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re: Nate Silver: Biden Favored To Win The Election!

Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:18 pm to
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
78258 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:18 pm to
quote:

Nate wasn't far off in '16. He gave Trump a 30% chance to win. And the Dems came out pretty good in 18. Feel free to believe whatever makes you feel better
Nate was wrong about who won the election. The polls in 2018 were significantly off. Nobody wants to recall hiw they screwed up the senate and the Florida governors race. Even when the dems won, they were generally closer than the polls predicted.
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
62618 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:19 pm to
Trump should just quit now.













This post was edited on 10/5/20 at 7:20 pm
Posted by Jcorye1
Tom Brady = GoAT
Member since Dec 2007
76373 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:22 pm to
Wait, they have Biden winning Texas?
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35373 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:22 pm to
quote:

Texas blue...lol. Not yet
He has Trump favored to win Texas at 73%. In fact, there are a bunch of states in that photo where Trump is favored to win.

538 has a bunch of maps think the OP took one of the maps with scenarios all the way from Trump winning and picking up states (like New Hampshire) all the way to a Biden landslide.

I think the OP just took the Biden landslide (which is unlikely) to discredit the more likely scenarios (Biden wins the states Hillary barley lost plus Arizona which has gotten much bluer).
This post was edited on 10/5/20 at 7:23 pm
Posted by Mankowski
Michigan
Member since Oct 2019
390 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:23 pm to
Now he’s saying that he’s been schooled on Covid and he understands it. He couldn’t understand it with 210,000 people dead, he never once cared about that. Now his campaign is using this because he’s had it and Joe Biden didn’t, so he’s better to confront it....what the frick is wrong with this fat frick? Everything’s political with this POS. he’s done nothing accept play it down. Confront it my arse!! People smell his bullshite and the stench is getting bad.FYI most people don’t want this. If your one that said it’s nothing more than the flu have a party with all your friends and go for it. They should’ve saved the meds for someone who has compassion for life.
Posted by oogabooga68
Member since Nov 2018
27194 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:26 pm to
210,000 people dead is a lie, idiot.

Posted by Mankowski
Michigan
Member since Oct 2019
390 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:26 pm to
Oh so your saying fake poll.. gee there’s a shocker.
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
62618 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:26 pm to
quote:

If predictive models actually predicted the future,

people would be making a fortune off of them.
*cough* some of us are. And other’s publish hack political blog for a living.

Nate Tarnish does exactly what Rolling Stone does when they publish a “Top ____ of all time”. There’s always a BS entry in top five. Why? Because without hat you’d just go “meh”. But with the distractor you tell your friends (or post on a board) “Did you see what those idiot are Rolling Stone said was a top 5 ____?”.

This post was edited on 10/5/20 at 7:27 pm
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
32268 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:29 pm to
quote:

Mankowski

quote:

Cassandra
@CassyWearsHeels
BREAKING: National Latino Peace Officers Association endorses President @realDonaldTrump.
Posted by Mankowski
Michigan
Member since Oct 2019
390 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:34 pm to
Good for them.
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
78258 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:36 pm to
quote:

He couldn’t understand it with 210,000 people dead, he never once cared about that
Youre full of shite.

quote:

he’s done nothing accept play it down
Wrong as evidenced by his closing travel from China on January 31st. Biden and the dems were going to wait for weeks longer before doing anything perceived as xenophobic or racist.
Posted by Rebel
Graceland
Member since Jan 2005
141575 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:38 pm to
quote:

Mankowski



Thank me later,
Posted by Mankowski
Michigan
Member since Oct 2019
390 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:38 pm to
It doesn’t
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
78258 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:38 pm to
quote:

Oh so your saying fake poll.. gee there’s a shocker
I'm saying bad poll.
Posted by TBoy
Kalamazoo
Member since Dec 2007
27601 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:39 pm to
quote:

Communism and lawlessness must be making huge traction within months

News flash. There is no communism and lawlessness in America.
Posted by krones
Pacific Wonderland
Member since Sep 2010
415 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:40 pm to
quote:

Nate was wrong about who won the election.


It's missing the point to say he picked the wrong guy to win. A 21% chance of winning doesn't equal a zero percent chance of winning.
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
78258 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:48 pm to
No kidding?
Posted by Pecker
Rocky Top
Member since May 2015
16674 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:52 pm to
quote:

Nate was wrong about who won the election
do you understand how probabilities work?
Posted by Mankowski
Michigan
Member since Oct 2019
390 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:57 pm to
That’s right. Nobody said that you can’t catch it even if your doing everything right, this shite is everywhere, but here’s the thing Donald doesn’t do that. I feel bad for those people who tried hard not to get it...Trump not so much.Testing doesn’t make you immune idiot.
Posted by RBWilliams8
Member since Oct 2009
53938 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:58 pm to
I’m gonna ignore Texas but how in the frick do they think Montana is gonna be blue?!
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