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re: Penn 18th Dist. Lamb 49.8% ; Saccone 49.6% LAMB declares victory
Posted on 3/13/18 at 9:15 pm to Iowa Golfer
Posted on 3/13/18 at 9:15 pm to Iowa Golfer
And I'd bet the Dems win.
1
Posted on 3/13/18 at 9:16 pm to buckeye_vol
quote:
It's still an R +11 district, so essentially +22 over the Ds. So it's arguably even more R leaning than the 2016 Presidential election.
My point is that national dems are not the same as certain local dems.
If the dems ran a generic dem, they would have lost this race.
I just don't see how this election is a referendum on trump.
This district is full of old school union guys. That played a big role, imo.
Posted on 3/13/18 at 9:16 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
Democrats always steal the close ones like this
Notice how it’s stopped at 95-96%?
That’s when the theft of the close elections happens
Democrats sandbag just enough votes to push themselves over the top in the close ones!
Happens just about every single time
Let’s see how long it takes to get this final 4% counted
Democrats are criminals in stealing the close ones
Notice how it’s stopped at 95-96%?
That’s when the theft of the close elections happens
Democrats sandbag just enough votes to push themselves over the top in the close ones!
Happens just about every single time
Let’s see how long it takes to get this final 4% counted
Democrats are criminals in stealing the close ones
Posted on 3/13/18 at 9:18 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:
If the dems ran a generic dem, they would have lost this race.
well yeah,
they ran a center-right dem, or at least one that appeared that way
Posted on 3/13/18 at 9:18 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:But that doesn't seem to be true at all in recent history for this district. Ds typically get smoked, nationally and locally.
My point is that national dems are not the same as certain local dems.
Posted on 3/13/18 at 9:18 pm to Little Trump
it looks like saccone will take this. good fight though.
Posted on 3/13/18 at 9:18 pm to Little Trump
My bet is lamb wins by 300 votes or less
Posted on 3/13/18 at 9:19 pm to Toddy
quote:
It hasn't had a Democratic representative for 15 years. Romney carried it by 17 points. Why don't tell me more? I realize it's been traditionally blue historically and there are more registered Dems (even though they've voted GOP for years). What am I missing??
Well, considering it’s my old district, I’ll fill you in. Murphy was wildly popular, actually a child psychologist, creepy in retrospect since he was from my township. He was the only rep for all of those 15 or so years; took over for a dem. It was surprising that a republican held the seat for so long. The district is mixed with a mix Pittsburgh suburbs that are are varied on how they lean. There are legacy union areas and and some mixed rural-ish areas.
Saccone; terrible candidate and the right type of Democrat can be very attractive here. For the past 15 years the dems have run extremely liberal candidates against a very popular Murphy; bad mix.
The area when it comes to local politics is fickle. Plus this sounds awful, but Italians don’t play well with voters in this area.
Posted on 3/13/18 at 9:19 pm to Iowa Golfer
Larry Schweikart ? @LarrySchweikart 3s4 seconds ago GOP in PA saying Saccone will win but an auto recount cuz of narrow margin.
Posted on 3/13/18 at 9:20 pm to buckeye_vol
quote:
Ds typically get smoked, nationally and locally.
Wrong on the local front. A majority of the elected officials in this district (sheriffs, election supervisors, etc) are democrats.
Posted on 3/13/18 at 9:20 pm to buckeye_vol
104,697 (D)
103,779 (R)
208,000 votes reported
Reported to be 96% of all votes
That leaves an extra 4% not reported
210,000 x 0.04 = 8,400 votes
8,400 votes have yet to be reported
103,779 (R)
208,000 votes reported
Reported to be 96% of all votes
That leaves an extra 4% not reported
210,000 x 0.04 = 8,400 votes
8,400 votes have yet to be reported
Posted on 3/13/18 at 9:21 pm to dr smartass phd
About 6,000 absentee ballots have been returned in PA-18 and none have been counted so far.
Posted on 3/13/18 at 9:21 pm to Loserman
Yes, smart money would bet Lamb. I wouldn't bet.
Posted on 3/13/18 at 9:21 pm to RolltidePA
So goes Enlow Fork and Baily, so goes Washington Co
Posted on 3/13/18 at 9:23 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:
Wrong on the local front. A majority of the elected officials in this district (sheriffs, election supervisors, etc) are democrats.
Do you live in the district?
Posted on 3/13/18 at 9:23 pm to dr smartass phd
540 votes with 3 percent left holy hell this is nuts.
Posted on 3/13/18 at 9:24 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:Well Westmoreland, for example, is 75% R for state legislatures and 50/50 for county level positions.
Wrong on the local front. A majority of the elected officials in this district (sheriffs, election supervisors, etc) are democrats.
Posted on 3/13/18 at 9:24 pm to MastrShake
quote:
About 6,000 absentee ballots have been returned in PA-18 and none have been counted so far.
Lazy asses.
Posted on 3/13/18 at 9:24 pm to dr smartass phd
holy shite, 550 votes.
This post was edited on 3/13/18 at 9:25 pm
Posted on 3/13/18 at 9:24 pm to RolltidePA
quote:I lived there briefly from age 6-9.
Do you live in the district?
I am reading another election forum now and a dude is talking about the history of the district and how it favors a certain brand of dems.
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