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re: Study: Temp adjustments account for ‘Nearly all of Warming’ In climate data

Posted on 7/6/17 at 12:08 pm to
Posted by i am dan
NC
Member since Aug 2011
31632 posts
Posted on 7/6/17 at 12:08 pm to
I've read that the oceans are absorbing much of the rising warmth rather than the atmosphere. When the ocean's temp rise becomes "saturated", then we'll start to see more effects.

Is any of that true or not? I don't know.

I do believe we should be somewhat vigilant in protecting our planet, and it pisses me off that this has become so politicized by the left. Partisan bickering and falsehoods has really fricked us in putting together an action plan. All we will do now is argue over this.
Posted by Iosh
Bureau of Interstellar Immigration
Member since Dec 2012
18941 posts
Posted on 7/6/17 at 12:09 pm to
quote:

I rarely follow this climate debate, so I don't have much to add. I am, however, curious as to why the chart you posted stopped in 2010. It seems that each line got to 2005, then began to trend downward over the next five years.
The graph I posted goes through 2013 (since that's when it was made). 1955-2010 refers to the baseline period. Global temperature changes are usually graphed as anomaly-from-baseline since it's the most logical way to compare data that includes both the Arctic and the Gulf.

If I made the same graph today it would look substantially identical and still prove my point, since the new adjustments to HadSST / ERSST are very minor compared to the major pre-1940s adjustments.
Posted by i am dan
NC
Member since Aug 2011
31632 posts
Posted on 7/6/17 at 12:11 pm to
quote:

And I suppose we're just going to pretend that they haven't REPEATEDLY had to change their models in reaction to actual data that didn't conform to prior model predictions. Yeah. We'll just pretend that too.


I haven't read the report yet, but didn't the models fail because of the x3 multiplier or something? The x3 multiplier didn't pan out because, as in my above post, the oceans absorbed more heat than previously predicted.

I know enough to be stupid on the subject.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
128773 posts
Posted on 7/6/17 at 12:11 pm to
quote:

Maslowski's predictions were not well-regarded among most scientists at the time


You're cute when you play scientist.
Posted by Iosh
Bureau of Interstellar Immigration
Member since Dec 2012
18941 posts
Posted on 7/6/17 at 12:13 pm to
quote:

You're cute when you play scientist.
Thank you for doing your part to maintain the infinite ratio of vague snark to actual disproof.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
128773 posts
Posted on 7/6/17 at 12:15 pm to
I'm frankly out of my depth on this topic and I know it. It's a boundary you might want to learn. Free advice. Worth what you pay for it.
Posted by Snipe
Member since Nov 2015
16662 posts
Posted on 7/6/17 at 12:15 pm to
quote:

It's a complete fraud.


Correct, however it no longer matters. the cat is out of the bag and liberals have adopted the bullshite. They will never walk it back they will just create more crap to prop up their straw-man argument.

This is a much bigger scale of the Rolling Stone UVA-Rape story.

Once it was proven false they launched into the "Just because it wasn't true doesn't mean it can't happen and Colleges have a rape culture." BS.

Trust me these loons double down on stupid when proven wrong.
Posted by ccomeaux
LA
Member since Jan 2010
8184 posts
Posted on 7/6/17 at 12:19 pm to
Global Warming was contrived to create a market for the selling, buying and trading of Carbon Credits. (Catholic playbook - selling of Indulgences)
The Carbon Credit market failed soon after being launched and the new data indicated a cooling trend leading to Global Warming becoming Climate Change. Baseless, Climate Change has to morph into a political battle to stay alive. It's now on it's death bed and will be gone within a decade.

Does the planet cool and warm ? Yes, of course it does. Just like the sun, hmmm. Is 200 or so years an adequate data sample to gauge the long term trends of a planet millions/billions of years old ?
Uh, no.



Posted by DarthRebel
Tier Five is Alive
Member since Feb 2013
25793 posts
Posted on 7/6/17 at 12:20 pm to
Is this the thread where losh tries to sound smart using talking points he read somewhere else?

I always love a good crash and burn
Posted by Jyrdis
TD Premium Member Level III
Member since Aug 2015
13509 posts
Posted on 7/6/17 at 12:21 pm to
quote:

1955-2010 refers to the baseline period


But why set the base period for so long, when the least amount of variation appears to be between 1955-1980? Are they trying to get a period that is closest to 0?

I'm just curious why you posted this graph that only dates back to the 1870s (I'm assume they didn't have accurate measures before then), and why the reference points are set where they are, as opposed to beginning in 1870.
Posted by Iosh
Bureau of Interstellar Immigration
Member since Dec 2012
18941 posts
Posted on 7/6/17 at 12:25 pm to
For the purposes of graphing differences in temperature the choice of baseline is mostly arbitrary, the important thing is that you keep it constant between both datasets. (There's a lot of bad skeptic memes out there where someone copied and pasted lines from different graphs using different baselines.) You'd see the same pre-WW2 divergence even if the baseline was 1870-1920 or something, everything would just be shifted upward from zero on the Y-axis.
This post was edited on 7/6/17 at 12:28 pm
Posted by DawgCountry
Great State of GA
Member since Sep 2012
33304 posts
Posted on 7/6/17 at 12:28 pm to
quote:

But there is a guy in Fairbanks, Alaska that works on ice cores that says it's all true.


How dare you question him. He knows everything. Olddog told me so
Posted by Tiguar
Montana
Member since Mar 2012
33131 posts
Posted on 7/6/17 at 12:28 pm to
quote:

talking points he read somewhere else? 


What does this even mean? Don't we all do this?
Posted by Eric Nies Grind Time
Member since Sep 2012
25506 posts
Posted on 7/6/17 at 12:29 pm to
quote:

Is this the thread where losh tries to sound smart using talking points he read somewhere else?


So are you also insulting the OP?
Posted by i am dan
NC
Member since Aug 2011
31632 posts
Posted on 7/6/17 at 12:30 pm to
My biggest issue with this whole debate is that science was politicized.

Science should be facts and real, honest data. It should be immune to politics. Don't get me wrong, if the data suggests a climate change and it was caused by humans, then I'd fully expect the plan of attack to fix it to be highly politicized and controversial. But not the study itself. Disheartening and very dangerous.
Posted by narddogg81
Vancouver
Member since Jan 2012
22091 posts
Posted on 7/6/17 at 12:31 pm to
quote:

I believe the biggest step forward is simply carbon sequestration. Why Leo DiCaprio and all his cronies aren't building carbon sequestration facilities is beyond me. It's not about fixing the issue, it's about punishing the other side.
I think the solution is to refocus environmentalism back onto things that are not made up, like rainforest destruction, toxic pollution. The worst part about this manufactured fraud is that it is pretty much the sole focus
Posted by Jyrdis
TD Premium Member Level III
Member since Aug 2015
13509 posts
Posted on 7/6/17 at 12:32 pm to
Ok. Fair enough. I'd have to look more into it before I made a firm opinion one way or the other.

Obligatory...losh is a stupid climate change doodiehead.
Posted by Iosh
Bureau of Interstellar Immigration
Member since Dec 2012
18941 posts
Posted on 7/6/17 at 12:33 pm to
quote:

What does this even mean? Don't we all do this?

Nah, everyone in this thread except me is a qualified climate scientist conducting original research. I'm the only schmuck who has to "read" this stuff in "papers" and "books."
Posted by texag7
College Station
Member since Apr 2014
41293 posts
Posted on 7/6/17 at 12:34 pm to
quote:

Why Leo DiCaprio and all his cronies aren't building carbon sequestration facilities is beyond me.



Probably because they are busy putting out more CO2 yearly than this entire site combined
Posted by Dale51
Member since Oct 2016
32378 posts
Posted on 7/6/17 at 12:37 pm to
quote:

"Negative consequences" is a substantial goalpost move from "doom and gloom."

Another dodge...semantics.

Lets stick with my original "Doom and gloom". Are you claiming there were none made? If the predictions were not "dire"...why worry about it?

Anain...what is it you're afraid of? What do you imagine will happen if nothing changes? Paint a picture of what life may be like.
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