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Posted on 11/26/19 at 1:01 pm to bamarep
Ana Navarro = Open border loving count
Posted on 11/26/19 at 1:02 pm to bamarep
Wow, another liberal racist. Color me shocked.
(self-reporting for possible racist language by my use of the word "color")
(self-reporting for possible racist language by my use of the word "color")
Posted on 11/26/19 at 1:51 pm to bamarep
quote:
The two polls that sparked Navarro-Cárdenas’s ire were conducted by Emerson College and Rasmussen Reports. As Breitbart News reported, the former showed that 34.%% of likely black voters supported Trump, and the latter showed that 34% did.
The problem with polls (and all statistics in general) is sample size and sample diversity.
Would you trust a Trump support poll where 70% of respondents were Californians?
Would you trust a poll where 80% of the respondents were upper middle class in a demographic where said group is traditionally the most impoverished?
All I'm saying is what metrics were used to conduct the poll? How many people actually responded? Did the poll take multiple social classes into consideration when screening?
Posted on 11/26/19 at 1:57 pm to volod
quote:
ABOUT US
About Emerson Polling
Emerson Polling received recognition for accurately assessing voting intentions throughout the 2016 Presidential Election – including top rankings by Bloomberg News and Nate Silver’s’ FiveThirtyEight – using a landline-only sample design. In an ongoing effort to improve accuracy in 2017, Emerson Polling experimented with the use of online panels. Our analysis found that a combination of landline and online participants created a representative artificial sample.
The Emerson Poll methodology pairs an automated system that collects data over landline phones with an online panel of participants. A random sample of registered voters or all citizens depending on the needs of the survey are purchased from Aristotle Inc., a leading supplier of phone lists to the survey research industry, and Amazon Turk, an online panel of individuals. Through the use of a screening question, we usually seek out “likely voters”. The results presented in our reports include univariate and bivariate analysis of the data. Frequency distributions for each item included on the questionnaire are shown in the tables. In all cases, cross-tabulation results are also shown. This type of bivariate analysis examines differences between sub-groups of the overall population.
The modes of data analyses are non-probability and deductive (from “general” to “specific”) in nature, so instead of using classical statistics to quantify the ‘uncertainty’ or range of scores a poll represents, we use Bayesian Statistical methods, that produce the mathematical likelihood of an event of interest, and that are inductive in nature (from “specific” to “general”), for data analyses in best estimating the true population mean proportion. Due to their inductive nature and probability oriented approach, Bayesian methods are often called “Evidence-Based” Statistics (Satake, 2014, 2016, and 2017).
Since implementing this new innovative methodology in early 2018, the Emerson Poll was the first to put Connor Lamb (D) ahead of his rival, and the closest poll to predict the actual margin of his victory in the PA-18 Special Election for Congress. Emerson’s poll in the AZ-8 Special Election for Congress had Debbie Lesko (R) within a point of her final margin of victory. In both the CA Governor and US Senate primaries, and the Ohio-12 Special election, the Emerson Poll results were within a point of the actual results.
In the 2018 Midterm Election season, Emerson Polling conducted 54 congressional, gubernatorial, senate polls in 20 different states across the nation. Following the election, it was determined that Emerson Polling achieved statistical and predictive accuracy in 93% of these races. Notably, the Emerson Poll predicted the upset victory in the Nevada Senate race within a point.
Emerson College Polling is a Charter Member of the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) Transparency Initiative— AAPOR is the leading professional organization of public opinion and survey research professionals in the United States, with members from academia, media, government, the nonprofit sector, and private industry. The Transparency Initiative membership demonstrates Emerson College Polling’s commitment to transparency in our research methods and our pledge to abide by AAPOR’s Code of Professional Ethics and Practices.
Emerson College Polling is part of the School of Communication at Emerson College and is designed to contribute to the educational mission of the College by providing students with valuable opportunities to enhance their educational experience by conducting public opinion surveys on business, economics, political and social issues and studying local, state, national and international populations.
Posted on 11/26/19 at 1:58 pm to CAD703X
Clearly this is only polling Ben Carson and Diamond & Silk
Posted on 11/26/19 at 2:00 pm to bamarep
As funny as she is with her sky screaming Trump derangement syndrome, big girl Ana is likely correct here.
Approval ratings don't always translate to actual votes and it's highly unlikely with a monolithic voting block like black Americans that it will be any different.
Approval ratings don't always translate to actual votes and it's highly unlikely with a monolithic voting block like black Americans that it will be any different.
Posted on 11/26/19 at 2:05 pm to bamarep
Trump's support from Black Americans began rising when Trumped delivered his famous question to Black Americans...."What do you have to lose?" That question caused the DimMedia to completely meltdown and the Dim talking heads even twisted that question into being racist. I guess many Black Americans have taken the queue from Candace Owens and her Blexit movement and have been walking away from the Dim party in ever increasing numbers.
Dims are very concerned about Black Americans shifting to a decidedly more conservative political mindset and that explains in part why the Dims are desperate for a larger Latino/Hispanic voting block, a voting block that vote 80% Dim....legal and illegal.
Dims are very concerned about Black Americans shifting to a decidedly more conservative political mindset and that explains in part why the Dims are desperate for a larger Latino/Hispanic voting block, a voting block that vote 80% Dim....legal and illegal.
Posted on 11/26/19 at 2:06 pm to bamarep
The young woman on the right looks like someone I know who's VEHEMENTLY anti-Trump and anti-Republican
Posted on 11/26/19 at 2:10 pm to Bass Tiger
quote:
Black Americans shifting to a decidedly more conservative political mindset
Where are they? Not in Houston, that's for sure.
Posted on 11/26/19 at 2:15 pm to tarzana
quote:
tarzana "Principled Conservative" Ana Navarro isn't happy about Trump's black support poll quote: Black Americans shifting to a decidedly more conservative political mindset Where are they? Not in Houston, that's for sure.
Go to YouTube and search Candace Owens Blexit...Candace is drawing thousands to her Blexit events and she's getting some energetic Black conservatives who are quite impressive to speak at her Blexit events. It's good stuff if you're not suffering from TDS.
Posted on 11/26/19 at 2:44 pm to tarzana
quote:
Black Americans shifting to a decidedly more conservative political mindset
Where are they? Not in Houston, that's for sure.
I'm right here in San Antonio, fam
Posted on 11/26/19 at 3:50 pm to tarzana
quote:
The young woman on the right looks like someone I know who's VEHEMENTLY anti-Trump and anti-Republican
It's probably her, you should ask your friend if it is
Posted on 11/26/19 at 5:21 pm to DeusVultMachina
quote:
Where's the nearest Burlington? We gon' need a metric frickton of coats
^^^^^^^^^ funny on so many levels
Posted on 11/26/19 at 5:23 pm to bamarep
She can take her broken English and get fricked.
Posted on 11/26/19 at 5:25 pm to TbirdSpur2010
quote:
TbirdSpur2010
quote:
I'm right here in San Antonio, fam
Posted on 11/26/19 at 5:46 pm to bamarep
She's afraid MLK's dream might actually be happening.
Free at last.
Free at last.
Posted on 11/26/19 at 6:51 pm to bamarep
quote:
Ana Navarro
Is
Not
A
Conservative!
Posted on 11/26/19 at 7:13 pm to tarzana
They avoid people like you like the plague. You won’t ever have to worry about it.
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