retired the term in November 2021 during congressional testimony, acknowledging that price pressures had become too persistent.
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
182272 posts
Posted on 5/15/26 at 11:14 am to
So even he admitted he was wrong

Thanks for confirming it wasn't transitionary
Posted by CAD703X
Liberty Island
Member since Jul 2008
93279 posts
Posted on 5/15/26 at 11:27 am to
praise the lord
Posted by Mo Jeaux
Member since Aug 2008
63637 posts
Posted on 5/15/26 at 12:07 pm to
quote:

Would it shock you if he jacked up the rates just to screw Trump and the country?


What? Do you know how rate adjustments are effected?
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
134877 posts
Posted on 5/15/26 at 12:36 pm to
quote:

I won't dispute that he was plenty political himself, but today's action in bonds should clearly show anyone who is paying attention that rate cuts right now DO NOT make sense.
Treasury bills and bonds divorced themselves from the fed's lowered rates for a while now. T-bonds are at 5.4%

Even 30-year fixed rate mortgages are back up between 6.3% - 6.5%.
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