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re: No ground troops

Posted on 3/8/26 at 10:41 am to
Posted by Great Plains Drifter
Flyover, U.S.A.
Member since Jul 2019
9636 posts
Posted on 3/8/26 at 10:41 am to
This operation is (barely) over one week old, the Islamic Republic has had its top levels of leadership eliminated, is down to a fraction of it’s ability to respond and the hand-wringing and second guessing and worrying by all the board’s military experts is already at a pace you’d think we are at disaster level.

This generation would’ve never maintained its collective sanity during WWII.
Posted by Jbird
Shoot the tires out!
Member since Oct 2012
89071 posts
Posted on 3/8/26 at 10:41 am to
quote:

China is one of the leading experts in this area currently.

What cheap substandard infrastructure?

quote:

Why wouldn't the new regime go with the cheaper (at least short term) option?
You are assuming all they want or need is that.
Posted by meansonny
ATL
Member since Sep 2012
26418 posts
Posted on 3/8/26 at 10:42 am to
quote:

quote:
Assuming the new guys want to go with a marginal China, sure.

China is one of the leading experts in this area currently.


China offers unlimited debt which can never be repaid.
Then they foreclose on assets after the inevitable default.

Is that what you mean by "leading experts" with their China first mentality?
Posted by MizzouBS
Missouri
Member since Dec 2014
6845 posts
Posted on 3/8/26 at 10:42 am to
quote:

The power vacuum we’re creating there is going to be taken advantage of by terror groups unless we supervise the change on the ground, and we all know how that will unfold.

70% to 80% of Iranians want a regime change. 95% of Iranians outside of Iran want a regime change. In 2000 a majority of people in Afghanistan wanted a regime change. The Taliban controlled less than 90% of the country and was becoming less popular. Now the Taliban controls 100% and they are more strict. There will be a power vacuum and we need to control it better than we tried in Afghanistan. We can’t make ME countries like the West overnight

The American military can’t be the only country on the ground helping with a regime change. US, Egyptian, and Pakistani group effort would be the best partnership. Maybe even an Indonesian delegate can help. Keeping Muslim countries involved in the change should make it easier. Egypt, Pakistan, and Indonesia have a good relationship.
This post was edited on 3/8/26 at 10:46 am
Posted by Load Toad
Haughton, LA
Member since Aug 2008
2527 posts
Posted on 3/8/26 at 10:47 am to
I can see troops can capture military bases or nuclear complexes in Iran.
Posted by Woolfpack
Member since Jun 2021
1613 posts
Posted on 3/8/26 at 10:49 am to
quote:

Sure, but that's not "castrated" in any way.


Its pretty well known China was castrated when the US operated, nearly unscathed, in point blank range of the latest and greatest Chinese anti aircraft weapons during the Venezuela field trip.
Posted by goatmilker
Castle Anthrax
Member since Feb 2009
75905 posts
Posted on 3/8/26 at 10:50 am to
And China and Russia

The fox's are already in the hen house.
Posted by FoTownBam
Foley Al
Member since Oct 2023
4573 posts
Posted on 3/8/26 at 10:54 am to
quote:

I don’t see how an acceptable regime change happens without ground troops

Trump never said ground troops won’t be deployed, he said our ground troops won’t be deployed. I keep hearing you bumbling morons complain that this is Israel’s war, well that’s exactly who’s going to deploy ground troops
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
472868 posts
Posted on 3/8/26 at 10:58 am to
quote:

China offers unlimited debt which can never be repaid.
Then they foreclose on assets after the inevitable default.

Is that what you mean by "leading experts" with their China first mentality?


That's one route.

Offering cheaper goods/services (at least initially) is also another route. They believe in loss leaders in the short term for long term relationships, and, at least historically, they can sustain these periods of initial losses longer than an American company can.
Posted by meansonny
ATL
Member since Sep 2012
26418 posts
Posted on 3/8/26 at 10:59 am to
quote:



I don't support this war.

I'm just giving reasons why the conflict is likely to turn out bad in discussing the regime change/no regime change scenarios, to explain my stance above.


All war is bad.
You don't need to contribute anything.
That is baseline understood.

You have your motivations. And they literally are not needed due to the basis that war is bad.

Edit to add: some things are worse. Not fighting in wars can be worse.

Good bye.
This post was edited on 3/8/26 at 11:01 am
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
472868 posts
Posted on 3/8/26 at 11:02 am to
quote:

All war is bad.
You don't need to contribute anything.
That is baseline understood.


I said THIS war is bad, and isn't likely to lead to positive outcomes.

It's not about a "baseline" or "all war is bad" statement, which I never made.

quote:

some things are worse. Not fighting in wars can be worse.

Can be? Sure

Has history proven that to be the case with the ME? No
Posted by BOHICAMAN
Member since Feb 2026
1159 posts
Posted on 3/8/26 at 11:05 am to
quote:

I keep hearing you bumbling morons complain that this is Israel’s war, well that’s exactly who’s going to deploy ground troops


Highly unlikely.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
472868 posts
Posted on 3/8/26 at 11:06 am to
Does Israel have enough ground troops to occupy Iran?

Even ignoring their occupation of Gaza. Could they do it at full force?
Posted by VOR
New Orleans
Member since Apr 2009
68508 posts
Posted on 3/8/26 at 11:06 am to
How can we get to the nuclear fuel sites to verify destruction without ground troops?
Posted by Bass Tiger
Member since Oct 2014
55350 posts
Posted on 3/8/26 at 11:10 am to
quote:

Not part of his “current” plan. I don’t see how an acceptable regime change happens without ground troops in some capacity. The power vacuum we’re creating there is going to be taken advantage of by terror groups unless we supervise the change on the ground, and we all know how that will unfold.

I say we save money, time, and American lives by just bombing the hell out of them, tell them to do what they can to take over their own country, and if the terrorists take it again and start their shite again, we bomb then another time in the future. No ground troops, but I don’t see how Trump’s goal is accomplished without them.


I'm frequently reminded by many on this forum how Trump conducts business. Trump's negotiating style is to ask for everything. Trump knows he's likely not getting everything he wants from the Islamic Regime, what Trump will settle for is anyone's guess.

The best case scenario is a street level uprising overwhelms the Islamic Regime and removes them from power and the Islamic theocracy is replaced with a government that is tolerant of Western civilization and friendly with its ME neighbors........a Persian nation that pledges to end all pursuit of nuclear weapons.

If this ^^^^ were to happen Trump would literally get everything he's wanting. I think if the US sends in US ground forces to exact regime change you will see a long and protracted struggle to do so. Look how long it took just to get Iraq stabilized again after Saddam Hussein was ousted, now imagine the US trying to keep peace and order at the same time with both Iraq and Iran.

No, the best case scenario is the only lasting solution and that is the Persian people rising up and doing away with the Islamic Regime.
Posted by BOHICAMAN
Member since Feb 2026
1159 posts
Posted on 3/8/26 at 11:13 am to
quote:

How can we get to the nuclear fuel sites to verify destruction without ground troops?


If we get a favorable regime in place it doesn’t really matter
Posted by Broyota2
Member since Nov 2010
13680 posts
Posted on 3/8/26 at 11:18 am to
Well I guess the whole no new wars and America first “policy” was a f’n lie Trump will somehow cave to Israel like he does every time and we’ll have troops in there somehow.
Posted by Woolfpack
Member since Jun 2021
1613 posts
Posted on 3/8/26 at 11:19 am to
When Iran becomes the 52nd state we can be assured they aren’t building nukes. This might be a few weeks away but it’s in the bag.

Who will be the governor is the real question.

Who knows, Obama might get to visit his “57 states” after all.
Posted by Jbird
Shoot the tires out!
Member since Oct 2012
89071 posts
Posted on 3/8/26 at 11:21 am to
Soccer queen enters the fray.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
472868 posts
Posted on 3/8/26 at 11:22 am to
quote:

The best case scenario is a street level uprising overwhelms the Islamic Regime and removes them from power and the Islamic theocracy is replaced with a government that is tolerant of Western civilization and friendly with its ME neighbors........a Persian nation that pledges to end all pursuit of nuclear weapons.


The 2 questions are:

1. Is this possible?
2. How long and bloody would the sectarian violence be before it can emerge?
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