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re: Official US/Israel vs Iran war thread

Posted on 6/6/26 at 11:46 am to
Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
26783 posts
Posted on 6/6/26 at 11:46 am to
That island up at the top of the Strait would make an "unsinkable aircraft carrier" should we take it. It would be a big loss of face to the IRGC especially if it was known that we wouldn't give it back as long as the regime isn't changed.

The question is how to protect it from drones.


This post was edited on 6/6/26 at 11:58 am
Posted by wdhalgren
Member since May 2013
5460 posts
Posted on 6/6/26 at 11:50 am to
quote:

The question is how to protect it from drones.


Our military has been talking about lasers for a long time now. I'm not an expert, but it seems like they'd be useful for that, if they work.
Posted by RetiredSaintsLsuFan
NW Arkansas
Member since Jun 2020
2496 posts
Posted on 6/6/26 at 11:53 am to
quote:

You really got to believe that Iran nuking US soil is credible (it isn't in my opinion) to make that price worth it.


I do believe a dirty bomb would be a credible threat.
Posted by BigTigerJoe
Member since Aug 2022
14288 posts
Posted on 6/6/26 at 12:19 pm to
Posted by omegaman66
greenwell springs
Member since Oct 2007
27343 posts
Posted on 6/6/26 at 12:22 pm to
quote:

During that time they've been continually building their conventional forces, with assistance from China,


You forgot to mention Obama.
Posted by TulsaSooner78
Member since Aug 2025
3359 posts
Posted on 6/6/26 at 12:23 pm to
quote:

Our military has been talking about lasers for a long time now. I'm not an expert, but it seems like they'd be useful for that, if they work.


There is probably some pimply-faced 15-year old kid living in his momma's basement somewhere in the midwest that could hack into Iran's drone control system and disable them all.
Posted by ItTakesAThief
Scottsdale, Arizona
Member since Dec 2009
10787 posts
Posted on 6/6/26 at 1:10 pm to
Is that island in artillery range from the mainland of Iran? Or the mountains?
Posted by jeffsdad
Member since Mar 2007
25017 posts
Posted on 6/6/26 at 1:50 pm to
Yes.
Posted by BayouBengal51
Forest Hill, Louisiana
Member since Nov 2006
10373 posts
Posted on 6/6/26 at 1:58 pm to
Posted by Nomad0369
Member since Jun 2026
53 posts
Posted on 6/6/26 at 2:03 pm to
quote:

That island up at the top of the Strait would make an "unsinkable aircraft carrier" should we take it. It would be a big loss of face to the IRGC especially if it was known that we wouldn't give it back as long as the regime isn't changed. The question is how to protect it from drones.


You protect it by putting a large amount of air defenses on it. It’ll basically act as a sponge for most of the drones and missiles that would otherwise be intended for threatening shipping through the strait. Combine that with a large naval presence patrolling the strait we should be able to keep the sea lanes open for commercial traffic. And everytime Iran launches a drone or missile we’d have an opportunity to target its launch point.

It doesn’t appear that the civilians are going to rise up against the regime so this is probably the only way to salvage a “win” from this war.
Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
26783 posts
Posted on 6/6/26 at 2:31 pm to
quote:

Is that island in artillery range from the mainland of Iran? Or the mountains?


Measured it on Google Earth Pro and it is well within artillery range of the Iran coast. However, American artillery would have a big advantage with Himars and Excalibur either one of which can put a shell down a chimney 40 miles away.

Drones are the concern as that's in drone range too.
Posted by omegaman66
greenwell springs
Member since Oct 2007
27343 posts
Posted on 6/6/26 at 2:51 pm to
What would we gain from taking an island that is doing nothing and putting people in harms way to keep a presence there.

We can stop their oil tankers in the ocean already.
Posted by Nomad0369
Member since Jun 2026
53 posts
Posted on 6/6/26 at 2:54 pm to
We’d control the strait instead of Iran. It’s about everyone else’s oil tankers, not theirs.
Posted by Diego Ricardo
Alabama
Member since Dec 2020
13459 posts
Posted on 6/6/26 at 4:07 pm to
quote:

I do believe a dirty bomb would be a credible threat.

Fair, but my point is to what end? Great, they dirty bomb a US city. What’s next? The end of Iran as a nation.
Posted by riverdiver
Summerville SC
Member since May 2022
3031 posts
Posted on 6/6/26 at 5:03 pm to
quote:

I am older now but some grand nephews and niece are in the Air Force now.


What do they do in the AF?
Posted by BayouBengal51
Forest Hill, Louisiana
Member since Nov 2006
10373 posts
Posted on 6/6/26 at 5:10 pm to
I really don't like this idea if the Islamic Republic is allowed to remain in power. I just have the feeling those "Gulf Allies" will just funnel it right back to Iran and the Mullahs.

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Posted by omegaman66
greenwell springs
Member since Oct 2007
27343 posts
Posted on 6/6/26 at 5:18 pm to
You have to control the entire area to secure the strait, not just a few locations. As long as they can fire into the strait, doesn't matter where from, shopping will avoid it.
Posted by trinidadtiger
Member since Jun 2017
20219 posts
Posted on 6/6/26 at 5:22 pm to
quote:

This is great and all but I think it is fair to state that this is also coming at a cost to the US domestic economy too. What is that number? It seems to be making another rate hike from the Fed a possibility.


The fed does not use fuel costs in core inflation calculations, because of temporary fluctuations.
Posted by Nomad0369
Member since Jun 2026
53 posts
Posted on 6/6/26 at 5:24 pm to
quote:

You have to control the entire area to secure the strait, not just a few locations. As long as they can fire into the strait, doesn't matter where from, shopping will avoid it.


Yes. That’s where the naval escorts come in. The islands will absorb a lot of the drones and missiles relieving pressure on the ships transiting the strait.
Posted by ItTakesAThief
Scottsdale, Arizona
Member since Dec 2009
10787 posts
Posted on 6/6/26 at 5:29 pm to
The islands won’t absorb it. IS troops on the islands will.

One wants to be used as cannon fodder. They won’t have access to bunkers there.
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