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Message

re: The Economic Breakdown of Rural vs Urban America

Posted on 10/30/18 at 10:49 am to
Posted by ShortyRob
Member since Oct 2008
82116 posts
Posted on 10/30/18 at 10:49 am to
quote:

This is gonna change big time in the next 20 years. Rural America is about to fricking explode. With the rate of technological change You’re going to see a lot more work from home jobs and an exodus from cities as people rediscover nature.


Hell. They're just going to rediscover that they can telework to their nice paying jobs while not putting up with any of the negative social pathologies of the urban areas and not having to bankrupt themselves to buy a 1200 sf home.
Posted by Nguyener
Kame House
Member since Mar 2013
21057 posts
Posted on 10/30/18 at 10:50 am to
quote:

So much for the "objective" political talk.



Objectively: We live in a representational dual federalist Republic made up of states and a federal government. We do not live in a democracy and we do not have majority population rule in federal government. Deal with it. Our system of government is not set up to be dependent on population density of a given area. It is set up to balance power and decision making across a range of factors throughout the United States.

Further: while robots are taking unskilled low level manufacturing jobs, there are plenty of labor jobs that can be had in infrastructure as well as the management, maintenence, etc... Of the robots in those factories.

Further, even if a robot does most of the work the people that own, operate, and are employed by those factories need representation and protection against the vast consumers.

To use an analogy: if a city is made up of 2 plots of land, one farm and one hotel/business center, and the farm which feeds and nurishes the entire population has 1 owner and 5 workers and the business center (which consumes and sells the goods produced by the farm) has 1500 people in it, then what is a better system of government? Popular vote, or a representative system whereby the needs of the farm and the needs of the business center are equal despite unequal population numbers?

Further, as technology increases, so too will the ability to telecommute and work from home and we are already seeing a shift back to rural living in some sectors where you don't need to go to an office everyday.

quote:

This is not an American problem. 

This is not even a “City folks” problem. 

This is a capitalistic problem. 


Capitalism is not a problem. Please explain what system you think is better and why?
This post was edited on 10/30/18 at 10:58 am
Posted by crazy4lsu
Member since May 2005
39298 posts
Posted on 10/30/18 at 10:50 am to
quote:

The birth rate may well improve...........but it wasn't going to just snap back.



There is a lot of misinformation about China's one-child policy. Regardless, China's TFR was declining before the one-child policy, and more than likely would have continued to decline without it, following the pattern we've seen in literally everywhere else in the world that has had some level of capital development. China's TFR before the one child policy was just at replacement, and had decline from a high of 6.5 births per woman in the 1960's to a rate of 2 births per woman by the time the one-child policy was instituted.

The real social impact of the one-child policy was the preference for boys over girls, which means that China has a lot of marriageable men without options, who often seek out partners in Southeast Asian countries or in countries with large Chinese diasporas.
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
298305 posts
Posted on 10/30/18 at 10:50 am to
quote:

That's one of the reasons red states are less wealthy, because a large amount of their workforce leaves.



If you look at patterns this isn't really true. Hell, Texas is growing like crazy

Again, automation and remote working ability will change "rural" American wealth but I'm not really sure that's a good thing.

People residing in regal areas do so for reasons usually unrelated to conspicuous consumption and ever increasing wealth. They may live on a reservation, live on natural subsistence, love the low cost of living, etc
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
298305 posts
Posted on 10/30/18 at 10:53 am to
quote:

Hell. They're just going to rediscover that they can telework to their nice paying jobs while not putting up with any of the negative social pathologies of the urban areas and not having to bankrupt themselves to buy a 1200 sf home.


Absolutely. I believe this is the near future
Posted by beerJeep
Louisiana
Member since Nov 2016
37832 posts
Posted on 10/30/18 at 10:55 am to
Now’s the time to buy land in rural areas if you have the money

Well... to be fair, as my grandpa always says... it’s always a good time to buy land since there’s a finite amount
This post was edited on 10/30/18 at 10:57 am
Posted by ShortyRob
Member since Oct 2008
82116 posts
Posted on 10/30/18 at 10:56 am to
quote:

How’s the time to buy land in rural areas if you have the money

Probably so.

Although, the "time" was probably about 10 years ago.

I can tell you that where I live........if you'd done that.......you'd be fricking filthy rich right now.
Posted by Gaspergou202
Metairie, LA
Member since Jun 2016
14301 posts
Posted on 10/30/18 at 10:59 am to
You earn more per hour in urban areas but the costs of living is higher.

But economics is just part of the quality of life. There is closeness to nature, cultural amenities, crime, etc.. Hard to put numbers on some of these, but from victimsofcrime.org:
Violent crime rates per 100,000
Metropolitan areas, 409.4
Cities outside metropolitan areas, 380.4
Non-metropolitan counties, 117.0

Property crime rates per 100,000
Metropolitan areas, 2949.8
Cities outside metropolitan areas, 3534.9
Non-metropolitan counties, 1539.3
Posted by volod
Leesville, LA
Member since Jun 2014
5392 posts
Posted on 10/30/18 at 11:02 am to
quote:

more of an issue with our economic system which favors the wealthy and urban mainly because of Keynesian economics. Our system isn't truly capitalistic





We agree on this. Maybe I have misinterpreted your answers, but I always assume you and ShortyRob are thought rural areas are better than Urban areas. Economically that isnt the case. Not preferring a certain lifestyle, that's open to interpretation.
Posted by Nguyener
Kame House
Member since Mar 2013
21057 posts
Posted on 10/30/18 at 11:05 am to
quote:

volod


You are just an amazing product of public education and historically black universities.
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
298305 posts
Posted on 10/30/18 at 11:07 am to
quote:

We agree on this. Maybe I have misinterpreted your answers, but I always assume you and ShortyRob are thought rural areas are better than Urban areas. Economically that isnt the case. Not preferring a certain lifestyle, that's open to interpretation.


Well, not everyone is chasing after the dollar and think bigger, more, and newer are better. I'm one of those and know many more, and their personal peace and natural surroundings are more important than wealth.

I think it's terribly problematic to think the wealthiest areas are the best areas. They certainly are not for everyone.

As urbanization has grown. So have a myriad of disorders that go with the lifestyle.
Posted by volod
Leesville, LA
Member since Jun 2014
5392 posts
Posted on 10/30/18 at 11:08 am to
quote:

you look at patterns this isn't really true. Hell, Texas is growing like crazy 



I don't know if Texas is the greatest exception to the rule or not.

When you look at most traditional Southern state economies, the only ones that are doing poorly are LA and MS.

Texas by far is doing the best, better than Cali if COL is your biggest concern. So its important to specify which southern state were referring to.
Posted by ShortyRob
Member since Oct 2008
82116 posts
Posted on 10/30/18 at 11:11 am to
quote:

Maybe I have misinterpreted your answers, but I always assume you and ShortyRob are thought rural areas are better than Urban areas.
I prefer them but I wouldn't assess some quality metric. There are some sorry assed Rural areas.

But, I submit that there are many rural or simply smaller cities where you can live FAR better. If I chose to for example, I could easily raise my salary by 50% or more if I moved to DC but, I'd rather drag my eyeballs out of their sockets AND..........while my salary would be higher, my standard of living would NOT be.

quote:

Economically that isnt the case.
You really can't say this at all. Economically, you flat out can live a LOT better in a rural area. It's not even close.

No one lives in ALL rural areas, so comparing the average rural area to the average urban area is irrelevant.

Choose one of the solid less populated areas and you'll multiply your standard of living easily.
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
298305 posts
Posted on 10/30/18 at 11:11 am to
quote:

When you look at most traditional Southern state economies,


Well that's not exactly a great place to start.

Here's your more rural states, and the South isn't tops



Posted by Nguyener
Kame House
Member since Mar 2013
21057 posts
Posted on 10/30/18 at 11:11 am to
quote:

When you look at most traditional Southern state economies, the only ones that are doing poorly are LA and MS.



Thanks to an uneducated populace who keeps electing corrupt Democrat pieces of shite.
Posted by boogiewoogie1978
Little Rock
Member since Aug 2012
19476 posts
Posted on 10/30/18 at 11:14 am to
quote:

I think it’s safe to assume that most of Trump’s voters are coming from the American countryside.


Rural voters actually believe Trump will bring their jobs back but it won't happen. Most of these jobs (in the south anyway) are farm related. The need for farm related workers have declined for years due to technology and with it farm towns are dying. If you want a job you will have to move bigger towns/cities where employment is more abundant.

Rural Republican voters will keep voting Republican because they don't want the decline to continue but in reality it can't be stopped.
Posted by volod
Leesville, LA
Member since Jun 2014
5392 posts
Posted on 10/30/18 at 11:19 am to

Well I work for a pretty good company after gaining some experience, so yeah.

And I graduated from a regular public university as well.

Or you are referring to my post being the counter to "modern" right wing ideology. That's my choice. My favorite Republicans are Eisenhower, the Paul Family, and Ben Shapiro.
Posted by SidewalkDawg
Chair
Member since Nov 2012
10202 posts
Posted on 10/30/18 at 11:20 am to
quote:

Rural voters


Are living where they are because they like being Rural. I live in Rural Georgia and trust me, most people I interface with aren't in farming.

Lots of Construction, Service, Manufacturing and small business. Farming isn't the end all in Rural America.

I enjoy peace and quiet, nature, and the night sky. I will commute up to 1 hour to a Urban setting to be employed.
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
298305 posts
Posted on 10/30/18 at 11:22 am to
Well lefties like to pretend the divide is urban/rural but that's not the case. It just gives them someone to be angry with

LINK

Basically even in more rural states, urban and rural voting patterns vary wildly

Choosing urban and rural states is a simple method of picking a villain

quote:

For now, please repeat after me: What divides Americans most of all isn’t the population densities of the places they live, but the centuries-old regional cultures to which they belong.
This post was edited on 10/30/18 at 11:26 am
Posted by beerJeep
Louisiana
Member since Nov 2016
37832 posts
Posted on 10/30/18 at 11:22 am to
quote:

If you want a job you will have to move bigger towns/cities where employment is more abundant.


As stated before, technology is turning this right on its head.

quote:

Rural Republican voters will keep voting Republican because they don't want the decline to continue but in reality it can't be stopped.


Sigh. Your ignorance is noted
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