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re: Nate Silver’s latest election model update has Kamala Harris winning for the first time

Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:43 pm to
Posted by Big EZ Tiger
Member since Jul 2010
26279 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:43 pm to
quote:

No surprise. The Republicans continue to be their own worst enemy. Nominating the one guy least likely to win is brilliant.

98% of the rest of Republicans are mostly worthless just like Democrats, but just not as bad. Might as well nominate Trump since he was the one guy who actually did things he said he would do or tried to in numerous areas. People wouldn't even care enough to get out and vote for 98% of the rest of Republicans.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
466158 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:43 pm to
quote:

gaining more support from the people inside GA that dislike Kemp of course

These people don't exist.

Kemp is much more well-liked in GA than Trump

Anyone who irrationally hates Kemp was already voting Trump

quote:

and the growing number of people in GA that are becoming dissatisfied with GOPe BS in their state

The same people who support Kemp at a much higher rate than Trump?

Posted by imjustafatkid
Alabama
Member since Dec 2011
62645 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:43 pm to
quote:

Nate Silver’s latest election model update has Kamala Harris winning for the first time


Nate Silver in December: "see, I always gave Trump a chance!"
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
466158 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:43 pm to
quote:

So you're just uneducated

How much money do you want to bet that nobody associated with 2020 will be arrested/prosecuted for treason EVEN IF Trump wins?
Posted by Madking
Member since Apr 2016
66509 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:44 pm to
He disappeared and refused to even comment on it. He wasn’t about to cross his masters by condemning Democrat political violence in his own state and cities.
This post was edited on 8/4/24 at 6:44 pm
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
466158 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:45 pm to
quote:

He disappeared and refused to even comment on it.

I don't think there was any evidence to comment on. Hell, in 2024, I don't think this evidence is out there to comment on.

We have all been waiting for the Kraken for almost 4 years now
Posted by FairhopeTider
Fairhope, Alabama
Member since May 2012
22368 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:45 pm to
quote:

gaining more support from the people inside GA that dislike Kemp of course and the growing number of people in GA that are becoming dissatisfied with GOPe BS in their state


FFS. Kemp has a 63% approval rating.
Posted by LuckyTiger
Someone's Alter
Member since Dec 2008
50951 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:46 pm to
quote:

My statement stands

That you see things how they should be, not as they are. You can’t change reality. All you can do is prognosticate and theorize based upon what you think things should be. None of that changes reality.

Regarding Obama…

Kamala is beginning to receive a level of protection and support like no other since Obama. It began a couple weeks ago and will be the reality moving forward.

Identity politics and ideology will rule and carry the day.
Posted by Bunk Moreland
Member since Dec 2010
66663 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:46 pm to
I think he should shut up for the time being and use Kemp the way he does Lindsey. For all of the bluster about Trump being anti-establishment, he sure sucks up to one of the worst GOPe neocon scumbags of them all. Why not do it here in order to the get the W?
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
466158 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:47 pm to
quote:

That you see things how they should be, not as they are.

No. The fact that there was no fight is how things are.

Trump having a random temper tantrum because his feelings got hurt doesn't change that. Hell, Kemp's response didn't even start a fight and he made sure the focus was not on him, but beating Kamala. Trump needs to start focusing on that goal, too.
Posted by Madking
Member since Apr 2016
66509 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:47 pm to
WTF are you talking about? He disappeared while Atlanta was burning.
Posted by Jeb Busch Lite
Member since Apr 2016
2533 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:48 pm to
It’s mind numbing. Yes, Kemp is a rhino. No, 90 days before the election is not a good time to be picking a fight with him. The two can coexist
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
466158 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:49 pm to
quote:

For all of the bluster about Trump being anti-establishment, he sure sucks up to one of the worst GOPe neocon scumbags of them all. Why not do it here in order to the get the W?


These people will defend Trump's insane support of not reforming Social Security as some 8D Chess play to get elected, but then join in the melt down around Kemp, without any potential gain or policy victory (outside of LARPing about treason or other such tomfoolery).
This post was edited on 8/4/24 at 6:49 pm
Posted by imjustafatkid
Alabama
Member since Dec 2011
62645 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:49 pm to
quote:

No faith in any of this, but conservatives and christians having to endure this struggle session only for Trump to lose anyway sounds about right


If that's the case, it would be the same no matter who the GOP nominee was. If Trump can't win, voting won't fix it.
This post was edited on 8/4/24 at 6:50 pm
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
466158 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:50 pm to
quote:

If that's the case, it would be the same no matter who the GOP nominee was.

In GA, this is not true.
Posted by ReauxlTide222
St. Petersburg
Member since Nov 2010
88778 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:52 pm to
quote:

They were supporting Biden and pushing the lie about his fitness until the debate.
Yes.

By Dems crushing Dems I don’t mean they were attacking each other and hurting their chances to win an election.

I mean they were so obviously lying to the world that even retards woke up to it. Their corruption became too obvious. They were crushing themselves.


Now they have a fresh candidate for your side to get incredibly excited about. Did you not think that would help them in polls in comparison to where they were? That’s an oversight I don’t believe you’re dumb enough to have.
quote:

My side?
You’re firmly against Trump. That’s the opposite side of what I’m on.
quote:

And that person lost in 2020
Slow, what the frick dude?

How many things had to fall perfectly into place for Biden to beat him? A fricking global pandemic that Dems took massive advantage of is one of 10s I could name.

I think it’s terribly dishonest of you to keep hammering that angle when you know the circumstances were wildly strange, rare, fricked up, and nuanced.

quote:

I'm telling Trump how not to lose again to a worse candidate than Biden
Seems more like you’re just trolling like a douche bag
Posted by _Hurricane_
Somewhere
Member since Feb 2016
7289 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:53 pm to
I’ll never understand the whole “Trump is the only Republican who can win” narrative. Is it because we haven’t had the opportunity to test that theory at the national level since 2012? I mean I like Trump but it’s clear to anyone who isn’t blind that there are other Republicans who would have a better shot at winning over independents against a radical like Kamala. Just such a dumb argument I see repeated over and over.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
466158 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:54 pm to
quote:

You’re firmly against Trump

Whether I am or not, I'm not voting for Harris.

quote:

That’s the opposite side of what I’m on.

There are many more sides than just 2.

quote:

Seems more like you’re just trolling like a douche bag

If I were trolling, I wouldn't be asking questions blinded people refuse to answer over and over again.
Posted by supatigah
CEO of the Keith Hernandez Fan Club
Member since Mar 2004
89766 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:56 pm to
quote:

These people don't exist.

Kemp is much more well-liked in GA than Trump



based on what? polls?

kemp is tolerated for now by the Black Caucus machine in GA because he bent the knee to them after the gap toothed wonder gave him a scare

kemp literally rolled over and gave the state TWO incredibly shitty Dem US Senators and an embarrassing case against a former POTUS plus real questions about the corruption in their elections

how else does a phony pastor and wife beater get elected Senator unless Kemp gives in to protect his own arse? the ongoing trump fiasco in GA is the end result

love Trump or hate him, pretty much all of this is a terrible look for a “popular” GOP Gov in a battleground state

frick that guy, he is a suit for sale
Posted by Doctor B
Member since Jul 2024
1105 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:57 pm to
Unemployment is ticking up, rent/mortgage payments are crushing entry level workers....

Biden is a MIA president through it all.

But Trump committed the unpardonable sin of criticizing the world famous Brian Kemp.

I have to call bs on these numbers because it's either bs.....or a bunch of people don't care about destroying their standard of living permanently beyond repair.

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