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PorkSammich
Arkansas Fan
North FL
Member since Sep 2013
6777 posts

Shock poll: New Rasmussen GE poll has Trump up
by 1%

LINK

quote:

National GE: Trump 47% (+1) Biden 46% @Rasmussen_Poll, LV, 9/9-15


hogcard1964
Arkansas Fan
Illinois
Member since Jan 2017
2612 posts
 Online 

re: Shock poll: New Rasmussen GE poll has Trump up
It's not that close


tide06
Alabama Fan
Member since Oct 2011
4035 posts
 Online 

re: Shock poll: New Rasmussen GE poll has Trump up
Is that a D+4 sample?

Wasn’t clear from the link.


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100
CleverUserName
Mississippi St. Fan
Member since Oct 2016
3711 posts
 Online 

re: Shock poll: New Rasmussen GE poll has Trump up
Wow. This is what. A 10 percent swing in a month?

Lol.


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271
tigerfoot
LA-Monroe Fan
Alexandria
Member since Sep 2006
45233 posts

re: Shock poll: New Rasmussen GE poll has Trump up
Trump is going to win


I didn’t think so 6 months ago, At all


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121
LSUnation78
USA Fan
Northshore
Member since Aug 2012
5602 posts

re: Shock poll: New Rasmussen GE poll has Trump up
Harris is going to lose this thing by a lot.


ETA: if only she had picked a better VP to run with.
This post was edited on 9/16 at 11:31 am


GumboPot
USA Fan
tigerdroppings.com Elite Member
Member since Mar 2009
81858 posts

re: Shock poll: New Rasmussen GE poll has Trump up
quote:

Harris is going to lose this thing by a lot.



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80
AUMIS01
Auburn Fan
Atlanta
Member since May 2020
283 posts

re: Shock poll: New Rasmussen GE poll has Trump up
We'll find out in about a month and a half, but my confidence level in Trump being re-elected and him doing it even more decisively than 2016 is growing by the day. Throw in people like me that didn't truthfully answer when polled in person over the summer and the gap grows by the day.


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70
tigerpawl
LSU Fan
Can't get there from here.
Member since Dec 2003
16842 posts

re: Shock poll: New Rasmussen GE poll has Trump up
quote:

Rasmussen
How did Rasmussen perform in 2016?


The Cool No 9
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2014
6907 posts

re: Shock poll: New Rasmussen GE poll has Trump up
quote:

It's not that close
Nor was it in 2016, but at least Rasmussen was the only one who had Trump up in any given poll they ran late in the campaign so that's something. I guess they get the most credit if I had to give any of them any.


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30
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Midget Death Squad
Notre Dame Fan
Meme Magic
Member since Oct 2008
17018 posts
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re: Shock poll: New Rasmussen GE poll has Trump up
not shocking


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40
La Place Mike
LSU Fan
West Florida Republic
Member since Jan 2004
23541 posts

re: Shock poll: New Rasmussen GE poll has Trump up
This was posted in another thread.

polling by the numbers

You would think two guys just talking numbers for over two hours would be boring but I found it very fascinating.

Long story short. At this point in time the election is Trump's to lose.


MFn GIMP
LSU Fan
Kentucky
Member since Feb 2011
12145 posts

re: Shock poll: New Rasmussen GE poll has Trump up
Nate Silver was on Twitter mocking this poll. That lets me know it's probably one of the most accurate.


cajunangelle
Navy Fan
eating a fried oyster/shrimp poboy
Member since Oct 2012
107737 posts
 Online 

re: Shock poll: New Rasmussen GE poll has Trump up


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Teddy Ruxpin
LSU Fan
Member since Oct 2006
34793 posts

re: Shock poll: New Rasmussen GE poll has Trump up
Nate Silver did make a good observation regarding the USC panel poll though. If y'all remember, that was the poll that was consistently good for Trump in 2016.

That poll has gone from +12 Biden to +7. Since the poll keeps the same responders, that's real people changing their minds.

When was Biden up 12 in that poll?

A week ago.
This post was edited on 9/16 at 12:04 pm


MFn GIMP
LSU Fan
Kentucky
Member since Feb 2011
12145 posts

re: Shock poll: New Rasmussen GE poll has Trump up
quote:

Nate Silver did make a good observation regarding the USC panel poll though. If y'all remember, that was the poll that was consistently good for Trump in 2016.


There is definite movement towards Trump recently. Nate just hates Rasmussen for some reason.


Little Trump
Alabama Fan
Florida
Member since Nov 2017
3894 posts

re: Shock poll: New Rasmussen GE poll has Trump up
And of the 7% missing I bet he’s got 6 giving another +5!

Plus maybe another 5% saying Biden due to fear makes this + 10 more

Landslide!


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20
BayBengal9
LSU Fan
Bay St. Louis, MS
Member since Nov 2019
1816 posts

re: Shock poll: New Rasmussen GE poll has Trump up
quote:

There is definite movement towards Trump recently.


I can feel it, too... tons of enthusiasm and Biden/Harris keep embarassing themselves at every opportunity.


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30
SirWinston
LSU Fan
PNW
Member since Jul 2014
54153 posts

re: Shock poll: New Rasmussen GE poll has Trump up
I do feel like the dam is maybe about to break.

That at some point it will dawn on suburban white women and moderate seniors that if OMB is getting record numbers with blacks Hispanics gays he really isn’t that bad.

If you merely took Trump’s 2016 numbers with women and seniors and then added his gains with blacks Hispanics and gays he’d have 350 EVs


Wolfhound45
USA Fan
Central Florida
Member since Nov 2009
76355 posts

re: Shock poll: New Rasmussen GE poll has Trump up
Landslide.


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