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tigerpawl
LSU Fan
Can't get there from here.
Member since Dec 2003
16837 posts

re: Shock poll: New Rasmussen GE poll has Trump up
Rasmussen Reports Calls It Right (2016)

"Rasmussen Reports told you all along that it was a much closer race than most other pollsters predicted. We weren’t surprised Election Night. They were. Now Real Clear Politics has posted the final results, and look who came in second out of 11 top pollsters who surveyed the four-way race."


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RaginCajunz
LA-Lafayette Fan
Member since Mar 2009
3223 posts

re: Shock poll: New Rasmussen GE poll has Trump up
quote:

I do feel like the dam is maybe about to break.



Biden will be exposed at some point. Each "good" day he goes out he has a series of blunders that are hidden away by MSM. That won't be possible as we near election time. His diminished capacity will be obvious to all.


The Boat
Mississippi St. Fan
Clearwater Beach, Florida
Member since Oct 2008
117423 posts

re: Shock poll: New Rasmussen GE poll has Trump up
quote:

I do feel like the dam is maybe about to break.

The dam breaks after the first debate


Tigerbiscuits
New Orleans Pelicans Fan
Mid-City
Member since Nov 2011
718 posts

re: Shock poll: New Rasmussen GE poll has Trump up
Dam has been broken. In the last 2 months a spontaneous group text was started by a self proclaimed "lib" friend titled "MAGA Men". It's basically a large group of people you would never expect to be MAGA but have been pushed so far away by the left that they chant it in the streets. These are some really alternative type people that have voted democrat their entire life. Every day or so they add a new convert and discuss how twisted the left had their minds.
This post was edited on 9/16 at 1:04 pm


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Jake88
George Mason Fan
LSU/Saints Fan
Member since Apr 2005
45600 posts
 Online 

re: Shock poll: New Rasmussen GE poll has Trump up
That's seemingly good news, but I dont trust any polls.


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bayoumuscle21
LSU Fan
St. George
Member since Jan 2012
3441 posts

re: Shock poll: New Rasmussen GE poll has Trump up
quote:

How did Rasmussen perform in 2016?


Didn't Trafalgar get the best results state by state though in 2016?


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Taxing Authority
LSU Fan
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
41851 posts

re: Shock poll: New Rasmussen GE poll has Trump up
quote:

If you merely took Trump’s 2016 numbers with women and seniors and then added his gains with blacks Hispanics and gays he’d have 350 EVs
Here's the thing... it's hard to identify any voting group that Trump has done anything to lose. And I think a lot of people did'nt vote for him in 2016 because they expected him to do something stupid. He hasn't. And those voters... ain't voting Biden.


LSUFanHouston
LSU Fan
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
22364 posts
 Online 

re: Shock poll: New Rasmussen GE poll has Trump up
100 percent of that 4% undecided is voting for Trump. Anyone voting for Biden can't stop themselves from telling everyone they know, they are voting for Biden (or against Trump).


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LSUFanHouston
LSU Fan
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
22364 posts
 Online 

re: Shock poll: New Rasmussen GE poll has Trump up
quote:

The new survey finds Trump with 80% support among Republicans and a nine-point lead among voters not affiliated with either major party. Biden has 80% of the Democrat vote.


Biden will end up pulling more than 80%. The NeverTrumpers need to get over themselves.

Also, the unaffiliated vote is breaking Trump's way because they are pissed at how the Dems are acting.


Jake88
George Mason Fan
LSU/Saints Fan
Member since Apr 2005
45600 posts
 Online 

re: Shock poll: New Rasmussen GE poll has Trump up
I worry a bit about him losing elderly because they've been told it's only a matter of time before covid gets them.

I also worry that because there are no rock star like rallies every day, that people who were suddenly motivated to make an effort to vote for the first time and vote for Trump, won't be as fired up and motivated.


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LSUFanHouston
LSU Fan
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
22364 posts
 Online 

re: Shock poll: New Rasmussen GE poll has Trump up
quote:

Biden will be exposed at some point. Each "good" day he goes out he has a series of blunders that are hidden away by MSM. That won't be possible as we near election time. His diminished capacity will be obvious to all.


Yes, and to combat that, the media is going to go on an all out assault in October. Gird your loins.


Jake88
George Mason Fan
LSU/Saints Fan
Member since Apr 2005
45600 posts
 Online 

re: Shock poll: New Rasmussen GE poll has Trump up
Trump is doing way better with Republicans than 80%. They must have oversampled Republicans in the cities and nearby suburbs.


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Moe Betta
Nicholls St. Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2019
198 posts

re: Shock poll: New Rasmussen GE poll has Trump up
Rasmussen is a closet never-trumper - add 8% to 10% to Trump for any poll he puts out
This post was edited on 9/16 at 1:36 pm


MFn GIMP
LSU Fan
Kentucky
Member since Feb 2011
12084 posts

re: Shock poll: New Rasmussen GE poll has Trump up
quote:

Rasmussen is a closet never-trumper - add 8% to 10% to Trump for any poll he puts out

What? The man spends his day on Twitter talking about other polls undersampling Republicans and posted something about MAGA today. If anything, and I don't think he is doing this but, he is too pro-trump.


Jake88
George Mason Fan
LSU/Saints Fan
Member since Apr 2005
45600 posts
 Online 

re: Shock poll: New Rasmussen GE poll has Trump up
Rasmussen doesn't work at Rasmussen any longer.

This is interesting too...
quote:

Rasmussen, who along with his father co-founded ESPN in 1979, moved into the polling business in the mid-1990s
This post was edited on 9/16 at 1:54 pm


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Moe Betta
Nicholls St. Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2019
198 posts

re: Shock poll: New Rasmussen GE poll has Trump up
Rasmussen wants to remain among the top of the pollsters and will finesse the numbers to try and keep all the bases happy - he was close in the 2016 race, but his polls were still completely shaded in the Democrats favor - in the last 4 years since Trump won Rasmussen has sometimes let slip his bias - I have no problem with this as I make my own WAG adjustments - same with that short fat POS that was on constantly before the 2016 election - he was also taking polls and doing town hall meetings but was not able to hide his political bias and he thankfully went away after Trump was elected - sorry, I can't remember his name.
This post was edited on 9/16 at 2:01 pm


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