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Message
re: Per the CDC 98% of people tested have been negative
Posted on 3/14/20 at 7:07 pm to TigerCruise
Posted on 3/14/20 at 7:07 pm to TigerCruise
This is not good news. Good news would be if it was already widely circulating. If the numbers of current infected are actually accurate then the mortality rate is actually high. The numbers of cases are growing exponentially still...
3
Posted on 3/14/20 at 7:08 pm to TigerCruise
Do you have a link? They mentioned that stat during the press conference today, but I’m pretty sure they were talking about Korea. Who, you know is testing like 50k people a day
Posted on 3/14/20 at 7:08 pm to ShortyRob
I think what should give everyone pause is that Wuhan has 11 million people in it, yet their total infection numbers are only 67k for the entire province.
This virus was spreading unchecked for over 2 months before the lockdown. The numbers should be much higher (and probably are).
This virus was spreading unchecked for over 2 months before the lockdown. The numbers should be much higher (and probably are).
Posted on 3/14/20 at 7:08 pm to CoonassatTEXAS
Posted on 3/14/20 at 7:08 pm to ShortyRob
quote:
If both numbers are true, then the original estimates weren't just inaccurate.
They were WILDLY inaccurate.
What original estimates?? This has been public knowledge about SK the entire time. We've known they have been doing over 10,000 tests a day but currently only have 8,000 cases. Do the math.
Posted on 3/14/20 at 7:10 pm to frogglet
quote:Well yeah.
This is not good news. Good news would be if it was already widely circulating. If the numbers of current infected are actually accurate then the mortality rate is actually high. The numbers of cases are growing exponentially still...
But a high mortality rate with virtually no one catching it is about the same as a high contagion rate with virtually no one dying.
The PROBLEM was when they were reporting a high contagion rate AND a high mortality rate.
quote:Low contagion rate lowers the S-curve inflection point
The numbers of cases are growing exponentially still...
Posted on 3/14/20 at 7:10 pm to TigerCruise
I just went to their webpage and didn’t see that star mentioned. Do you have a direct link?
Posted on 3/14/20 at 7:10 pm to TigerCruise
I hope so
Posted on 3/14/20 at 7:11 pm to frogglet
quote:
What original estimates?? This has been public knowledge about SK the entire time. We've known they have been doing over 10,000 tests a day but currently only have 8,000 cases. Do the math.
I've BEEN doing the math which is why I've BEEN making fun of the alarmists and will continue to do so
Posted on 3/14/20 at 7:11 pm to Mister Flawless
quote:
So much fricking panic the last 2 days.
Do you know how stupid you look?
Posted on 3/14/20 at 7:12 pm to Kickadawgitfeelsgood
Can’t be as stupid as your arse the last 3 years over muh Russia and every other bullshite spewed by the media and DNC.
Posted on 3/14/20 at 7:12 pm to TigerCruise
Clearly faulty tests.
Should have ordered the tests that were positive.
Should have ordered the tests that were positive.
Posted on 3/14/20 at 7:14 pm to Kickadawgitfeelsgood
quote:
Do you know how stupid you look?
So an item that was in reference to my wife's reaction to this situation is now your item to jump on. Dude have a Coke, a smile, and shut the frick up!
Posted on 3/14/20 at 7:14 pm to ShortyRob
quote:
Low contagion rate lowers the S-curve inflection point
Every expert is saying the inflection point coming earlier in some countries is because of the extraordinary measures they took to contain it. Otherwise there is no reason for the virus not to reach 40%-70% of the total population.
Posted on 3/14/20 at 7:15 pm to frogglet
quote:Well of course.
Every expert is saying the inflection point coming earlier in some countries is because of the extraordinary measures they took to contain it.
It's not like low contagion rate is the ONLY factor.
But, if you couple good actions with a low contagion rate, you basically have a disease of insignificance.
Posted on 3/14/20 at 7:16 pm to frogglet
quote:
This is not good news. Good news would be if it was already widely circulating. If the numbers of current infected are actually accurate then the mortality rate is actually high. The numbers of cases are growing exponentially still...
We’re on month 4 and have basically self-quarantined the country. How much more time does this virus need to catch us all?
Posted on 3/14/20 at 7:22 pm to Freight Joker
Well, since March 1, we have been doubling cases about every 3 days. At that rate, it would take about 1.5 months to reach about 50%.
Posted on 3/14/20 at 7:28 pm to TigerCruise
I really hope to see white patio furniture "I survived" memes after this is over.
Posted on 3/14/20 at 7:29 pm to frogglet
Most likely the number in the US peaks in 2 weeks, everyone goes to back to normal life.
Posted on 3/14/20 at 7:34 pm to TigerCruise
link?
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