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Started By
Message
Shock poll: New Rasmussen GE poll has Trump up
Posted on 9/16/20 at 10:55 am
Posted on 9/16/20 at 10:55 am
14
Posted on 9/16/20 at 10:56 am to PorkSammich
It's not that close
Posted on 9/16/20 at 10:57 am to hogcard1964
Is that a D+4 sample?
Wasn’t clear from the link.
Wasn’t clear from the link.
Posted on 9/16/20 at 10:58 am to PorkSammich
Wow. This is what. A 10 percent swing in a month?
Lol.
Lol.
Posted on 9/16/20 at 11:26 am to PorkSammich
Trump is going to win
I didn’t think so 6 months ago, At all
I didn’t think so 6 months ago, At all
Posted on 9/16/20 at 11:30 am to PorkSammich
Harris is going to lose this thing by a lot.
ETA: if only she had picked a better VP to run with.
ETA: if only she had picked a better VP to run with.
This post was edited on 9/16/20 at 11:31 am
Posted on 9/16/20 at 11:31 am to LSUnation78
quote:
Harris is going to lose this thing by a lot.
Posted on 9/16/20 at 11:33 am to PorkSammich
We'll find out in about a month and a half, but my confidence level in Trump being re-elected and him doing it even more decisively than 2016 is growing by the day. Throw in people like me that didn't truthfully answer when polled in person over the summer and the gap grows by the day.
Posted on 9/16/20 at 11:36 am to PorkSammich
quote:How did Rasmussen perform in 2016?
Rasmussen
Posted on 9/16/20 at 11:37 am to hogcard1964
quote:Nor was it in 2016, but at least Rasmussen was the only one who had Trump up in any given poll they ran late in the campaign so that's something. I guess they get the most credit if I had to give any of them any.
It's not that close
Posted on 9/16/20 at 11:37 am to PorkSammich
not shocking
Posted on 9/16/20 at 11:39 am to PorkSammich
This was posted in another thread.
polling by the numbers
You would think two guys just talking numbers for over two hours would be boring but I found it very fascinating.
Long story short. At this point in time the election is Trump's to lose.
polling by the numbers
You would think two guys just talking numbers for over two hours would be boring but I found it very fascinating.
Long story short. At this point in time the election is Trump's to lose.
Posted on 9/16/20 at 11:40 am to La Place Mike
Nate Silver was on Twitter mocking this poll. That lets me know it's probably one of the most accurate.
Posted on 9/16/20 at 11:50 am to PorkSammich
Posted on 9/16/20 at 12:03 pm to MFn GIMP
Nate Silver did make a good observation regarding the USC panel poll though. If y'all remember, that was the poll that was consistently good for Trump in 2016.
That poll has gone from +12 Biden to +7. Since the poll keeps the same responders, that's real people changing their minds.
When was Biden up 12 in that poll?
A week ago.
That poll has gone from +12 Biden to +7. Since the poll keeps the same responders, that's real people changing their minds.
When was Biden up 12 in that poll?
A week ago.
This post was edited on 9/16/20 at 12:04 pm
Posted on 9/16/20 at 12:11 pm to Teddy Ruxpin
quote:
Nate Silver did make a good observation regarding the USC panel poll though. If y'all remember, that was the poll that was consistently good for Trump in 2016.
There is definite movement towards Trump recently. Nate just hates Rasmussen for some reason.
Posted on 9/16/20 at 12:17 pm to PorkSammich
And of the 7% missing I bet he’s got 6 giving another +5!
Plus maybe another 5% saying Biden due to fear makes this + 10 more
Landslide!
Plus maybe another 5% saying Biden due to fear makes this + 10 more
Landslide!
Posted on 9/16/20 at 12:17 pm to MFn GIMP
quote:
There is definite movement towards Trump recently.
I can feel it, too... tons of enthusiasm and Biden/Harris keep embarassing themselves at every opportunity.
Posted on 9/16/20 at 12:22 pm to tigerpawl
I do feel like the dam is maybe about to break.
That at some point it will dawn on suburban white women and moderate seniors that if OMB is getting record numbers with blacks Hispanics gays he really isn’t that bad.
If you merely took Trump’s 2016 numbers with women and seniors and then added his gains with blacks Hispanics and gays he’d have 350 EVs
That at some point it will dawn on suburban white women and moderate seniors that if OMB is getting record numbers with blacks Hispanics gays he really isn’t that bad.
If you merely took Trump’s 2016 numbers with women and seniors and then added his gains with blacks Hispanics and gays he’d have 350 EVs
Posted on 9/16/20 at 12:24 pm to PorkSammich
Landslide.
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