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BayouCatFan
Arizona Fan
Port St Lucie, FL
Member since Jul 2008
3006 posts

Oxford Economic:Biden Will Wallop Trump
quote:

Democratic presidential contender Joe Biden might not just beat Trump in November, but wallop him. The election model run by forecasting firm Oxford Economics now sees Biden beating Trump by historic margins, due to an economy deeply damaged by the coronavirus recession. Before the recession, the model showed Trump winning in a close race.



quote:

The key variable in the Oxford model is a sharp economic contraction in swing states that fuels dissatisfaction with Trump and his fellow Republicans, and bolsters Democratic turnout. In the model, Biden, the former vice president, wins all the usual Democratic states plus seven states Trump won in 2016: Iowa, Michigan, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.



quote:

The outcome would give Biden 65% of the popular vote, and Trump just 35%. Biden would win the electoral vote 328 – 210, the worst womping of an incumbent president since Jimmy Carter lost to Ronald Reagan in 1980. In 2016, Trump lost the popular vote to Hillary Clinton, 48% to 46%, but swing state victories gave him a 306-232 electoral college win.




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I would move to a different country if this happened. Or go to Idaho and join one of the groups against the govt. Surely this is just wishful thinking, but does anyone know if this Oxford Economics group has any credibility?
This post was edited on 5/21 at 3:21 am


LuckyTiger
Minnesota Fan
Someone's Alter
Member since Dec 2008
21469 posts
 Online 

re: Oxford Economic:Biden Will Wallop Trump
Is this like the Ferguson Model on Coronavirus?


stelly1025
LSU Fan
Lafayette
Member since May 2012
4952 posts

re: Oxford Economic:Biden Will Wallop Trump
quote:

model run by forecasting firm Oxford Economics now sees Biden beating Trump by historic margins, due to an economy deeply damaged by the coronavirus recession. 


Well that is not wishcasting. This is a stupid bet if this model thinks the American people are going to blame Trump for a virus and then pull the lever for a man with dementia to replace him. With how authoritarian the left has become with this I think that Trump will probably outperform in blue areas and flip some places he isn't expected to.


Strannix
Stephen F. Austin Fan
President Donald J. Trump
Member since Dec 2012
27989 posts

re: Oxford Economic:Biden Will Wallop Trump
quote:

The outcome would give Biden 65% of the popular vote, 


prepare yourself for the endless polls and models that show Trump losing in a landslide, it doesn't work but the Demedia machine is committed to republican voter suppression via poll as a form of psychological warfare.

Remember Hillary has a 98% chance of winning the election.


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451
PowerTool
Houston Fan
The dark side of the road
Member since Dec 2009
15596 posts

re: Oxford Economic:Biden Will Wallop Trump
quote:

due to an economy deeply damaged by the coronavirus recession.


Wonder why state and local Democrat officials are desperately trying to prolong the shutdown?

This is why.

And they want mail-in voting just for insurance.

This is all about November.


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312
ClampClampington
Nebraska Fan
Nebraska
Member since Jun 2017
1974 posts
 Online 

re: Oxford Economic:Biden Will Wallop Trump
I watched Biden’s virtual “rally” yesterday and every time he gets in front of the camera it’s still like watching the Hindenburg hit the ground in slow motion. No policy at all, talking noticeably slower and still can’t get words out during a 10 minute pre written speech.
No matter how the economy looks come this fall, Biden is going to have talk economic policy at some point, or Trumps just going to beat him over the head with the fact that all he has run on to this point is taxing the hell out of Americans. That’ll play great in a recession.
This post was edited on 5/21 at 4:16 am


LSU Coyote
Houston Astros Fan
Member since Sep 2007
28102 posts

re: Oxford Economic:Biden Will Wallop Trump
It won't be an easy win for our President, which is disturbing.


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163
Strannix
Stephen F. Austin Fan
President Donald J. Trump
Member since Dec 2012
27989 posts

re: Oxford Economic:Biden Will Wallop Trump
We had the best economy in history with Trump until a worldwide pandemic so that means I need to go vote for a corrupt old dementia addled fool.....ok


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292
Barstools
Georgia Fan
Atlanta
Member since Jan 2016
5695 posts
 Online 

re: Oxford Economic:Biden Will Wallop Trump
Yeah, no.


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IslandBuckeye
Ohio State Fan
St. Thomas, USVI
Member since Apr 2018
4305 posts
 Online 

re: Oxford Economic:Biden Will Wallop Trump
Just like the UK model that predicted how many Covid deaths?

How many times was it revised?


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81
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USA
Member since 2001
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TiptonInSC
South Carolina Fan
Aiken, SC
Member since Dec 2012
14740 posts

re: Oxford Economic:Biden Will Wallop Trump
This is almost like deja vu all over again, except the bitch.......never mind


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71
Walkthedawg
Georgia Fan
Dawg Pound
Member since Oct 2012
9127 posts

re: Oxford Economic:Biden Will Wallop Trump
Just heard gropinjoe has a 10 point lead? Our country is screwed if 50% of the people are willing to vote for that dumb@ss to lead our country. Good Lord, he can’t even put 2 sentences together.


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151
gthog61
Georgia Tech Fan
Irving, TX
Member since Nov 2009
58247 posts

re: Oxford Economic:Biden Will Wallop Trump
We are under an all out propaganda attack.

That's about like Saddam winning elections with 99% of the vote.


TurkeyBaconLeg
Texas A&M Fan
Houston
Member since Jul 2018
1249 posts

re: Oxford Economic:Biden Will Wallop Trump
We all know the Democrat/Deep State playbook when it comes to polls and elections.

We all know the media bias.

This is why their bull shite wont work.

JUST ABOUT EVERY SINGLE PERSON THAT VOTED FOR TRUMP IN 2016 WILL VOTE FOR HIM AGAIN. And millions more former Dems and Independents will join them.

Let that sink in.


scottfruget
Wofford Fan
Member since Nov 2010
2106 posts

re: Oxford Economic:Biden Will Wallop Trump
It’s time boys and girls. Someone has got to publish our model. We can call it something real intellectual. Then have it say that before the wuhan flu Trump was going to win bigly, but after draconian measures by dem governors and the fakiest of news by the MSM, he wins bigglier than that.


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41
Mahootney
Florida State Fan
Lovin' My German Footprint
Member since Sep 2008
10011 posts

re: Oxford Economic:Biden Will Wallop Trump
Libertarians and Republicans will turn to Trump too. It's gonna be a blood bath.

I am just so disappointed this all has become a play for power instead of staying true to the original purpose of service to the country and fellow citizens.
Trump has done a darn fine job. Has kept promises, and has even tried to help Dems too. And all they've done is tried to block him at every turn.


TejasHorn
Texas Fan
High Plains Driftin'
Member since Mar 2007
7653 posts

re: Oxford Economic:Biden Will Wallop Trump
6 months is an eternity in politics. The debates could completely change things. And if the elections were held today it would be closer than these polls are saying.

There is still some sampling error when it comes to Trump.. a unique animal in all of American politics and political history.
This post was edited on 5/21 at 6:09 am


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110
scottfruget
Wofford Fan
Member since Nov 2010
2106 posts

re: Oxford Economic:Biden Will Wallop Trump
What a dumb take


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TrueTiger
LSU Fan
Chicken's most valuable
Member since Sep 2004
41977 posts
 Online 

re: Oxford Economic:Biden Will Wallop Trump

quote:

model


unless it's the kind that walks down a runway,

I loose interest quickly.


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MsHoghunter
Member since Oct 2017
1699 posts
 Online 

re: Oxford Economic:Biden Will Wallop Trump
If Biden were to win then this country is truly a lost cause and will eventually collapse under the weight of its own stupidity probably within a generation


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