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Texaggie96
Texas A&M Fan
Member since Dec 2018
767 posts
 Online 

Not looking good for MAGA in Alaska

First ballot (59% reporting):

Lisa Murkowsku 50,509
Kelly Tshibaka 49,044
Patricia Chesbro (D) 7,293
Buzz Kelley (R) 2,699
Pat Nolin (R) 1,324
Ivan Taylor (D) 1,231
Edgar Blatchford (D) 1,054



Sneakerhead42
Kentucky Fan
North Pole, Alaska
Member since Dec 2014
1835 posts

Yeah this sucks. I see vote Kelly and Trump 24 flags everywhere in Fairbanks but Anchorage will vote differently. This doesn’t surprise me
This post was edited on 8/17 at 2:14 am


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180
Sneakerhead42
Kentucky Fan
North Pole, Alaska
Member since Dec 2014
1835 posts

Also the new Alaska voting system is dumb


Texaggie96
Texas A&M Fan
Member since Dec 2018
767 posts
 Online 

quote:

Also the new Alaska voting system is dumb


How so? Doesn't it allow the candidates with the most support to advance?

Considering Alaska has elected Senators with < 40% popular support over the past few years, I figured you guys would like a candidate that actually had the majority of the population supporting them.


Jack Ruby
US Space Force Fan
Member since Apr 2014
18438 posts

Who the hell is voting for Murkowski at all??


HailHailtoMichigan!
US Space Force Fan
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
68072 posts

Ranked voice voting is stupid and overly complicated


lsuguy84
USA Fan
CO
Member since Feb 2009
12215 posts

Go frick yourself


BoarEd
USA Fan
The Hills
Member since Oct 2015
38065 posts

His Xanax must be kicking in. I think earlier when he heard about Cheney he was sitting in the corner hyperventilating into a brown paper bag.


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387
KAGTASTIC
USA Fan
Member since Feb 2022
2242 posts

quote:

Lisa Murkowsku 50,509
Kelly Tshibaka 49,044


Wouldn't this mean both move forward to a head to head in the NOV general election? If so, not sure why this is "Not looking good for MAGA in Alaska". Being that top 2 is key in this round.


Revelator
Member since Nov 2008
52656 posts
 Online 

The Ranked voting system might have played in to these results


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Texaggie96
Texas A&M Fan
Member since Dec 2018
767 posts
 Online 

quote:

quote: Lisa Murkowsku 50,509 Kelly Tshibaka 49,044 Wouldn't this mean both move forward to a head to head in the NOV general election? If so, not sure why this is "Not looking good for MAGA in Alaska". Being that top 2 is key in this round.


In ranked voting, everyone's vote counts. If their candidate is nixed (because they lack sufficient votes to advance), their votes go to their next ranked choice.

In this case Democrats will likely vote for Murkowski and Republicans will likely split depending on the candidate they initially voted for).

It indicates that Murkowski likely has more support (for the general election) then Tshibaka.


Texaggie96
Texas A&M Fan
Member since Dec 2018
767 posts
 Online 

quote:

The Ranked voting system might have played in to these results


The results in question are first round. Ranked tabulation happens later.


Pelican fan99
New York Yankees Fan
Lafayette, Louisiana
Member since Jun 2013
31099 posts
 Online 

Whatever happened to Sarah Palin running against her


IT_Dawg
Georgia Fan
Georgia
Member since Oct 2012
19176 posts

quote:

It indicates that Murkowski likely has more support (for the general election) then Tshibaka.


While I do agree with this statement and think that bitch will unfortunately win in November…..
it could also be a result of it’s a primary that the top 4 advance to general election and a lot of people might not have went out to vote. And some democrats who might have voted will stay home with no real chance for the (D) candidate in November
This post was edited on 8/17 at 3:27 am


Revelator
Member since Nov 2008
52656 posts
 Online 

quote:

The results in question are first round. Ranked tabulation happens later.


Got it.


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Texaggie96
Texas A&M Fan
Member since Dec 2018
767 posts
 Online 

quote:

While I do agree with this statement and think that bitch will unfortunately win in November….. it could also be a result of it’s a primary that the top 4 advance to general election and a lot of people might not have went out to vote. And some democrats who might have voted will stay home with no real chance for the (D) candidate in November


Quite the contrary: Far more people have gone out to vote than in any previous year in history in Alaska.

I'll pull the figures from 2018, because the 2020 primary was basically unattended and it was a Presidential election year (vs current off year)


2018:
Primary:
Republicans voting in Primary: 63.4k
Democrats voting in Primary: 36k
Total voted in Primary; 99.4k

General election:
Republican: 145.6
Democrat 125.7
Total voted in general election: 271.3k

For comparison:
2020 General election figures:
Trump: 189,951
Biden: 153,778
Total: 343,729

Compare that to current data:

With 142,055 votes counted @ 60.5% reporting)
Lisa Murkowski 61,503 votes 43.3%
Kelly Tshibaka 58,257 votes 41.0%
Patricia Chesbro 8,810 votes 6.2%


Estimated voting is about 234k, which is massive for a primary. The main difference? Independents, which make up almost 40% of the Alaska registered voters can actually vote in the primaries to determine who represents them.


Texaggie96
Texas A&M Fan
Member since Dec 2018
767 posts
 Online 

quote:

Whatever happened to Sarah Palin running against her


Palin is running for the House seat that Don Young held before his death.


GeauxGutsy
USA Fan
Member since Jul 2017
3508 posts
 Online 

quote:

might not have went


Cringe


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74
moneyg
LSU Fan
Member since Jun 2006
48449 posts

quote:

Ranked voice voting is stupid and overly complicated



It's much worse than that.

It makes the person's vote who honestly ranks candidates worth a lot less than the person who decides to vote in a win at all costs manner.

Even worse, it makes fraudulent votes injected into the system even more valuable for the same reason.

The important part is that Murkowski played a role in having the law changed because it would benefit her. These people have no shame. They will do anything they can to stay in power.


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217
udtiger
US Space Force Fan
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
89006 posts
 Online 

quote:

Ranked voice voting is antidemocrat and a retirement plan for incumbents
This post was edited on 8/17 at 7:10 am


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