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re: Official US/Israel vs Iran war thread
Posted on 4/8/26 at 8:25 pm to hawgfaninc
Posted on 4/8/26 at 8:25 pm to hawgfaninc
There is no refinery in Lavan, it is a terminal. It's near a gas field so it has a frac plant and the "oil" is condensate, aka pentanes plus or natural gasoline but not what a car can run on
I stand corrected. It is a tinker toy refinery.
I stand corrected. It is a tinker toy refinery.
This post was edited on 4/8/26 at 8:54 pm
Posted on 4/8/26 at 8:26 pm to Ingeniero
quote:
This is all true, but I'm less concerned about the chaos that is the "agreement" and more concerned that Iran seems to be approaching this with unserious demands. There are several things that they apparently consider deal breakers that are non-starters for us.
I agree, and some of those are known nonstarters. Which leads to the question of why waste the time with this "ceasefire"? The Pakistani PM's tweet kind of came out of nowhere at the perfect time. It was awfully convenient.
Posted on 4/8/26 at 8:31 pm to hawgfaninc
Maybe the newly discovered international language of shitposting Twitter will bring the world together to realize…maybe we all share a common interest.
Posted on 4/8/26 at 8:32 pm to hawgfaninc
quote:
arguing the regime must confront Israel and the U.S.
Posted on 4/8/26 at 8:36 pm to hawgfaninc
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here. quote:
Operation Epic Fury Geolocation Thread
Ceasefire Day 1 - 8th April 2026
The first day of the ceasefire is underway - but "ceasefire" feels generous.
Missile launches from Iran continued this morning, whilst Iran's Lavan Island oil refinery has been struck, and the Israeli / Hezbollah conflict shows no sign of slowing. Despite claims from Donald Trump that the Strait is open, there's no evidence of oil tankers actually transiting it.
Meanwhile, we're still processing damage assessments from strikes conducted during Operation Epic Fury. Updates are ongoing as new data comes in - in many cases with significant delay. For example, strikes on Mashhad Airbase observed on the 2nd are only now yielding results.
A quick note: the geolocation work behind this is slow, methodical, and often thankless. The people doing it are working with limited tools, and spending hours of their time for no reward
Full details in the geolocations below.
Posted on 4/8/26 at 8:50 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
The Pakistani PM's tweet kind of came out of nowhere at the perfect time. It was awfully convenient.

Posted on 4/8/26 at 8:51 pm to hawgfaninc
False I was told here Iran was reasonable and did not fire anything since the agreement.
Posted on 4/8/26 at 9:37 pm to ninthward
Apparently this whole cease fire thing was a ploy to cause infighting from within the IRGC. Maybe see how each commander reacts so we know which ones are better targets.
Posted on 4/8/26 at 9:38 pm to omegaman66
Posted on 4/8/26 at 9:41 pm to BayouBengal51
Posted on 4/8/26 at 10:01 pm to BayouBengal51
Posted on 4/8/26 at 10:07 pm to BayouBengal51
quote:
“I wonder how good he is at understanding English, because there are things that he said during our negotiations that frankly didn't make sense.”
Well, JD......we still made the damn deal with him.
ETA: That deal was made with a lifelong member of the regime that we have said is "totally changed" who, reportedly, is crazy and "makes no sense". No wonder this has been such a shitshow.
This post was edited on 4/8/26 at 10:10 pm
Posted on 4/8/26 at 10:08 pm to Stat M Repairman
Well, back in the day . This is what one did, period.
Posted on 4/8/26 at 10:17 pm to Stat M Repairman
Isn't it already a law all males in the united states must register for the draft once they turn 18?
Posted on 4/8/26 at 10:38 pm to wfallstiger
Posted on 4/8/26 at 10:43 pm to BayouBengal51
Hard to know if Mossad is sharing Intel or justification for bombing their neighbors.
Their intelligence on Iran nuclear capabilities doesn’t match what our DNI testified their capabilities are…
Their intelligence on Iran nuclear capabilities doesn’t match what our DNI testified their capabilities are…
Posted on 4/8/26 at 10:57 pm to hawgfaninc
Posted on 4/8/26 at 10:58 pm to hawgfaninc
Posted on 4/8/26 at 11:00 pm to AGGIES
Does anyone think that Israel will be willing, long term, to allow Iran to collect tolls which allow them to earn $90 billion a year to build rockets and nukes? Iran is using a narrow mine-free corridor in their territorial waters to escort ships which have paid the toll. All Israel has to do is place its own mines in those waters, and suddenly Iran's oil and toll income goes down to zero. I fully expect them to do it at some point, probably using foreign made mines that allow them to deny having done it themselves.
Any Gulf state such as the UAE could do the same thing, but that would screw them as well since their oil needs to exit the Strait. So Israel seems much more likely.
Any Gulf state such as the UAE could do the same thing, but that would screw them as well since their oil needs to exit the Strait. So Israel seems much more likely.
This post was edited on 4/8/26 at 11:01 pm
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