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Started By
Message
So Can We Stop Talking Like Repubs Will Lose The House In November?
Posted on 5/5/26 at 10:01 am
Posted on 5/5/26 at 10:01 am
Court agrees to immediately finalize Voting Rights Act decision
Court agrees to immediately finalize Voting Rights Act decision
Where is SFP to tell us why the USSC is wrong?
Court agrees to immediately finalize Voting Rights Act decision
Where is SFP to tell us why the USSC is wrong?
6
Posted on 5/5/26 at 10:11 am to John somers
I'd be shocked if they don't lose the house
Posted on 5/5/26 at 10:25 am to John somers
Betcha Alabama caves to Terri Sewell and leaves her hand picked district alone.
Posted on 5/5/26 at 10:36 am to John somers
Does anyone have a current count of the redistricting thats happened since 2024?
I mean it feels like any conversation about what will or wont happen in the house in 2026 has to be put in context of what the baseline shift has been by state since the last election happened.
I did a search and this is what I have:
Current GOP +3
Passed Changes:
Texas: +5 Republican
California: +5 D
Missouri: +1 R
North Carolina: +1 R
Utah: +1 D
Ohio: +2 R
Virginia: +4 D
NET: +1D
States with attempted but blocked or pending changes:
Alabama: +1R
Florida: +4 R
Georgia: +R?
Louisiana: +1R?
Alabama: +1R?
So if thats right the current baseline is GOP would have a two seat margin if nothing else changed but there are 8-10 GOP seats that could be added if court challenges are overcome before the elections?
I mean it feels like any conversation about what will or wont happen in the house in 2026 has to be put in context of what the baseline shift has been by state since the last election happened.
I did a search and this is what I have:
Current GOP +3
Passed Changes:
Texas: +5 Republican
California: +5 D
Missouri: +1 R
North Carolina: +1 R
Utah: +1 D
Ohio: +2 R
Virginia: +4 D
NET: +1D
States with attempted but blocked or pending changes:
Alabama: +1R
Florida: +4 R
Georgia: +R?
Louisiana: +1R?
Alabama: +1R?
So if thats right the current baseline is GOP would have a two seat margin if nothing else changed but there are 8-10 GOP seats that could be added if court challenges are overcome before the elections?
Posted on 5/5/26 at 10:55 am to tide06
Shouldnt be ANY successful court challenges. Correct me if I am wrong but this set of elections coming up are party primaries first The Democrats hand picked their Presidential candidate in 2020 without a single vote being cast for her in the primaries.
Back in 1986 here in Alabama we had a Gubernatorial Primary and the Party didnt like the winner so they went to court and got the whole thing overturned, the judge used a poll to pick the winner and said the party can pick who they want.
Indeed the party if they so choose can name whoever they want. So pound sand "Justice" Jackson
Back in 1986 here in Alabama we had a Gubernatorial Primary and the Party didnt like the winner so they went to court and got the whole thing overturned, the judge used a poll to pick the winner and said the party can pick who they want.
Indeed the party if they so choose can name whoever they want. So pound sand "Justice" Jackson
Posted on 5/5/26 at 11:05 am to Powerman
quote:
I'd be shocked if they don't lose the house
Well, you're retarded, so I would expect you would.
quote:
I did a search and this is what I have:
Your results are whack. There are going to be an extra 15 to 20 GOP seats added for 2026.
This post was edited on 5/5/26 at 11:08 am
Posted on 5/5/26 at 11:09 am to Deek
quote:
Betcha Alabama caves to Terri Sewell and leaves her hand picked district alone.
They literally drew a dick to catch all the African Americans on west side of Bham
Posted on 5/5/26 at 11:31 am to SingleMalt1973
The Dems will ratchet up the cheat machine, particularly if they lose seats.
They aren’t going to go quietly.
They aren’t going to go quietly.
Posted on 5/5/26 at 12:05 pm to riverdiver
Good job of getting those excuses in early
Posted on 5/5/26 at 12:10 pm to tide06
MS +1 R
Posted on 5/5/26 at 12:15 pm to John somers
It's really too far off to know what stuff is gonna happen that might change the landscape. Hell, in November half of Lane Kiffin's debut at LSU will be over.
Posted on 5/5/26 at 12:41 pm to John somers
It really depends on what's happening by October/November.
For example, if we haven't squashed Iran yet and gasoline is $6-$7/gallon nationally, even ungerrymandering all of the gerrymandered Democrat districts wouldn't be able to stop the voter backlash as by that time the high price of gasoline would have permeated further out into the economy.
On the other hand, if Iran is done with by July and prices are below where they were in 2025 by election time, the Democrats are going to have a hard time keeping what they have even without redistricting due to being their own worst enemy.
At this point, November looks to be all about the old Clinton adage of "it's the economy, stupid" because Democrats are going to continue to hang onto things like being anti-immigration-enforcement, pro-trannies, etc.
For example, if we haven't squashed Iran yet and gasoline is $6-$7/gallon nationally, even ungerrymandering all of the gerrymandered Democrat districts wouldn't be able to stop the voter backlash as by that time the high price of gasoline would have permeated further out into the economy.
On the other hand, if Iran is done with by July and prices are below where they were in 2025 by election time, the Democrats are going to have a hard time keeping what they have even without redistricting due to being their own worst enemy.
At this point, November looks to be all about the old Clinton adage of "it's the economy, stupid" because Democrats are going to continue to hang onto things like being anti-immigration-enforcement, pro-trannies, etc.
Posted on 5/5/26 at 12:44 pm to Powerman
quote:
I'd be shocked if they don't lose the house
We know.
Posted on 5/5/26 at 12:51 pm to Bard
quote:
For example, if we haven't squashed Iran yet and gasoline is $6-$7/gallon nationally
Then republicans 100% DESERVE to lose
Posted on 5/5/26 at 12:54 pm to tide06
How in the hell did Utah lose a republican seat?
also - things look good in Virginia with the court striking down their nonsensical districts
also - things look good in Virginia with the court striking down their nonsensical districts
Posted on 5/5/26 at 1:01 pm to Powerman
quote:
Then republicans 100% DESERVE to lose
They may suck BUT they’re a million times better than the Marxist Democrats
Posted on 5/5/26 at 1:08 pm to Powerman
quote:
Good job of getting those excuses in early
No one is making excuses, retard. You and your trannie friends are going to get shellacked.
quote:
even ungerrymandering all of the gerrymandered Democrat districts wouldn't be able to stop the voter backlash
Yes it would. Most of you still dont understand the impact this will have.
This post was edited on 5/5/26 at 1:08 pm
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