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Started By
Message
Swing States: Prediction Thread
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:35 am
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:35 am
538's "Snake Chart" has these states as the closest in the polls. I'm not asking for your opinion on 538, but just for this exercise, make your prediction on who gets what.
Texas
Iowa
Ohio
Georgia
North Carolina
Florida
Arizona
Pennsylvania
Nevada
Minnesota
Wisconsin
Michigan
Texas
Iowa
Ohio
Georgia
North Carolina
Florida
Arizona
Pennsylvania
Nevada
Minnesota
Wisconsin
Michigan
19
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:36 am to Goombaw
Why is Texas on the list
This post was edited on 10/30/20 at 8:37 am
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:37 am to Goombaw
quote:
Texas - Not a swing state; Trump
Iowa - Not a swing state; Trump
Ohio - Not a swing state; Trump
Georgia - Not a swing state; Trump
North Carolina - Trump
Florida - Trump
Arizona - Trump
Pennsylvania - Trump
Nevada - Trump
Minnesota - Biden
Wisconsin - Trump
Michigan - Trump
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:37 am to Goombaw
Trump takes at least 10/12 with Minnesota and Nevada the 2. I think 12/12
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:38 am to Goombaw
Trump
Texas
Iowa
Ohio
Georgia
North Carolina
Florida
Arizona(not overly confident)
Pennsylvania(not overly confident)
Wisconsin
Biden
Nevada
Minnesota
Michigan(not overly confident)
Texas
Iowa
Ohio
Georgia
North Carolina
Florida
Arizona(not overly confident)
Pennsylvania(not overly confident)
Wisconsin
Biden
Nevada
Minnesota
Michigan(not overly confident)
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:38 am to Goombaw
Texas R
Iowa R
Ohio R
Georgia R
North Carolina R
Florida R
Arizona D
Pennsylvania D
Nevada D
Minnesota D
Wisconsin D
Michigan D
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:38 am to Goombaw
Texas 
Florida ain't gonna be close either.
Florida ain't gonna be close either.
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:39 am to DeltaDoc
Have any of you been to AZ lately
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:39 am to DeltaDoc
quote:
Arizona D
Explain to me why Biden will be the first democratic nominee to receive over 45% of the vote in Arizona for a presidential election since 1996, let alone win.
Trump will win Arizona by 3-4 points.
This post was edited on 10/30/20 at 8:51 am
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:40 am to Goombaw
quote:
Texas- Trump (by 5-6%)
Iowa - Trump (by 5-6%)
Ohio - Trump (by 7-8%)
Georgia- Trump (by 2-3%)
North Carolina - Trump (by 2-3%)
Florida - Trump (by 2-3%)
Arizona - Trump (by <1%)
Pennsylvania- Trump (by <1%)
Nevada - Biden (by 1-2%)
Minnesota- Biden (by 1-2%)
Wisconsin- Biden (by <1%)
Michigan- Trump (by <1%)
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:40 am to DeltaDoc
quote:
Arizona D
Pennsylvania D
Nevada D
Minnesota D
Wisconsin D
Michigan D
You are an idiot
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:42 am to Goombaw
Texas -R
Iowa -R
Ohio -R
Georgia -R
North Carolina -R
Florida -R
Arizona -R
Pennsylvania -R
Nevada -L
Minnesota -R
Wisconsin -R
Michigan -R
Iowa -R
Ohio -R
Georgia -R
North Carolina -R
Florida -R
Arizona -R
Pennsylvania -R
Nevada -L
Minnesota -R
Wisconsin -R
Michigan -R
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:43 am to Goombaw
quote:
Texas
Iowa
Ohio
Georgia
North Carolina
Florida
Arizona
Pennsylvania
Nevada
Minnesota
Wisconsin
Michigan
I think the bolded will be red on Election Day. I may be a tad biased at this point, but everything I see in the early voting data points to this. I could be missing things though.
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:44 am to Goombaw
Texas - G
Iowa - G
Ohio - G
Georgia - G
North Carolina - G
Florida - G
Arizona - G
Pennsylvania - G
Nevada - G
Minnesota - E
Wisconsin - G
Michigan - G
New Hampshire - G
G = Good
E = Evil
Iowa - G
Ohio - G
Georgia - G
North Carolina - G
Florida - G
Arizona - G
Pennsylvania - G
Nevada - G
Minnesota - E
Wisconsin - G
Michigan - G
New Hampshire - G
G = Good
E = Evil
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:45 am to Goombaw
I’ll play, even though slot of these states aren’t in question.
Texas - RED this is dumb
Iowa - Red dumb
Ohio Red dumb
Georgia Red dumb
North Carolina Red
Florida Red
Arizona Red
Pennsylvania Red
Nevada Blue
Minnesota Blue
Wisconsin Blue
Michigan Red
Ball game good night
Texas - RED this is dumb
Iowa - Red dumb
Ohio Red dumb
Georgia Red dumb
North Carolina Red
Florida Red
Arizona Red
Pennsylvania Red
Nevada Blue
Minnesota Blue
Wisconsin Blue
Michigan Red
Ball game good night
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:46 am to Goombaw
quote:
Texas
quote:
Iowa
Ohio
Georgia
North Carolina
Florida
Arizona
Pennsylvania
Nevada
Minnesota
Wisconsin
Michigan
Trump.
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:46 am to Goombaw
Trump gets all except Pennsylvania and Minnesota and that’s only because the Dems will steal those states with voter fraud and ballot harvesting
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:49 am to Goombaw
The only one of those states I think Biden wins for sure is MN.
Trump for sure wins OH, AZ, TX, Iowa, GA, and NC.
Trump for sure wins OH, AZ, TX, Iowa, GA, and NC.
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:56 am to Eat Your Crow
quote:
quote:
Texas - Not a swing state; Trump- CHECK
Iowa - Not a swing state; Trump- CHECK
Ohio - Not a swing state; Trump- CHECK
Georgia - Not a swing state; Trump- CHECK
North Carolina - Trump- Check
Florida - Trump- CHECK
Arizona - Trump- Check
Pennsylvania - Trump- check
Nevada - Trump- check
Minnesota - Biden X WRONG
Wisconsin - Trump- check
Michigan - Trump- ~ I'd put your Biden here, for whatever reason
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:59 am to Goombaw
JB wins Michigan and Minnesota
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