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re: Talarico now up to 62% odds in Polymarket

Posted on 10/3/26 at 9:55 am to
Posted by aTmTexas Dillo
East Texas Lake
Member since Sep 2018
25328 posts
Posted on 10/3/26 at 9:55 am to
How many of you guys live in Texas where you can do something about it?
Posted by tarzana
TX Hwy 6-- the Brazos River Valley
Member since Sep 2015
33503 posts
Posted on 10/3/26 at 10:05 am to
Kalshi Markets just changed their projection this morning from Toss-Up to now Lean Talarico.

Two things about this race have showed up saliently in recent weeks:

• All these attempts at depicting Talarico as a "freak" or abnormal person have backfired, resulting in more adamant support from Democrats, independents, and even some republicans;

• The much-ballyhooed "Trump Bounce" forecast from the GOP Convention last month in DFW has become instead the "Trump Repellent." The president is in bad odor nationwide, and his favorability rating in Texas is now waaay underwater, thanks to the war.
Posted by davyjones
NELA
Member since Feb 2019
38185 posts
Posted on 10/3/26 at 10:14 am to
As usual, incorrect down to the last syllable. Impressive, in a way.
Posted by OWLFAN86
Arrogant Dickweed
Member since Jun 2004
199740 posts
Posted on 10/3/26 at 10:15 am to
No the bullet points he gave are actually right on target
Posted by bopper50
Sugarland Texas
Member since Mar 2009
10403 posts
Posted on 10/3/26 at 10:18 am to
You can't fix stupid.

The dumb arse that votes for that idiot will suffer the most.
Posted by davyjones
NELA
Member since Feb 2019
38185 posts
Posted on 10/3/26 at 10:19 am to
Oh, may I ask exactly WHO certified them as “right on target?” Sometimes that makes a difference, believe it or not.
Posted by Rip Torner
Member since Jul 2023
4012 posts
Posted on 10/3/26 at 10:20 am to
It’s entertaining watching a state tear itself apart over a fake preacher attempting to appeal to moderates and watching those same moderates talk themselves into believing he will actually be one in Washington. “If we vote for Talerico it will show the establishment that they will nominate better candidates in the future!” Lol this should be good
Posted by Cobbvol
Member since Jun 2020
279 posts
Posted on 10/3/26 at 10:23 am to
Hopefully the GOP focuses their message more on he being a candidate that is affiliated with a group that wants to abolish the electoral college, the Senate, and replace the Presidents and Supreme Court justices with appointments from Congress. He and other like him should be voted AGAINST in any and every way possible.
Posted by BeeFense5
Kenner
Member since Jul 2010
43202 posts
Posted on 10/3/26 at 10:25 am to
quote:

Oh, may I ask exactly WHO certified them as “right on target?” Sometimes that makes a difference, believe it or not.


Definitely makes a difference. Like you giving any predictions.
I’ve never seen someone with their head this far buried in the sand than you to think Trump isn’t toxic and the reason for the struggling of these candidates.
Posted by OWLFAN86
Arrogant Dickweed
Member since Jun 2004
199740 posts
Posted on 10/3/26 at 10:28 am to
Well I was the one that posted it, and it was my opinion.
So I imagine a person with average intelligence can figure out that I was saying his points were right on target.

Of course you don't think I know what I'm talking about so I realize my confirming his opinion won't impress you,



and I can live with that.


Again this is the conversation about the betting markets and the possibilities and likelihood of these things happening

it's not what I want to happen


For some reason you still failed to grasp that simple fact

This post was edited on 10/3/26 at 10:30 am
Posted by TS1926
Alabama
Member since Jan 2020
8231 posts
Posted on 10/3/26 at 10:34 am to
quote:

Looks like this will be yet another self-own by Trump and the dumbass GOP base. It is truly a remarkable feat to lose to a dipshit who said publicly there are six biological sexes and prohibited meat consumption on his campaign due to climate change. The fact that this is even a competitive race is hilarious.


If accurate polling, which I highly doubt, it says more about the true fricking brainless idiots voting FOR Talarico.
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
64390 posts
Posted on 10/3/26 at 10:38 am to
quote:

Not on board with replacing him with more corruption.
I understand your point as well. I’m all for ousting Paxton in 6 years. We should alway look to oust incumbents.
Posted by davyjones
NELA
Member since Feb 2019
38185 posts
Posted on 10/3/26 at 10:39 am to
What actually burns my biscuits more than anything else is something you demonstrated right out of the gate. You mention me giving predictions, yet immediately thereafter berate any predictions from me as being wrong because my head is in the sand. First of all, is it literally possible to say a prediction is pitifully wrong before the event subject of predictions even happens?

Which also somewhat leads us to the topic of opinions and opinion sharing. Does everyone actually understand what an opinion is? I’d say that it’s perfectly fine to have differing meanings and definitions of the concept of opinion and opinion sharing, and still have a successful debate, as long as everyone can manage to wrap their minds around the one key aspect that MUST be in every single person’s own definition for it to work properly……


…….and that common component is the acknowledgment that when it comes to opinion: it’s not possible for one person to berate another on the basis of being wrong. THERE ARE NO WRONG OPINIONS! That’s the whole point!!
Posted by OWLFAN86
Arrogant Dickweed
Member since Jun 2004
199740 posts
Posted on 10/3/26 at 10:40 am to
Ironic
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
64390 posts
Posted on 10/3/26 at 10:41 am to
quote:

(I didn’t take it personal) I was pointing out to the Cornyn homers their hypocrisy.


quote:

So who is the bigger POS?
The answer is “Yes”. One should expect all politicians to be dirt bags. That’s why they should have very little power.
Posted by Warrior Court
Atlanta
Member since Apr 2022
4212 posts
Posted on 10/3/26 at 10:42 am to
quote:

Most "normal" people as you would call them consider people like you to be actual lunatics.


Hardcore MAGA on this board have no idea how they’re really viewed by most Americans.
Posted by davyjones
NELA
Member since Feb 2019
38185 posts
Posted on 10/3/26 at 10:42 am to
If you don’t acknowledge that opinions, including your own, can be neither right nor wrong, certainly not “officially.” Anyone among us who cannot or will not acknowledge that up front, at least in my case that person would lack minimal qualifications to engage.
Posted by hogcard1964
Alabama
Member since Jan 2017
22728 posts
Posted on 10/3/26 at 10:43 am to
It sounds like someone is claiming that 62% of Texas are complete morons.
Posted by OWLFAN86
Arrogant Dickweed
Member since Jun 2004
199740 posts
Posted on 10/3/26 at 10:45 am to
For months and months I been saying that my prediction that low T would win was only that a prediction
But that has not stopped you or any others accusing me of wanting it to happen or accusing it of being a desire not just an opinion

based upon my knowledge so yes it's an opinion but it's an educated opinion
Like whether a wart needs to come off if you were to ask just people on the street they would have opinions but before you go get the surgery you probably should go see a doctor

But here's a question for you and it's not asking for an opinion it's asking for an explanation why did you throw the term" officially" in quotes into your statement to me

where have I said anything,or has anyone else said their or my opinion or thoughts are somehow "official"
This post was edited on 10/3/26 at 10:50 am
Posted by OWLFAN86
Arrogant Dickweed
Member since Jun 2004
199740 posts
Posted on 10/3/26 at 10:46 am to
It's not the Talerico will win with 62% of the vote it's that he has 62% likelihood of winning
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