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re: This one has me worried:Cook Political Report editor: Time to 'sound the alarm' on Biden's
Posted on 10/28/20 at 8:20 am to conservativewifeymom
Posted on 10/28/20 at 8:20 am to conservativewifeymom
quote:
I'm worried
Been saying for weeks that we all should be.
Trump took on the media and lost.
1
Posted on 10/28/20 at 8:20 am to LSUMIKE70
quote:
How bout concern troll
Nah, she is not generally that either...
Posted on 10/28/20 at 8:21 am to lsutigers1992
quote:Explain to me why the polling group, which was stated by Real Clear Politics as one of the most accurate in 2016 and the most accurate multi-state polling group in 2018, is “shite arse”?
shite arse Trafalgar poll
Posted on 10/28/20 at 8:22 am to conservativewifeymom
Trafalgar was the only one who said Trump at 306 last time. They are saying he’s gonna win again.
Posted on 10/28/20 at 8:23 am to Scruffy
quote:
Explain to me why the polling group, which was stated by Real Clear Politics as one of the most accurate in 2016 and the most accurate multi-state polling group in 2018, is “ shite arse”?
You wont get one. Something is seriously wrong with that poster. Angry and weird
Posted on 10/28/20 at 8:24 am to LSUMIKE70
Moron response CHECK
The fact that I don't spend my whole life on this board is a checkpoint for you?!?! Make that super moron!
The fact that I don't spend my whole life on this board is a checkpoint for you?!?! Make that super moron!
Posted on 10/28/20 at 8:27 am to FlexDawg
quote:People give them shite for overshooting Cruz and Kemp numbers, but they are the only outfit that got FL right and got every other state they polled right in 2018.
Trafalgar was the only one who said Trump at 306 last time. They are saying he’s gonna win again.
They still got TX and GA right too.
Hell, 538 did not get FL right, yet he is the arbiter of all that is true in polling.
As SFP stated in a post yesterday, Silver knows that the polling he is getting is wrong and states that in his podcast, yet he still runs with it.
This post was edited on 10/28/20 at 8:28 am
Posted on 10/28/20 at 8:34 am to Scruffy
quote:
PA isn’t firmly Democrat on Predictit anymore.
I said AS firmly democrat. Meaning they are all tossups or all leans. There’s no distinction.
Read then pounce
Posted on 10/28/20 at 8:42 am to JJJimmyJimJames
AGAIN
I think you can see what the unnoticed Cook Political Report sees in their analysis. Personally, I do not agree with it.
Cook Pol Report EC Analysis
Their "TOSS UP STATES"
Florida (29)
Georgia (16)
Iowa (6)
Maine 2nd CD (1)
North Carolina (15)
Ohio (18)
Their "LEAN DEMOCRAT STATES"
Arizona (11)
Michigan (16)
Minnesota (10)
Nebraska 2nd CD (1)
Nevada (6)
New Hampshire (4)
Pennsylvania (20)
Wisconsin (10)
I think you can see what the unnoticed Cook Political Report sees in their analysis. Personally, I do not agree with it.
Cook Pol Report EC Analysis
Their "TOSS UP STATES"
Florida (29)
Georgia (16)
Iowa (6)
Maine 2nd CD (1)
North Carolina (15)
Ohio (18)
Their "LEAN DEMOCRAT STATES"
Arizona (11)
Michigan (16)
Minnesota (10)
Nebraska 2nd CD (1)
Nevada (6)
New Hampshire (4)
Pennsylvania (20)
Wisconsin (10)
Posted on 10/28/20 at 8:43 am to Klark Kent
Yeah, yeah ....and on election morning, the bunny rabbit in my front yard hopped to the right instead of the left ...I knew Trump was in.
We'll see how her children hop on Tuesday next week.
Poll Modeling, written by the same clowns that created climate modeling and Covid Modeling. Massive failures ...
We'll see how her children hop on Tuesday next week.
Poll Modeling, written by the same clowns that created climate modeling and Covid Modeling. Massive failures ...
Posted on 10/28/20 at 8:45 am to oogabooga68
I know
Posted on 10/28/20 at 8:45 am to conservativewifeymom
quote:He is and he's doing the same things media pollsters are doing. If you listen to the people's pundit which can be found live at 9am on YouTube you will hear him explain Wasserman's issues from time to time. And, no, he was not accurate in 2016. That is revisionism.
I'm worried because he's clearly not anti-Trump
Posted on 10/28/20 at 8:45 am to conservativewifeymom
We got your back and we understand the stress!
Posted on 10/28/20 at 8:52 am to conservativewifeymom
Polls only gain attention when they are cited as a source.
The poll only makes money if they are cited as a source. No money, the poll withers away to be replaced by another.
MSM selectively picks the polls that represent the numbers or results they want to feed the public.
Thus, MSM is basically funding the polls to get results they want to air.
Polls start narrowing as Election Day nears so they can attempt to save face and fall within their margin of error.
Polls = shite
However, this time around, watch and see if the Dems don’t try to use the polls as “evidence” should any part of the election results be contested.
The poll only makes money if they are cited as a source. No money, the poll withers away to be replaced by another.
MSM selectively picks the polls that represent the numbers or results they want to feed the public.
Thus, MSM is basically funding the polls to get results they want to air.
Polls start narrowing as Election Day nears so they can attempt to save face and fall within their margin of error.
Polls = shite
However, this time around, watch and see if the Dems don’t try to use the polls as “evidence” should any part of the election results be contested.
Posted on 10/28/20 at 8:53 am to conservativewifeymom
quote:
First, Biden's lead is larger and much more stable than Clinton's was at this point
Posted on 10/28/20 at 8:54 am to LuckyTiger
quote:
It’s a tough race.
And it’s going to be close.
Trump can obviously win but the people who think it’s gonna be a massive landslide crack me up.
Posted on 10/28/20 at 8:57 am to conservativewifeymom
quote:
"First, Biden's lead is larger and much more stable than Clinton's was at this point.
Stable fake polls are still fake.
Posted on 10/28/20 at 9:00 am to ROPO
quote:
Trump took on the media and lost.
Bullzhit, Cuck....
The Media started the fight, Trump has been counter-punching.
Puzzie like you would rather see a Romney-type rollover.
Posted on 10/28/20 at 9:00 am to conservativewifeymom
"lead is larger"
That's the problem, its not like you really have people undecided... the polls are undecided... people really aren't.
So... for this to happen...
1. Trump would have to lose voters vs. 2016
or
2. Zombie Joe would have to gain voters vs. 2016
or
3. combination of 1 and 2
Trump isn't going to lose voters from 2016, so that leaves number 2. And where does Joe get the votes when he is running a racist campaign against whites and seems to support radicals? I'm just not see where the votes come from. The democrats are the ones excluding people from their base.
Where do the votes come from?
That's the problem, its not like you really have people undecided... the polls are undecided... people really aren't.
So... for this to happen...
1. Trump would have to lose voters vs. 2016
or
2. Zombie Joe would have to gain voters vs. 2016
or
3. combination of 1 and 2
Trump isn't going to lose voters from 2016, so that leaves number 2. And where does Joe get the votes when he is running a racist campaign against whites and seems to support radicals? I'm just not see where the votes come from. The democrats are the ones excluding people from their base.
Where do the votes come from?
This post was edited on 10/28/20 at 9:02 am
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