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Reuters: Older educated white voters who voted for Trump are now leaning toward Democrats
Posted on 4/9/18 at 10:03 pm
Posted on 4/9/18 at 10:03 pm
quote:LINK
Older educated white voters who voted for President Trump in 2016 are now leaning toward Democrats, according to a Reuters–Ipsos poll released Monday.
White college graduates over the age of 60 now favor Democrats over Republicans for Congress by a 2-point margin. The same group favored Republicans by 10 percentage points during the same polling period in 2016.
The 12-point swing toward Democrats is one of the largest the Reuters–Ipsos poll has measured over two years.
The trend will likely harm Republican chances of keeping the majority in the House during the November midterm elections, analysts said.
“The real core for the Republicans is white, older white, and if they’re losing ground there, they’re going to have a tsunami,” said Larry Sabato, a University of Virginia political scientist, told Reuters. “If that continues to November, they’re toast.”
Health care is the primary concern for this demographic, according to the poll. Twenty-one percent of respondents cited it as their top issue, compared to only 8 percent two years ago.
Older white voters, regardless of education, are still more likely to vote for Republican candidates. But their support for the GOP has dropped by about 5 percentage points since the first quarter of 2016.
Posted on 4/9/18 at 10:04 pm to Bench McElroy
Anyone who switches between parties so quickly is a moron
Posted on 4/9/18 at 10:04 pm to Bench McElroy
Blue wave, incoming!!!
Posted on 4/9/18 at 10:05 pm to Bench McElroy
Didn’t Reuters have Hilldog winning by +8?
Posted on 4/9/18 at 10:05 pm to Bench McElroy
Ah yes. Time for the bench McElroy concern troll post with no commentary or opinion
Posted on 4/9/18 at 10:06 pm to Bench McElroy
quote:
Health care is the primary concern for this demographic
A) Shows you this oversampled Democrats
B) FREE Health care is their primary concern. Otherwise, they'd still be solid Republican.
Posted on 4/9/18 at 10:06 pm to Bench McElroy
Old people like stability. Trump is the antithesis of that.
Posted on 4/9/18 at 10:07 pm to Damone
What is the blue wave? Antifa? Free stuff? Nice plan. Should work well for the country.
Posted on 4/9/18 at 10:08 pm to Toddy
quote:
Old people like stability. Trump is the antithesis of that.
You will swallow anything.
Where's that generic poll you were hyping so much in December?
Posted on 4/9/18 at 10:09 pm to AUX3
As pitiful as Republicans in Congress have been over the last year, they don't deserve to lead just to be honest.
Posted on 4/9/18 at 10:10 pm to Toddy
quote:
Old people like stability. Trump is the antithesis of that.
the instability is a function of the left.
Posted on 4/9/18 at 10:10 pm to AUX3
I'll believe it when I see it. This has some credibility due to the "educated" subgrouping but, still, old folks gonna old folk.
Posted on 4/9/18 at 10:11 pm to Bench McElroy
Lots of polling firms and analysts discussing the his blue wave. After 2016, I'm not sure they can withstand another blunder. It will be interesting to see how things poll when it gets close.
Posted on 4/9/18 at 10:11 pm to Bench McElroy
quote:
said Larry Sabato, a University of Virginia political scientist,
I'd like to see his 2016 election night predictions
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