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re: New PA poll: Donald Trump: 48.4% Joe Biden: 45.5 %

Posted on 10/27/20 at 7:28 am to
Posted by Robin Masters
Birmingham
Member since Jul 2010
29820 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 7:28 am to
quote:

I'm going to transition oil, yes."


Biggest gaffe in election history.
Posted by ChexMix
Taste the Deliciousness
Member since Apr 2014
25034 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 7:32 am to
The lockdowns are being blamed on the Democrats. LANDSLIDE coming
Posted by WeeWee
Member since Aug 2012
40139 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 7:32 am to
quote:

The same poll had Biden in the lead less than two weeks ago.


As someone who lives on the border of SWPA and spends multiple days per week seeing pt's in a clinic in SWPA. I can confirm that Biden's comments about transitioning away from oil and gas was basically the political equivalent of the Titanic hitting the ice berg.
Posted by Fat Bastard
coach, investor, gambler
Member since Mar 2009
72683 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 7:32 am to




Posted by Dissident Aggressor
Member since Aug 2011
3786 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 7:34 am to
quote:

Republicans have been early voting in big numbers also


yep
Posted by sweetwaterbilly
Member since Mar 2017
19351 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 7:36 am to
quote:

“Trump also continues to hold about 14% of the African American vote in this survey. In twenty years of polling, and as one who has polled Pennsylvania many times, I have never seen a Republican candidate consistently hold these type of numbers among black voters this close to an election. And this appears to be a developing trend in numerous states.”


Dan Bongino interviewed the guy from the Trafalgar group the other day and he said Trump could very well get 20% of the black vote nationally but we'll never know it. Those folks won't be honest on the phone so they certainly aren't going to be honest with exit pollers in person. I believe this will be the largest amount of black support a Republican has ever had.
Posted by fjlee90
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2016
7837 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 7:49 am to
quote:

As someone who lives on the border of SWPA and spends multiple days per week seeing pt's in a clinic in SWPA. I can confirm that Biden's comments about transitioning away from oil and gas was basically the political equivalent of the Titanic hitting the ice berg.


Worse. He backed the boat up and rammed it again for good measure.
Posted by 14&Counting
Eugene, OR
Member since Jul 2012
37642 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 7:53 am to
Sunsetting the energy industry may go down as the dumbest thing uttered since "Read My Lips: No New Taxes"
Posted by MeatCleaverWeaver
Member since Oct 2013
22175 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 7:54 am to
MAGA has a shot at the popular vote this time
Posted by bhtigerfan
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2008
29481 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 7:57 am to
quote:

“Trump also continues to hold about 14% of the African American vote in this survey. In twenty years of polling, and as one who has polled Pennsylvania many times, I have never seen a Republican candidate consistently hold these type of numbers among black voters this close to an election. And this appears to be a developing trend in numerous states.”
Posted by MeatCleaverWeaver
Member since Oct 2013
22175 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 7:59 am to
quote:

Trump also continues to hold about 14% of the African American vote in this survey. In twenty years of polling, and as one who has polled Pennsylvania many times, I have never seen a Republican candidate consistently hold these type of numbers among black voters this close to an election. And this appears to be a developing trend in numerous states.”


The fat lady has cleared her throat
Posted by bhtigerfan
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2008
29481 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 8:02 am to
quote:

The same poll had Biden in the lead less than two weeks ago. Why?
Because their previous polls were absolute bullshite designed to give the appearance of Biden’s popularity and suppress the Trump vote.

This is nothing but a case of “covering their arse” and reputation.
Posted by MeTarzanYouInsane
Lower Bucks
Member since Sep 2013
567 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 8:13 am to
I'm in a purple county in PA. I see more Biden yard signs but when there is a Trump rally, it's crazy busy. But, the one thing people keep overlooking is our mail in voting laws and that they don't all need to be received by election day to count nor will they even check the post mark. I GUARANTEE you that PA won't be decided on 11/3 and about 500,000 mail in ballots from Philly and Pittsburg will come in all D. No chance R wins PA.
Posted by HurricaneTiger
Coral Gables, FL
Member since Jan 2014
3028 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 8:17 am to
What’s really strange in this poll is two things.
First, the number of independents is extremely low.
Second, they are majorly for Biden when Trump won them in 2016.

I’m not sure about the other demographics, but that is a huge flag to me. That’s like Trump losing white males by 20 points type of strange, and with this error Trump STILL being ahead.

Probably need to increase the sample size, but I do think that the lead could be bigger if more independents were sampled.
Posted by LSU Patrick
Member since Jan 2009
73512 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 8:20 am to
The fraud in Philly is going to be ridiculous.
Posted by Fat Bastard
coach, investor, gambler
Member since Mar 2009
72683 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 8:23 am to
remember in 2012 philly had a district vote like 120% democrat? CAN U SAY FRAUD??
Posted by Fat Bastard
coach, investor, gambler
Member since Mar 2009
72683 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 8:25 am to
quote:

MAGA has a shot at the popular vote this time




yet he has not campaigned for that. if he was he would spend time in cali, portland, seattle and chicago.

he campaigns for EV.
Posted by Vacherie Saint
Member since Aug 2015
39498 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 8:27 am to
But REEEEE?

Seriously, these philly riots might put Trump over the top. There might be some positive political outcomes from BLM after all!
Posted by Pettifogger
Capitol Hill Autonomous Zone
Member since Feb 2012
79234 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 8:30 am to
At this point I don't think Trump has a shot w/o PA

Hopefully this poll is legit, FL and OH hang on and GA, AZ and NC come through
Posted by Fat Bastard
coach, investor, gambler
Member since Mar 2009
72683 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 8:44 am to
quote:

At this point I don't think Trump has a shot w/o PA



wrong
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