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re: Nate Silver: Biden Favored To Win The Election!

Posted on 10/5/20 at 6:06 pm to
Posted by Figgy
CenCal
Member since May 2020
9790 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 6:06 pm to
Are you kidding me?!

Posted by ValDawgsta
Member since Jan 2020
1542 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 6:06 pm to
That image is one of a million maps on the website of random simulations. Silver is not calling for Texas to be blue, he has Trump winning by 4% there. I’d guess it’ll be by more than that but Silver isn’t saying Biden wins Texas.

There are maps on the site with red Oregon/New Jersey/etc.
Posted by TrueTiger
Chicken's most valuable
Member since Sep 2004
80259 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 6:09 pm to


If predictive models actually predicted the future,

people would be making a fortune off of them.
Posted by gaetti15
AK
Member since Apr 2013
14819 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 6:10 pm to
quote:

That image is one of a million maps on the website of random simulations. Silver is not calling for Texas to be blue, he has Trump winning by 4% there. I’d guess it’ll be by more than that but Silver isn’t saying Biden wins Texas.

There are maps on the site with red Oregon/New Jersey/etc.


I noticed that as well once I went on the website.

Still some pretty subliminal mind fricking going on for somebody who wants to seem unbiased
Posted by Vacherie Saint
Member since Aug 2015
46246 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 6:11 pm to
He ha Biden winning 37 states?

Texas, Georgia, Missouri, and Florida?
Posted by SEC. 593
Chicago
Member since Aug 2012
4357 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 6:16 pm to
Comprehension isn't this forum go to strength.
Posted by UcobiaA
The Gump
Member since Nov 2010
4146 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 6:16 pm to
He should be ashamed of some of those calls. No way he believes that map.
Posted by Vacherie Saint
Member since Aug 2015
46246 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 6:18 pm to
I’m going by that map in the graphic. I’m not clicking on his aids dick site
Posted by AllDayEveryDay
Nawf Tejas
Member since Jun 2015
9503 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 6:19 pm to
I'm surprised no one has posted his picture from the last election.
Posted by Diary Queen
Member since Jul 2017
1401 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 6:22 pm to
Well fuq, I guess I won’t vote now...
Posted by Vacherie Saint
Member since Aug 2015
46246 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 6:25 pm to
ABC released a poll that over sampled dems 5 Points more than their last weekly poll (which already overs sampled dems by 4).

Headline: Biden widens lead!
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
78254 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 6:26 pm to
If Biden was this likely to win, he'd be campaigning in Missouri and Tennessee.
Posted by immobileman
nowhere in particular
Member since Nov 2014
1862 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 6:28 pm to
I buy it, the enthusiasm is everywhere! I think I saw 12-16 people at his rally.
Posted by Pecker
Rocky Top
Member since May 2015
16674 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 6:31 pm to
quote:

It’s like I’ve seen this movie before....
The difference is that Hillary got hit with the Comey stuff. Biden will likely go unscathed through election day.

You'd have to be retarded to think Trump is in a strong position this go around
Posted by Mankowski
Michigan
Member since Oct 2019
390 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 6:37 pm to
Not this one. This is not 2016, his numbers are really bad post debate. If he thinks that getting Covid will help his numbers, it may a little, there’s still some people out there that will feel sorry for him because he came down with it,granted by his own doing,but if most Americans think rationally, here’s a man, president whatever you want to call him that’s suppose to keep America safe and he can’t even keep himself the Whitehouse or other people around him safe because he is just totally reckless about the whole thing. He’s lost the vote of suburban women he’s losing the senior vote, he’s even losing men in the 50-55 age. I can’t see into the future but I know Trump knows he’s losing, why do you think he wanted out of the hospital so quick he knows there is a lot of ground to cover with little time. I’m even starting to wonder once he’s off the steroids how much off a crash he’ll have. You can call him God, you can call him your savior you can call him anything you want but the plain truth is he’s old.
Posted by ApexTiger
cary nc
Member since Oct 2003
56185 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 6:38 pm to
I don't know if my sampling matters but I don't know a single soul that's gonna vote for Joe freakin Biden
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
78254 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 6:38 pm to
quote:


You'd have to be retarded to think Trump is in a strong position this go around
Agreed. But you'd also have to be retarded to think Biden has an 81% chance of winning this thing. The enthusiasm gap is real and not accounted for in these clown polls.
This post was edited on 10/5/20 at 6:43 pm
Posted by VoxDawg
Glory, Glory
Member since Sep 2012
75400 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 6:39 pm to
Bookmarks! Get your piping hot bookmarks right hee-yah!
Posted by gthog61
Irving, TX
Member since Nov 2009
71001 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 6:40 pm to
quote:

ot this one. This is not 2016, his numbers are really bad post debate.


liar
Posted by nc_tiger
Member since Aug 2017
153 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 6:41 pm to
this place really doesn't understand how statistics works
This post was edited on 10/5/20 at 6:49 pm
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